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Worldwide Farm Machinery Markets New Delhi, 6 th December 2013 Gerd Wiesendorfer Coordinator Agrievolution Economic Committee gerd.wiesendorfer@vdma.org 1 Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery December 5-6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India
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Business climate in the global industry is favourable … Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 2
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… with clear upward trends in most regions Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 3
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Increasing orders for agricultural machinery in major markets … Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 4
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… lead to expansionary turnover expectations for the next months. Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 5
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Fläche für Grafik Source: VDMA (Forecast status October 2013) Development of the agricultural machinery production Index 2008 = 100, based on nominal terms in Euro 50 100 150 200 250 20092010201120122013e World European Union China North America India Latin America Production has experienced a very dynamic phase in the past 5 years Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 6
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Regional shifts of production – with China being a major driver Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 7
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Strong tractor markets 2013: America and Asia Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 8 New tractor sales (in units)
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New production and market peak 2013 Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 9
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Weaker drivers for new machinery demand in Western Europe, but basic economic conditions remain favourable Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 10
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General conditions for the global markets 2014/2015 Comparatively good prices for agricultural commodities and slightly lower costs Investor´s liquidity predominantly on a good level Conditions on the capital market generally good Higher degree of mechanization due to a growing demand for efficiency Structural change increases the demand for high capacity machines Agricultural policy will continue to be a stimulus for investment, following different politcal objectives Emerging markets: Higher degree of mechanization, modernization of fleets East Europe: Self-sufficiency gains (food) and export position (grains) Europe: Promotion of smaller and diversified structures + „greening“ USA: Income stability for farmers and promotion of bioenergy production Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 11
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Decline of market and production volume 2014 remains very limited Fourth World Summit on Agriculture Machinery ~ December 5- 6, 2013 ~ New Delhi, India 12
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