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Slide 1 18 October 2015 Group of Experts on the Impact of Globalization on National Accounts Art Ridgeway, Statistics Canada Tihomira Dimova, UNECE 3 February 2011
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Slide 2 18 October 2015 Group of Experts on the Impact of Globalization on NA Established in April 2007, following a decision of the Conference of European Statisticians (CES) Objective: review the main distortions in the compilation of NA and related source statistics, caused by globalisation and put forward proposals on how to deal with these distortions Membership: All member states of UNECE, OECD and Eurostat Leadership group: Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, the Netherlands, UK, USA, Eurostat, IMF, OECD and UNECE Chair: Peter van de Ven, Statistics Netherlands Vice-Chair: Art Ridgeway, Statistics Canada Editor: Peter Bull, UK
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Slide 3 18 October 2015 Group of Experts on the Impact of Globalization on NA Outcome: Practical Guide with recommendations and best practices in relation to the main globalization factors that affect NA Timetable: January 2011: the draft Guide was submitted for comments to the CES Bureau March/April 2011: Electronic consultation with all CES member countries and organizations June 2011: Presentation of the Guide to the CES plenary session for endorsement.
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Slide 4 18 October 2015 Globalization factors and NA measures Global phenomenonNational accounts items most affected Arrangements within MNEs, including transfer pricing Allocation of GVA/GDP across countries; international trade in goods and services; investment income and financial flows FDI relationshipsInvestment income and financial flows; i.i.p. Special purpose entities (SPEs) International trade in services; investment income and financial flows; i.i.p. Goods sent abroad for processing GVA/GDP; international trade in goods and services MerchantingInternational trade in goods (and possibly services)
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Slide 5 18 October 2015 Globalization factors and NA measures (cont.) Global phenomenonNational accounts items most affected International trade in intellectual property assets GVA/GDP; capital formation; international trade in assets and related services Quasi-transit tradeGVA/GDP; international trade in goods International labour movement and remittances GNI, gross national disposable income, international transfers Ownership of property abroad International trade in services; investment income and financial flows; i.i.p. Internet tradingInternational trade in goods and services; household consumption
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Slide 6 18 October 2015 Content of the Globalization Guide 12 core chapters split into three main groups: Multinational enterprises Trade in goods and services, and global manufacturing Household-related issues Specific country experiences are presented as annexes to the chapters Addendum on the impact of the financial crisis The way ahead: research agenda and international fora that can advance the work
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Slide 7 18 October 2015 Main conclusions and suggestions for future work – Global manufacturing Conceptual and measurements issues Criteria to apply the “merchanting” or “goods for processing” treatment Valuation of the good or the service - arms length vs. within MNEs Inventories held abroad
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Slide 8 18 October 2015 Main conclusions and suggestions for future work – Goods for processing Conceptual and classification issues to clarify double counting as goods and services? coding to allow recording on ownership basis Analytical aspects
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Slide 9 18 October 2015 Main conclusions and suggestions for future work – Merchanting Merchanting of goods Linking in with other measures of trade and production Merchanting of services in an internet world Not covered in international manuals 18 October 2015
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Slide 10 18 October 2015 Main conclusions and suggestions for future work – Intellectual Property Major challenge for trade measurement Services associated with intellectual property Ownership changes for existing intellectual property Income flows associated with rights to use Particularly challenging within MNEs 18 October 2015
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Slide 11 18 October 2015 Main conclusions and suggestions for future work – Administrative data Administrative data as second best Assumptions needed to fill in the gaps Evolution of global production challenges assumptions Budget realities Constrained resources for statistics Pressure to limiting response burden Costly to adjust administrative systems
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Slide 12 18 October 2015 Final thoughts Requirement to use data from multiple sources to address many issues How to facilitate integration of administrative data sources like merchandise trade with other administrative sources and surveys No country or institution will do it alone 18 October 2015
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