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University Student Load Projections Robert McCormack, Director, Planning Services University Managers’ Group Meeting 16 September 2010
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Why do we do projections?
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To plan and allocate resources in line with expected numbers of students
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How do we do our projections?
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Planned intakes by funding source and course Retention rates – analysis of cohorts Average load (EFTSL) per enrolment Average weighted load (WEFTSL) per enrolment Load distribution across faculties and schools Load distribution across discipline clusters Estimated parameters for new courses
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Effectiveness of Projection Model 1 Load by Source of Funds and Broad Course Type, Current versus Projected Full-Year, 2010 (as at 6 September 2010)
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Effectiveness of Projection Model 2 Load by Source of Funds and Broad Course Type, Current versus Projected Full-Year, 2010 (as at 6 September 2010)
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2011 Budget Projection 1 Projected Income for Commonwealth-Supported Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) 200920102011 Load (EFTSL) Commonwealth-Supported Student Load12,11912,82613,431 Funding Agreement Target Load11,69011,97012,173 Over/Under Enrolment (in current year)4298551,258 CGS Amounts ($'000) Funding Agreement Base CGS Amount for Target Load (incl capital)110,286117,427121,871 Adjustment for Over/Under Enrolment-24411,53612,187 Base CGS Amount for Load (incl capital roll-in)110,042128,963134,059 Loadings (Regional, Enabling & Medical)1,2931,3961,484 Compensation for Changes in CGS Funding Rates 3,3906,6748,377 Total114,725137,033143,920 Student Contribution Amounts ($'000) Estimated Student Contributions84,31987,84792,934 Total Amounts for Commonwealth-Supported Load199,043224,880236,854
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2011 Budget Projection 2 Domestic Non Fee-Paying Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) EFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts788.91,379.96.13% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences2,104.82,675.711.88% Business School1,969.72,123.19.43% Education242.9453.02.01% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics2,475.94,520.420.07% Indigenous Studies70.0106.90.47% Law1,171.21,461.36.49% Life & Physical Sciences2,702.15,344.723.73% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences1,275.93,010.313.37% Natural & Agricultural Sciences755.81,445.26.42% Total13,557.222,520.5100.00%
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2011 Budget Projection 3 International On-Shore Coursework Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) EFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts155.7272.25.44% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences194.3251.25.02% Business School975.11,056.821.13% Education48.590.41.81% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics824.91,533.630.67% Indigenous Studies3.14.80.10% Law115.4143.92.88% Life & Physical Sciences404.8802.616.05% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences258.8598.911.98% Natural & Agricultural Sciences128.0246.34.93% Total3,108.75,000.8100.00%
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2011 Budget Projection 4 Research Training Scheme Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) FacultyEFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts21.7 1.24% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences197.6 11.29% Business School41.8 2.39% Education69.6 3.98% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics118.5219.012.51% Law18.4 1.05% Life & Physical Sciences262.0523.429.90% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences220.6386.522.08% Natural & Agricultural Sciences140.5272.215.55% Total1,090.71,750.3100.00%
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2011 Budget Projection 5 International On-Shore HDR Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) FacultyEFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts Total4.4 0.51% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences Total31.0 3.64% Business School Total32.6 3.82% Education Total8.49.41.11% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics Total145.2274.632.20% Law Total1.9 0.23% Life & Physical Sciences Total97.7195.322.90% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences Total44.687.310.23% Natural & Agricultural Sciences Total112.2216.325.36% Total478.1852.8100.00%
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Projection to 2020 Projected Student Loads by Source of Funds ( Draft as at 9 September 2010)
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Further Information Executive Information System (EIS) http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis EIS UWA Projected Student Enrolments and Load Pages http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis/t_and_l?p=65663#el_pj EIS Resourcing Pages http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis/budget_information
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Contacts 1 Mr Robert McCormack Director, Planning Services Phone 6488 2816 Email Robert.McCormack@uwa.edu.auRobert.McCormack@uwa.edu.au Mr Luke Minchin Manager, Statistical Services Phone 6488 3673 Email luke.minchin@uwa.edu.auluke.minchin@uwa.edu.au Ms Christina Miller Manager, Planning Support Phone 6488 3662 Email christina.miller@uwa.edu.auchristina.miller@uwa.edu.au Mr Stanley Liang Information Analyst, Statistics Office Phone 6488 3683 Email stanley.liang@uwa.edu.austanley.liang@uwa.edu.au
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Contacts 2 Mr Ian Baker Associate Director, Financial Planning (Financial Services) Phone 6488 3224 Email ian.baker@uwa.edu.auian.baker@uwa.edu.au Mr Koon Quek Budget Analyst, Financial Planning (Financial Services) Phone 6488 3218 Email koon.quek@uwa.edu.aukoon.quek@uwa.edu.au
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