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www.bea.gov BEA’s State and Local Area Personal Income Robert L. Brown Navigating the Nevada Economy Reno, NV September 29, 2009
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www.bea.gov BEA Personal Income ▪ The most current, comprehensive and consistent measure available of household income ▪ Comprehensive: measures income received by persons from production (returns to labor and capital) business and government transfers ▪ Consistent across time and geography
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www.bea.gov 3 BEA Regional Personal Income ▪ Consistent time series with BEA national statistics ▪ Timely State—3 months Metro—8 months County—12-16 months ▪ Industrial structure of earnings and compensation
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www.bea.gov State Personal Income ▪ Quarterly estimates by place of residence from 1948 3 months after the end of the quarter ▪ Annual estimates by place of residence from 1929 Preliminary 3 months after end of year Detailed 9 months after the end of the year Includes per capita and disposable personal income estimates ▪ Annual earnings, compensation, wages, and employment by industry by place of work
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www.bea.gov Local Area Personal Income ▪ Annual data from 1969 Metro area released 8 months after end of year County compensation released 12 months after end of year County PI released 16 months after end of year ▪ Geographic availability: 3,111 counties 366 Metropolitan Areas 574 Micropolitan Areas 179 BEA Economic Areas ▪ Industry detail by place of work Compensation by county and industry available 12 months after reference year Earnings and employment by county available 16 month after end of year
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www.bea.gov BEA Income is a Dynamic Series ▪ Personal income has changed to better reflect the ever-changing economy Definitional and classificational changes Source data and methodological changes Presentational changes 6
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www.bea.gov 7 Regional Income First Produced ▪ 1940—”Income Payments to Individuals, by States, 1929-38” Income payments to individuals for services rendered in current production An attempt to measure product ▪ Income payments definition—4 components: Salaries and wages Other labor income Direct and work relief and unemployment benefits, workmen’s compensation, pension payments, and related items Entrepreneurial withdrawals Income of self-employed persons Dividends, interest, and net rents and royalties
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www.bea.gov 8 State and Local Area Personal Income ▪ State personal income first published in Survey of Current Business in 1955 ▪ 6 Major Components Wages and Salaries Other Labor Income Proprietors’ Income Property Income Transfer Payments Less: Personal Contributions for Social Insurance ▪ Local area personal income first published in 1975 ▪ Consistent with the integrated national economic accounts
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www.bea.gov 9 State and Local Area Personal Income—What Has Changed? ▪ More component detail ▪ Broader range of income-in-kind and imputed income items ▪ Now includes income of nonprofit institutions serving individuals ▪ Now includes employer contributions to private pension funds Instead of benefits ▪ New component—transfer payments Government payments to individuals
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www.bea.gov Continued Improvements ▪ Detail continues to expand Compensation by industry in 2005 Dividends, interest, and rent detail in 2009/10 ▪ Definitions continue to be updated Treatment of Medicare prescription drugs Treatment of Economic Stimulus payments ▪ New source data and methods continue to be developed and used 10
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www.bea.gov Key local area statistics ▪ Total personal income All income received by residents ▪ Per capita personal income Personal income divided by population Indicator of economic well-being ▪ Earnings by place of work and by industry Proxy for production Industrial structure ▪ Dividends, interest, and rent Income from assets and housing ▪ Transfer receipts Social Security, government-administered medical, income maintenance
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www.bea.gov How We Produce the Estimates ▪ Administrative record information Advantage--provides detailed information at low cost Disadvantage--does not precisely match what is being estimated—must make adjustments to compensate for differences ▪ Some census data--quinquennial Agriculture and decennial Population and Housing ▪ Very little from survey information
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www.bea.gov Sources of Data Personal Income BLSIRSSSACMSOther 60% 23% 6% 5%
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www.bea.gov Wage & Salary Disbursements ▪ 55% of personal income (2005) ▪ Based primarily on Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) report Byproduct of Unemployment Insurance (UI) program Excellent quality--Most workers are covered by UI ▪ Other data sources used for 6% of noncovered workers & under-reported wages & tips ▪ Data are by place of work
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www.bea.gov Supplements to Wages & Salaries ▪ 13% of personal income ▪ Employer contributions to: Pension & private insurance funds (9%) Govt. social insurance funds (4%)
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www.bea.gov Wages and Supplements United States
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www.bea.gov Proprietors’ income ▪ 9.2% of personal income (farm 0.4%, nonfarm 8.8%) ▪ Farm: Based on US Department of Agriculture data ▪ Nonfarm: Based on tabulations of IRS tax returns— Schedule C & partnership Form 1065 ▪ Adjusted for misreported income
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www.bea.gov Adjustment for Residence ▪ Place of work compensation and earnings Shows location of production Used as proxy for current production ▪ Place of residence income Indicator of economic well-being Shows where income is available for tax planning and for spending analyses
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www.bea.gov Adjustment for Residence ▪ <0.5% of personal income nationally Nevada -0.6% Carson City-13.4% Douglas 10.5% Washoe -1.4% ▪ Inter-county commuters Based on Census Journey to Work data & updated with IRS wages (place of residence)
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www.bea.gov Dividends, Interest, & Rent ▪ 16% of personal income ▪ Nearly 1/2 of interest is received by pension funds and life insurance carriers on behalf of persons ▪ Local estimates based on tabulations of income tax returns and Census housing statistics
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www.bea.gov Personal Current Transfer Receipts ▪ 15% of personal income Social Security accounts for 1/3 Includes in-kind transfers such as Medicare & Medicaid—45% of transfers Income maintenance, unemployment benefits, veterans’ benefits, etc. ▪ Based on primary data tabulated by state or county
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