1. TCOON Station Review Dr. Gary Jeffress James Rizzo

2. Naval Air Station 877 5421 Station priority TGLO3 COE2 TWDB 2 GLO-OS 3 CBI Test Facility

3. Rincon Del San Jose 877 7812 Station priority TGLO 1 COE 1 TWDB 1 GLO-OS3

4. Packery Channel 877 5792 Station priority TGLO2 TWDB1 COE1 GLO-OS3

5. Ingleside 877 5283 Station priority TGLO2 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-O3 CCRTNS1

6. Texas State Aquarium 877 5296 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1 CCRTNS1

7. Port Aransas 877 5237 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS2 CCRTNS1

8. White Point 877 5188 Station priority TGLO3 COE3 TWDB2 GLO-OS3 City of CC 1

9. Bird Island Basin 877 6139 Station Priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS1

10. Bob Hall Pier – NOAA 877 5870 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

11. Rockport – NOAA 877 4770 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

12. Sabine Pass – NOAA 877 0570 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

13. Port Mansfield 877 8490 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS2

14. Port Isabel – NOAA 877 9770 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

15. Galveston Pleasure Pier - NOAA 877 1501 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

16. Galveston Pier 21 – NOAA 877 1450 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

17. Seadrift 877 3037 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS2

18. Port Lavaca 877 3259 Station Priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS2 Destroyed by Hurricane Claudette

20. Port Lavaca Replacement In present location: DCP$11,500 Relocation DCP$11,500 Structure$1,000 – 10,000 Benchmarks$3,000 Total$15,500 – 25,500 (estimated.)

23. Copano Bay Causeway 877 4513 Station priority TGLO1 COE2 TWDB1 GLO-OS3

24. Arroyo Colorado 877 9038 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS3

25. South Padre Island 877 9748 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS3

26. Rawlings Bait Stand 877 3304 Station priority TGLO3 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS3 Station Destroyed by Hurricane Claudette

28. Rawlings Replacement In new location: DCP $11,500 New location identified using existing benchmark network. Structure enhancements may be necessary at minimal costs.

29. Freeport – NOAA 877 2440 Control station (NOAA/NWLON) NOAA1 TGLO1 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1 To be relocated to the U. S. Coast Guard Station Surfside.

30. Port O’Connor 877 3701 Station priority TGLO1 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS1 Station received some damaged by Hurricane Claudette, will require leveling

32. East Matagorda Old Gulf Cut 877 3118 Station priority TGLO1 COE3 TWDB1 GLO-OS3

33. Baffin Bay 877 6604 Station priority TGLO2 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS3

34. Clear Lake 877 0933 Station priority TGLO1 COE2 TWDB3 GLO-OS3

36. Morgans Point –TCOON/PORTS 877 0613 Station priority NOAA/PORTS1 TGLO2 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1 This station is a NOAA PORTS station.

37. Rainbow Bridge 877 0520 Station priority TGLO2 COE1 TWDB1 GLO-OS1

38. Round Point 877 0559 Station priority TGLO COE 1 TWDB GLO-OS

39. Mesquite Point 877 0539 Station priority TGLO2 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS3

40. Eagle Point – TCOON/PORTS Station priority NOAA/PORTS 1 TGLO2 COE1 TWDB2 GLO-OS3 This station is a NOAA PORTS station

41. Manchester Houston 877 0777 Station priority TGLO3 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS3

42. Port of Orange 877 0597 Station priority TGLO2 COE2 TWDB3 GLO-OS3

43. Rollover Pass 877 0971 Station priority TGLO1 COE 1 TWDB2 GLO-OS3 Needs new platform

44. Galveston Entrance Channel South Jetty 877 1416 Station priority TGLO3 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS3

45. Port Arthur 877 0475 Station priority TGLO2 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS3

46. Galveston Entrance Channel North Jetty 877 1341 Station priority NOAA/PORTS 1 TGLO3 COE1 TWDB3 GLO-OS3 This is a NOAA/PORTS station

47. West Bay 877 1854 Station priority TGLO COE1 TWDB TGLO-OS Station struck by barge, will need repairs and reinforcement

48. Battleship Texas State Park 877 0743 Station priority TGLO COE1 TWDB TGLO-OS

49. San Luis Pass 877 1972 Station priority TGLO1 COE3 TWDB2 GLO-OS3 Station was completely destroyed by Hurricane Claudette

50. San Luis Pass Replacement There are no structures in this area suitable for the relocation of this station. In addition, sediment transport occurs much too rapidly for a near-shore data collection platform.

53. Take a Break!

54. Storm Damage & Budget Port Lavaca Rawlings San Luis Pass South Jetty (COE) Port O’Connor (TGLO)

55. Port Lavaca Replacement In present location: DCP$11,500 Relocation DCP$11,500 Structure$1,000 – 10,000 Benchmarks$3,000 Total$15,500 – 25,500 (estimated.)

56. Rawlings Replacement In new location: DCP $11,500 New location identified using existing benchmark network. Structure enhancements may be necessary at minimal costs.

57. San Luis Pass Replacement There are no structures in this area suitable for the relocation of this station. In addition, sediment transport occurs much too rapidly for a near-shore data collection platform.

58. DNR web server hits

59. DNR Server upgrade Old server –1 GHz CPU –512 KB RAM –60 GB disk –RedHat 7.3 New server –3 GHz CPU –1 GB RAM –120 GB disk –RedHat 9

60. DNR New Items ROPVO -"Red de Observaciones y Predicciones de Variables Oceanicas (ROPVO) en las Costas y Puertos del Golfo de Mexico (Mexico-Texas) (#39382-U). Joint venture between Agencies in Mexico and The Division of Near-Shore Research on a data collection network similar to TCOON. GBRA - Guadalupe Blanco River Authority Installation of water quality DCP in San Antonio Bay near the Aransas Wildlife Refuge. American Shoreline Wind Energy - Wind Generated power along the Texas Coast. TGLO – Sustainable Energy

61. Linked Mexico – U.S. Coastal Network Proposed phase I of the Mexican Coastal Network Texas Coastal Ocean Observation Network

62. DNR Forecasts Development of data intensive techniques to make forecasts based on TCOON-DNR real-time data Presently focused on forecasting water levels Working as well on applying the techniques to forecasts groundwater levels and spring flows

63. Computed Harmonic Tidal Sea Level at Pleasure Pier, Galveston (Spring 97)

64. Comparison of Actual and Computed Sea Level (Spring 97)

65. RMSE=0.12 m CF=82.7 % RMSE=0.16 m CF=70.1 % RMSE=0.10 m CF=89.1 % RMSE=0.12 m CF=81.7 % RMSE=0.16 m CF=71.7 % RMSE=0.15 m CF=74.4 % Tide performance along the Texas coast (1997-2001)

66. Need for forecasts … but what will happen next? We measure water levels...

67. Data Intensive Modeling Group Faculty: Alan Berkebile, Dan Cox*, Gary Jeffress, Patrick Michaud, Alex Sadovsky, Philippe Tissot Research Staff: James Davis, Scott Duff, Rick Hay, Jessica Tishmack, Deidre Williams Students: Zack Bowles, Aimee Mostella, Richard Rush, Jeremy Stearns, Kelly Torres, (Alex Drikitis, Jennifer Abernethy) Other Collaborators: CCWFO / US Coast Guards / City Emergency Management / Mexican Universities * Hinsdale Wave Research Laboratory, Oregon State University

68. Modeling Techniques Studied Artificial Neural Networks Harmonic Analysis Statistical Analysis Combinations of the previous techniques Other techniques considered such as genetic algorithms and support vector machines

69. ANN Model H (t+i) Output Layer Hidden Layer Observed Winds Observed Water Levels Observed Barometric Pressures Forecasted Winds Input Layer Water Level Forecast  (a 1,i x i ) b1b1 b2b2  (X 1 +b 1 ) b3b3  (X 2 +b 2 )  (X 3 +b 3 )  (a 2,i x i )  (a 3,i x i )

70. CCNAS-1997 ANN 24-hour Forecasts ANN trained over 2001 Data Set

71. CCNAS-1997 ANN 24-hour Forecasts ANN trained over 2001 Data Set Phys1401-104

72. CCNAS Spring 1997 ANN 24-hour Forecasts ANN trained over 2001 Data Set

73. Tropical Storm Frances - September 7-17, 1998 Frances Trajectory Landfall on Sept. 11

74. CCNAS ANN 12-hour Forecasts ANN trained over 1997 Data Set CF(Tides) = 17 % CF(Persistent) = 94 % CF(NN w/o Forecasts) = 95% CF(NN with Forecasts) = 98 %

75. CCNAS ANN 24-hour Forecasts 230240250260270280 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Water Levels (m) Julian Day,1998 ANN trained over 1997 Data Set CF(Tides) = 17 % CF(Persistent) = 92 % CF(NN w/o Forecasts) = 82% CF(NN with Forecasts) = 85 %

76. Rockport ANN 24-Hour Forecasts Rockport ANN 24-hour Forecasts During 1998 Tropical Storm Frances (ANN trained over 1997 Data Set)

77. Real-Time Forecasts on the World Wide Web

78. DNR - Forecasts Continue model development by including additional data streams such as wind forecasts CMP grant GLO 02-004R Jan. 2002 – Aug. 2003 Sea Grant Technology Program grant (Sept. 2003 – Feb. 2005) NASA Grant supporting several students