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Final Exam Review!!!!!
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Experimental Design Random Sampling Stratified Sampling Convenience Sampling Cluster Sampling Systematic Sampling Multistage Sampling Census etc…………
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Comparison of Boxplots!! Be able to discuss the variability, IQR, etc..
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Percentiles Ex: A random sample of size 25 is taken from a normal population having a mean 200 and standard deviation 10. What is the 95 th percentile? Ans:invnorm(0.95,200,2 )=203.3
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Probability!! Formulas: P(A and B)=P(A)P(B) If they are independent P(A or B)=P(A) + P(B) If they are mutually exclusive OR P(A or B)=P(A) + P(B)- P(A and B) if they have two events in common!! P(AІB)= P(A and B)/ P(B)
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Probability Examples Ex 1: The probability I like Pretzels is.45. The probability I likes Bagels is.25. The probability I like Pretzels and Bagels is.35. Are these 2 events independent? Is P(P and B)=P(P)*P(B)? 0.35 ≠ (0.45)(0.25) Therefore they are not independent!
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Ex 2: The probability that I play volleyball on Tuesday is 0.9. The probability that I play volleyball and go running on Tuesday is 0.6. What is the probability I went running, given that I went to volleyball? P(R|V)= 0.6/0.9=0.6667
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Venn Diagram The probability your family goes to the park is 65%. The probability your family goes to the beach is 30%. The probability your family goes to the beach and the park while on vacation is 20%. What is the probability they don’t go to either? 25%
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Mean and Standard Deviation of Independent Events
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Error in a Significance Test Type I: (α) -Reject H₀ when in fact H₀ is true. Type II: (β) -Accept H₀, when in fact Ha is true. ** Remember to define and also state in terms of the problem Increase Power????? Increase you sample size!!!!!!!
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Confidence Intervals Calculate and interpret a confidence interval We are 95% the true mean number of baskets made was between 2 and 10 baskets.
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Interpret slope Y-intercept Correlation? Coefficient of Determination Predict the final grade if the quiz average was 75.
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Z-scores Jen scored a 1240 on her SAT and a 27 on her ACT. The SAT has a mean of 1080 and a std. dev. of 100 while the ACT has a mean of 25 with a std. dev. of 2.3. Which test results should she report on her college applications? SAT = (1240-1080)/100=1.6 ACT= (27-25)/2.3=0.87 She scored better on the SAT
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Characteristics of a t-curve With your partners, think of 2 characteristics that apply to a t-distribution Asymptotic w/ the x-axis and extends infinitely to the left and right Hint: How do we define a t- curve? Mean & Standard Deviation?
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How measures of center are affected What happens to the: -mean -standard deviation -median -correlation a) If I double everyone’s quiz grade. b) If I add 5 extra credit points to everyone’s quiz grade.
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What is a “p-value”???? Assuming Ho is true, there is a 2.37% chance of observing a value as extreme or more extreme than the one observed.
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Binomial Distribution -There are a fixed # of trials -They are independent -The probability of success, p, is the same -There are 2 outcomes, success or failure.
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Binomial Distribution Example The probability I hit a triple is 0.24. What is the probability of getting at least one triple in 6 of my at- bats? Ans: 1-P(no triples)= 1 – P(0)=
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Residuals Residuals: Observed – Predicted R= O-P What does it mean if we get a negative residual? Prediction was too high Positive? Prediction was too low
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What is the expected value? x1234 P(x)1/31/4 1/6 μ= 1(1/3) + 2(1/4) + 3(1/4) + 4(1/6) = 2.25
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Central Limit Theorem What is the difference between the central limit theorem and the law of large numbers?
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Margin of Error
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Free Response Questions There will be 4 free response questions. They could include any of the following topics. - Linear Regression Test (How to read the output) Interpet slope, y-int, residuals, y=a+bx,etc…. -Probability- Are they independent? -Matched pairs t-test -2 Sample t-test -Chi-Squared Test -know Goodness of fit, Homogeneity, and Independence
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