1. Emergency Preparedness Education: Learning from Experience, Science of Disasters, and Preparing for the Future (II): Focus on Flood and Typhoon Roberto Araya CIAE University of Chile roberto.araya.schulz@gmail.com roberto.araya.schulz@gmail.com

2. Empirical Study of the Curriculum Math Modeling of Floods

3. Empirical Study of the Curriculum Curriculum + teacher practices + students activities  knowledge components network (515.823 exercises made by 805 4th graders from 23 courses)

4. Empirical study: number of excercises per month

5. Empirical study: # of exercises of each curriculum component per month

6. Empirical study: causality between curriculum components To predict performance in a component c, which historical performance k will be better?

7. Empirical study: causality network of components

8. Empirical study: causality between strands

9. Empirical study

10. Mathematical Modeling Use  Select  Adjust  Build Concrete  Computational  Abstract

11. How to study propagation? Use simple models

12. Model # 1

14. Model # 2

16. Model # 2 (another initial condition)

17. Model # 2

18. Model # 3

20. Model # 4

22. SelectAdjustBuild

23. Thank you roberto.araya.schulz@gmail.com