1. University Student Load Projections Robert McCormack, Director, Planning Services University Managers’ Group Meeting 16 September 2010

2. Why do we do projections?

3. To plan and allocate resources in line with expected numbers of students

4. How do we do our projections?

5. Planned intakes by funding source and course Retention rates – analysis of cohorts Average load (EFTSL) per enrolment Average weighted load (WEFTSL) per enrolment Load distribution across faculties and schools Load distribution across discipline clusters Estimated parameters for new courses

6. Effectiveness of Projection Model 1 Load by Source of Funds and Broad Course Type, Current versus Projected Full-Year, 2010 (as at 6 September 2010)

7. Effectiveness of Projection Model 2 Load by Source of Funds and Broad Course Type, Current versus Projected Full-Year, 2010 (as at 6 September 2010)

8. 2011 Budget Projection 1 Projected Income for Commonwealth-Supported Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) 200920102011 Load (EFTSL) Commonwealth-Supported Student Load12,11912,82613,431 Funding Agreement Target Load11,69011,97012,173 Over/Under Enrolment (in current year)4298551,258 CGS Amounts ($'000) Funding Agreement Base CGS Amount for Target Load (incl capital)110,286117,427121,871 Adjustment for Over/Under Enrolment-24411,53612,187 Base CGS Amount for Load (incl capital roll-in)110,042128,963134,059 Loadings (Regional, Enabling & Medical)1,2931,3961,484 Compensation for Changes in CGS Funding Rates 3,3906,6748,377 Total114,725137,033143,920 Student Contribution Amounts ($'000) Estimated Student Contributions84,31987,84792,934 Total Amounts for Commonwealth-Supported Load199,043224,880236,854

9. 2011 Budget Projection 2 Domestic Non Fee-Paying Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) EFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts788.91,379.96.13% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences2,104.82,675.711.88% Business School1,969.72,123.19.43% Education242.9453.02.01% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics2,475.94,520.420.07% Indigenous Studies70.0106.90.47% Law1,171.21,461.36.49% Life & Physical Sciences2,702.15,344.723.73% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences1,275.93,010.313.37% Natural & Agricultural Sciences755.81,445.26.42% Total13,557.222,520.5100.00%

10. 2011 Budget Projection 3 International On-Shore Coursework Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) EFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts155.7272.25.44% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences194.3251.25.02% Business School975.11,056.821.13% Education48.590.41.81% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics824.91,533.630.67% Indigenous Studies3.14.80.10% Law115.4143.92.88% Life & Physical Sciences404.8802.616.05% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences258.8598.911.98% Natural & Agricultural Sciences128.0246.34.93% Total3,108.75,000.8100.00%

11. 2011 Budget Projection 4 Research Training Scheme Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) FacultyEFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts21.7 1.24% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences197.6 11.29% Business School41.8 2.39% Education69.6 3.98% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics118.5219.012.51% Law18.4 1.05% Life & Physical Sciences262.0523.429.90% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences220.6386.522.08% Natural & Agricultural Sciences140.5272.215.55% Total1,090.71,750.3100.00%

12. 2011 Budget Projection 5 International On-Shore HDR Load ( Draft as at 9 September 2010) FacultyEFTSL Weighted EFTSL % Weighted EFTSL Architecture, Landscape & Visual Arts Total4.4 0.51% Arts, Humanities & Social Sciences Total31.0 3.64% Business School Total32.6 3.82% Education Total8.49.41.11% Engineering, Computing & Mathematics Total145.2274.632.20% Law Total1.9 0.23% Life & Physical Sciences Total97.7195.322.90% Medicine, Dentistry & Health Sciences Total44.687.310.23% Natural & Agricultural Sciences Total112.2216.325.36% Total478.1852.8100.00%

13. Projection to 2020 Projected Student Loads by Source of Funds ( Draft as at 9 September 2010)

14. Further Information Executive Information System (EIS) http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis EIS UWA Projected Student Enrolments and Load Pages http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis/t_and_l?p=65663#el_pj EIS Resourcing Pages http://www.planserv.uwa.edu.au/eis/budget_information

15. Contacts 1 Mr Robert McCormack Director, Planning Services Phone 6488 2816 Email Robert.McCormack@uwa.edu.auRobert.McCormack@uwa.edu.au Mr Luke Minchin Manager, Statistical Services Phone 6488 3673 Email luke.minchin@uwa.edu.auluke.minchin@uwa.edu.au Ms Christina Miller Manager, Planning Support Phone 6488 3662 Email christina.miller@uwa.edu.auchristina.miller@uwa.edu.au Mr Stanley Liang Information Analyst, Statistics Office Phone 6488 3683 Email stanley.liang@uwa.edu.austanley.liang@uwa.edu.au

16. Contacts 2 Mr Ian Baker Associate Director, Financial Planning (Financial Services) Phone 6488 3224 Email ian.baker@uwa.edu.auian.baker@uwa.edu.au Mr Koon Quek Budget Analyst, Financial Planning (Financial Services) Phone 6488 3218 Email koon.quek@uwa.edu.aukoon.quek@uwa.edu.au