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Stage III: Project Execution and Control Earned Value Analysis B: Chapter 8: pages 10-13 B: Chapter 12: the entire chapter
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Recitation What does RAM stand for in the context of HR Management? What was the name of the guy who categorized all job satisfaction factors into two categories? What were those two categories?
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Freeze Requirements??? What are the PROS? What are the CONS?
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Freeze those requirements!! Late-project creeping requirements are the most common source of cost and schedule overruns Late-project creeping requirements are a major factor in project cancellations
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Rather than freezing, use some kind of change control system Allows for some changes to happen, depending upon contractual considerations Allows for the system to reject some proposed changes Use of a CCB is considered a modern BEST PRACTICE
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Forces pushing for late-project requirements change Competition intros new version of competitive product with unanticipated KILLER features New work is undiscovered late in the project A “Wouldn’t It be Great if…” scenario happens End-users want changes because they now know more about their requirements than they did 18 months ago Developers want changes because they have a great emotional and intellectual investment in all of the system’s details
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Processes utilized in Stage III Integration management: Project plan execution; integrated change control Scope management: Scope change control Time management: Schedule control Cost management: Cost control Quality management: Quality control
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Processes utilized in Stage III, Continued Communication management: Information distribution, Performance reporting Risk management: Risk monitoring and control Procurement management: Contract administration
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Controlling Changes to the Project Schedule Perform reality checks on schedules Allow for contingencies?? Don’t plan for everyone to work at 100% capacity all the time Hold progress meetings with stakeholders and be clear and honest in communicating schedule issues
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Execution Focus and leadership are keys to success in execution Poor execution leads to losses in the business world just as it does in sports
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Factors leading to poor Execution Multitasking—doing several things at once Procrastination (student syndrome)—putting things off until the last minute Others we will discuss later
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Multitasking A finishes B finishes
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Cost Control Project cost control includes monitoring cost performance ensuring that only appropriate project changes are included in a revised cost baseline informing project stakeholders of authorized changes to the project that will affect costs Earned value analysis is an important tool for cost control
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Earned Value Analysis (EVA) EVA is a project performance measurement technique that integrates scope, time, and cost data Given a baseline (original plan plus approved changes), you can determine how well the project is meeting its goals with EVA You must enter actual information periodically to use EVA. Figure 6-1 shows a sample form for collecting information
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Figure 6-1. Cost Control Input Form for Business Systems Replacement Project
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Earned Value Analysis Terms Budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP), also called earned value, is the percentage of work actually completed multiplied by the budget for the activity Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS), Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS), also called planned value, is that portion of the approved total cost estimate planned to be spent on an activity during a given period Actual cost of work performed (ACWP), also called actual cost, are the total direct and indirect costs incurred in accomplishing work on an activity during a given period
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Earned Value analysis--EVA Earned value = Budgeted Cost of Work Performed (BCWP) Planned value = Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled (BCWS), and Actual Cost = Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP) When you complete an activity, you earn the budgeted value of that activity
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Schedule Variance (SV) Defined as the difference between the budgeted cost of work performed and the budgeted cost of work scheduled = BCWP - BCWS Indicates the deviation between the work content performed and the work content scheduled for the control period
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Cost Variance (CV) Defined as the difference between the budgeted cost of work performed and the actual cost of work performed = BCWP - ACWP A positive CV indicates a lower actual cost than budgeted for the control period, while a negative CV indicates a cost overrun
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Schedule Performance Index (SPI) Defined as the ratio BCWP/BCWS A value close to 1 indicates an activity that is on schedule Values greater than 1 suggest the activity is ahead of schedule Values less than 1 indicate a schedule overrun
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Cost Performance Index (CPI) Defined as the ratio BCWP/ACWP A value close to 1 indicates an activity that is on budget Values greater than 1 suggest the activity is below budget Values less than 1 indicate a budget overrun
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Table 6-7. Earned Value Formulas
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Table 6-6. Earned Value Calculations for One Activity After Week One
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Rules of Thumb for EVA Numbers Negative numbers for cost and schedule variance indicate problems in those areas. The project is costing more than planned or taking longer than planned CPI and SPI less than 100% indicate problems
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Figure 6-2. Earned Value Calculations for a One-Year Project After Five Months
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In the Figure above Budget at Completion = BAC = original budget at the planned completion date Time at Completion = TAC = original completion time In the figure above, $100,000 in month 12 Estimate at completion = EAC = BAC/CPI Estimate at completion = $100,000/.83 = $120,455 Estimated time to complete = ETAC = TAC/SPI Estimated time to complete = 12/.96 = 12.55 mos.
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Why Earned Value Analysis?? You can’t tell what your true cost variance is because you don’t know where you are relative to schedule Suppose you are behind schedule but also you have spent less than what the schedule has called for. Are you really under budget?
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Updating cost estimates BAC = Budget at completion = total budget of the project activities based on the original project plan Assuming the original budget (the BAC) was $200,000 and the CPI is 1.12, what is EAC? EAC = BAC / CPI = $200,000 / 1.12 $178,571
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Updating schedule estimates TAC = Time at completion = total time required to complete the schedule ETAC = Estimated (revised) time to complete Assuming the TAC was 12 months what is the ETAC? ETAC = TAC / SPI = 12 /.77 15.6 months Project will be delayed almost 4 months
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Updating, Cont’d WR = Work Remaining = budgeted cost of the work not yet accomplished by the end of the reporting period WR = BAC - BCWP ETC = updated estimate of the cost of work remaining = COST(WR) EAC = updated estimate of the total project cost = ACWP + ETC
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Figure 6-3. Earned Value Chart for Project After Five Months EAC
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Using Software to Assist in Cost Management Spreadsheets are a common tool for resource planning, cost estimating, cost budgeting, and cost control Many companies use more sophisticated and centralized financial applications software for cost information Project management software has many cost- related features
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Using MS Project for Execution & Control First, make certain your project plan is complete and final Second, save it as a baseline Begin entering actual information Actual costs Percentage complete
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Tracking: MS Project will track— Task start dates Task finish dates Task duration Task cost work Percentage of task that is complete
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Getting Earned Value Data Visible You can go to view and replace the entry table with the Earned Value table Or, you can enter the earned value columns into your existing table through the Insert Column facility. The columns are BCWP, BCWS, ACWP, CV, SC, SPI, CPI, etc. You can also request the Tracking Gantt Chart off the LHS side of MS Project
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Entering actual start & Finish dates for a task On the view bar, click Gantt chart In the task name field select the task to update On the Tools menu, point to tracking and click Update Tasks Under Actual, type the dates in the Start and Finish boxes
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Indicating progress on a task as a percentage In the task name field of the Gantt Chart Double click—this brings up the task information sheet Select the general tab In the percentage complete box type a whole number between 0 and 100
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Entering actual costs for a resource assignment On the Tools menu, click options, then click the calculation tab Clear the Actual costs are always calculated by MS Project check box Click OK On the view bar, click Task usage On the view menu, point to the Table, and click Tracking Drag the divider bar to the right to view the Activity Cost field In the activity cost field, type the actual cost for the assignment for which you want to update costs
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Recitation What are two of the four Myers/Briggs dimensions? What are the other two? To what Myers/Briggs category do most IT professionals belong? Who is the motivation guru? What are his five levels? Who gave us Theory X and Theory Y??
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