1. Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council Retreat June 12, 2008 Why We Need Success Measures The Big Picture Approach Karen Finn, Senior Fellow karenf@forumfyi.org The Forum for Youth Investment

2. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 The American DREAM All youth can be ready. Every family and community can be supportive. Each leader can make a difference.

3. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Too Few Youth are Ready. Only 4 in 10 are doing well. Too Few Families and Communities are Supportive. Fewer than 2 in 5 youth have the supports that they need. Too Few are Trying to Make a Difference. The American REALITY

4. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 The American DILEMMA THE GAP BETWEEN VISION AND REALITY HAS TO BE CLOSED At a time when “Failure is NOT an Option” (The Hope Foundation) and “Trying Hard is NOT Good Enough” (Mark Friedman)

5. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Fragmentation Complacency Low Expectations of Youth, Communities and Leaders The American DILEMMA

6. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 SOURCE: Margaret Dunkle Business as Usual … See a Problem, Convene a Task Force, Create a Program… Has Created a Tangle of Inefficiencies Children’s Services in Los Angeles County

7. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Core Supports & Opportunities Delinquency & Violence Pregnancy & HIV/AIDS Dropouts & Illiteracy Unemployment Substance Abuse, Suicide, Depression Even the smallest communities have too many initiatives Civic Engagement Educational Attainment Physical Health Vocational Readiness & Success Social & Emotional Health

8. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 The Ready by 21 Challenge: Changing the Odds for Youth by Changing the Way We Do Business Change the odds for youth Change the way we do business Change the landscape of communities

9. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Identifying Shared Outcomes and Indicators Change the odds for youth Change the landscape of communities Change the way we do business

10. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changing the Way We Do Business Think Differently so that together we can Act Differently

11. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changing the Way We Do Business Think Differently so that together we can Act Differently BIG PICTURE APPROACH

12. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changing the Way We Do Business SET BIGGER GOALS BE BETTER PARTNERS USE BOLDER STRATEGIES Think Differently so that together we can Act Differently BIG PICTURE APPROACH

13. WANTED: Young People Who are Ready Changing the Odds for Youth...

14. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Are they Ready? Change the odds for youth Change the landscape of communities Change the way we do business

15. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 43% are doing well in two life areas and okay in one Productivity: Attend college, work steadily Health: Good health, positive health habits, healthy relationships Connectedness: Volunteer, politically active, active in religious institutions, active in community Too Few Young People are Ready Doing Well 43% Doing Poorly 22% In the Middle 35% 22% are doing poorly in two life areas and not well in any Productivity: High school diploma or less, are unemployed, on welfare Health: Poor health, bad health habits, unsupportive relationships Connectedness: Commit illegal activity once a month Researchers Gambone, Connell & Klem (2002) estimate that only 4 in 10 are doing well in their early 20s.

16. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 We Know What it Takes to Support Development The National Research Council reports that teens need: Physical and Psychological Safety Appropriate Structure Supportive Relationships Opportunities to Belong Positive Social Norms Support for Efficacy and Mattering Opportunities for Skill-Building Integration of Family, School and Community efforts

17. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Do these Supports Really Make a Difference? Even in Adolescence? ABSOLUTELY SOURCE : Finding Out What Matters for Youth: Testing Key Links in a Community Action Framework for Youth Development Gambone and colleagues show that youth with supportive relationships as they enter high school are 5 times more likely to leave high school “ready” than those with weak relationships…

18. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 … and those seniors who were “ready” at the end of high school were more than 4 times as likely to be doing well as young adults. Do these Supports Make a Difference in Adulthood? SOURCE: Finding Out What Matters for Youth: Testing Key Links in a Community Action Framework for Youth Development

19. NEEDED: Coordinated & High Quality Supports... by Changing the Landscape of Family and Community Supports

20. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Are They Getting the Supports They Need? Change the odds for youth Change the landscape of communities Change the way we do business

21. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 The NRC List Physical and Psychological Safety Appropriate Structure Supportive Relationships Opportunities to Belong Positive Social Norms Support for Efficacy and Mattering Opportunities for Skill-Building Integration of Family, School and Community Efforts Basic Services (implied) A Surprising Percentage of Youth Don’t Receive them… By Any Name SAFE PLACES CARING ADULTS OPPORTUNITIES TO HELP OTHERS EFFECTIVE EDUCATION HEALTHY START The Five Promises

22. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 One third of 6-17 year olds lack the supports they need 50% 37% 13% 6 – 11 Years Old 45% 30% 25% 12 – 17 Years Old According to the America’s Promise Alliance National Promises Survey, only 31% of 6-17 year olds have at least 4 of the 5 promises. 21% have 1 or none. And the likelihood of having sufficient supports decreases by age: 37% of 6-11 year olds have at least 4 promises; 13% have 1 or none. Only 30% of 12-17 year olds have at least 4; 25 % have 1 or none.

23. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Civic Social Emotional Physical Vocational Cognitive Ages Times of Day Outcome Areas ? ? ? Reach Counts Morning... Night 21. 0 School After School At its best, school only fills a portion of developmental space

24. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Who is Responsible for the Rest? Families Peer Groups Schools and Training Organizations Higher Education Youth-Serving Organizations CBOs (Non-Profit Service Providers and Associations) Businesses (Jobs, Internships and Apprenticeships) Faith-Based Organizations Libraries, Parks, and Recreation Departments Community-Based Health and Social Service Agencies ?

25. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Improving Program Availability isn’t Enough There is basic agreement that young people who participate fully in school and programs and their communities have better outcomes than those who do not. Consequently there is increased interest in getting inside the black box -- mapping the program landscape what is available to whom, when, where, why, how, and how much it costs. Youth outcomes Youth Participation

26. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 We Advocate for a “Big Picture Approach” Take A im Take S tock Target A ction Track P rogress The Forum couples field knowledge with conceptual, practical and “power” tools to help state and local leaders quickly organize available information (about youth outcomes, community supports and current initiatives and resources) to support data-driven “big picture” planning and accountability.

27. Taking Aim Outcomes and Indicators

28. DEFINITIONS RESULT or OUTCOME: INDICATOR PERFORMANCE MEASURE Children born healthy, Children succeeding in school, Safe communities, Clean Environment, Prosperous Economy Rate of low-birthweight babies, Rate of high school graduation, crime rate, air quality index, unemployment rate 1. How much did we do? 2. How well did we do it? 3. Is anyone better off? A condition of well-being for children, adults, families or communities. A measure which helps quantify the achievement of a result. A measure of how well a program, agency or service system is working. Three types: = Customer Outcome

29. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Kentucky’s Outcomes Youth Make Healthy Choices Youth are Life Long Learners Youth Participate in Community Decision Making Youth Develop Social and Emotional Competencies Youth have Knowledge and Skills to be Productive in the 21 st Century

30. The Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council - OUTCOMES Youth Make Healthy Choices: Young people make healthy choices regarding their mental and physical health including: nutrition, physical activity, substance use and abuse, sexual activity, coping skills, stress reduction and emotional well-being.

31. The Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council - OUTCOMES Youth are Life Long Learners Young people are successful in school and develop the skills they need throughout their life to be employable and support themselves and their family.

32. The Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council - OUTCOMES Youth participate in Community Decision Making: Young people have meaningful roles in their schools, communities and the organizations that serve them through opportunities for decision making, leadership and service.

33. The Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council - OUTCOMES Youth Develop Social and Emotional Competencies : Young people develop the skills they need for healthy relationships and they experience healthy relationships in their lives.

34. The Kentucky Youth Development Coordinating Council - OUTCOMES Youth Have Knowledge and skills to be productive in the 21st Century : Young people have the skills necessary to be self sufficient and successful in our global economy.

35. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 About Child & Youth Outcomes From Core Principles to Common Language

36. Pre-K 0 – 5 School- Age 6 – 10 Middle School 11 – 14 High School 15 – 18 Young Adults 19 – 21+ Ready for College Are life long learners Ready for Work Have knowledge and skills for 21 st Cent. Ready for Life Make healthy choices Develop social and emotional competencies Participate in community decision making

37. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Selecting Indicators Balanced set of indicators: Across outcome areas Across ages Across populations Across a range of goals and approaches That have strong: Communication Power Proxy Power Data Power

38. Taking Stock using Outcomes and Indicators

39. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Take Aim on the Big Picture How are Young People Doing? Pre-K 0–5 School- Age 6–10 Middle School 11–14 High School 15–18 Young Adults 19–21+ Ready for College LEARNING Ready for Work WORKING Ready for Life THRIVING CONNECTING LEADING High school failure doesn’t occur in a vacuum… and high school completion doesn’t ensure adult success.

40. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 The Matter of Baselines Baselines have two parts: history and forecast H M L History Forecast Turning the Curve Point to Point OK?

41. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda

42. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda Indicators: Desired Results: Ready for college Ready for work Ready for Life Action Areas:

43. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda Indicators: Educational attainment Employment Health Care Coverage HIV/AIDS rate Deaths by Injury rate Arrests Desired Results: Ready for college Ready for work Ready for Life Action Areas:

44. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda Indicators: Educational attainment Employment Health Care Coverage HIV/AIDS rate Deaths by Injury rate Arrests Desired Results: Ready for college Ready for work Ready for Life Action Areas: Competent, Caring Adults Accessible, Affordable Housing Access to Health Care Pathways to Education and Employment Equal Treatment Under the Law

45. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda Indicators: Educational attainment Employment Health Care Coverage HIV/AIDS rate Deaths by Injury rate Arrests Desired Results: Ready for college Ready for work Ready for Life Action Areas: Competent, Caring Adults Accessible, Affordable Housing Access to Health Care Pathways to Education and Employment Equal Treatment Under the Law

46. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready by 21 Action Agenda Indicators: Educational attainment Employment Health Care Coverage HIV/AIDS rate Deaths by Injury rate Arrests Desired Results: Ready for college Ready for work Ready for Life Action Areas: Competent, Caring Adults Accessible, Affordable Housing Access to Health Care Pathways to Education and Employment Equal Treatment Under the Law

47. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Maryland Ready By 21 TM Action Agenda What results do you want for youth? What indicators do you have access to? What contributing factors (the story behind) are impacting these indicators? How do these cluster? Developed action areas What are a balanced, integrated set of strategies and action steps in each area? Who is doing what?? What are the “Moving Trains” and “Standing Bodies” that can be linked to? Constantly cross checking these pieces against the big picture results and analyzing them against what we know is needed to make change

48. Ready for College, Work & Life As measured by indicators e.g., educational attainment, employment, health care coverage, HIV/AIDS rate… Program/System Level Performance PARTICIPATION How much do we do? QUALITY How well do we do it? PROGRAM OUTCOMES Is anyone better off? Frequency, duration, intensity of participation Point of Service Quality Improved skills, knowledge & behaviors Maryland’s Ready by 21 Action Agenda DESIRED OUTCOMES Competent, Caring Adults Accessible, Affordable Housing Access to Health Care Pathways to Education and Employment Equal Treatment Under the Law ACTION AREAS POPULATIONPOPULATION LEVEL GOALSLEVEL GOALS How is our community doing?How are our young people doing?

49. About Family & Community Supports From Core Principles to Common Language

50. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Percentage of the Five America’s Promises that Kentucky Program Outcomes Address

51. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Number of the Five Promises that Each Kentucky Program Pursues

52. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Point of Service Quality and the YPQA Plan Make choices Reflect Partner with adults Lead and mentor Be in small groups Experience belonging Engagement Reframing conflictEncouragement Skill building Active engagement Session flow Welcoming atmosphere Supportive Environment Interaction Safe Environment Healthy food and drinks Program space and furnitureEmergency procedures Psychological and emotional safety Physically safe environment

53. Take Stock of Public and Private Community Supports Using a Common Set of Performance Measures Setting ASetting BSetting CSetting DSetting E Safe Places Caring Adults Opportunities to Help Others Effective Education Healthy Start

54. Taking Action

55. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Big Picture Goals Messages●Frameworks Data●Metrics CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility A Blueprint for Action

56. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility A Blueprint for Action

57. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility Changed Odds for Children & Youth A Blueprint for Action

58. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Improve/Coordi nate Systems, Services & Programs Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Impact Strategies Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility Changed Odds for Children & Youth A Blueprint for Action

59. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changed Odds for Children & Youth Improve/Coordi nate Systems, Services & Programs Align Policies & Resources Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Impact Strategies Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility A Blueprint for Action

60. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changed Odds for Children & Youth Improve/Coordi nate Systems, Services & Programs Align Policies & Resources Increase Demand Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Impact Strategies Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility A Blueprint for Action

61. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Changed Odds for Children & Youth Improve/Coordi nate Systems, Services & Programs Align Policies & Resources Engage Youth & Families Increase Demand Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Impact Strategies Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility A Blueprint for Action

62. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Big Picture Coordinating Bodies Changed Odds for Children & Youth Improve/Coordi nate Systems, Services & Programs Align Policies & Resources Engage Youth & Families Increase Demand Big Picture Goals Messages●Framewor ks Data●Metrics Big Impact Strategies Big Tent Partners CURVED ART in ORANGE CIRCLE– Stakeholders & Structures Taking Shared Responsibility Stakeholders & Structures taking shared responsibility A Blueprint for Action

63. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Kentucky’s Blueprint for Action

64. Tracking Progress

65. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 from 4 in 10 doing well to 7 in 10 doing well Providing These Supports CAN Change the Odds Gambone/Connell’s research suggests that if all young people got the supports they needed in early adolescence, the picture could change…

66. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Tracking Progress on Indicators 49%49% 67%67%

67. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 8 th graders who scored at or above proficient reading level

68. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 Youth aged 18-24 not attending school not working, no degree beyond HS

69. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 HS Grads age 25-29 who have completed a bachelor’s degree or higher

70. © The Forum for Youth Investment 2008 We Advocate for a “Big Picture Approach” Take A im Take S tock Target A ction Track P rogress The Forum couples field knowledge with conceptual, practical and “power” tools to help state and local leaders quickly organize available information (about youth outcomes, community supports and current initiatives and resources) to support data-driven “big picture” planning and accountability.

71. Connecting Thriving Leading Working Learning As measured by indicators e.g., Teen birth rate (common resources: Kids Count; Search internal assets) Program/System Level Performance PARTICIPATION How much do we do? QUALITY How well do we do it? PROGRAM OUTCOMES Is anyone better off? Point of Service Quality Improved skills, knowledge & behaviors As measured by indicators e.g., % with improved decision-making skills Frequency, duration, intensity of participation CHILD & YOUTH FAMILY & COMMUNITY OUTCOMES or RESULTS Caring Adults Safe Places Effective Ed Healthy Starts Opportunities to Contribute As measured by indicators e.g., % with caring adult (common resources: Search external assets) SUPPORTS or INPUTS POPULATIONPOPULATION LEVEL GOALSLEVEL GOALS e.g. How is our community doing?How are our young people doing?

72. The Forum for Youth Investment www.forumfyi.org