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Forecasting Models Decomposition and Exponential Smoothing.

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Presentation on theme: "Forecasting Models Decomposition and Exponential Smoothing."— Presentation transcript:

1 Forecasting Models Decomposition and Exponential Smoothing

2 Additive Model

3 Multiplicative Model

4 Simple Exponential Smoothing No Trend

5 Additive Trend Holt’s Method

6 Multiplicative Trend

7 Dampened Additive Trend

8 Dampened Multiplicative Trend

9 Additive Trend and Additive Seasonality

10 Additive Trend and Multiplicative Seasonality Holt-Winters Method

11 Multiplicative Trend and Additive Seasonality

12 Multiplicative Trend and Multiplicative Seasonality

13 Dampened Additive Trend with Additive Seasonality

14 Dampened Multiplicative Trend with Multiplicative Seasonality

15 ETS Models (Error, Trend, Seasonality)

16 Measure or Forecasting Equation ETS(A, A, A)

17 Measure or Forecasting Equation ETS(A, A, M)

18 Measure or Forecasting Equation ETS(A, A d, M)

19 Measure or Forecasting Equation ETS(A, M d, M)

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