1. 1 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Modeling and Simulation in an Era of Persistent Conflict Classification: UNCLASSIFIED Presented by MG Robert Lennox Deputy G-3/5/7, Headquarters, Department of the Army At DoD M&S Conference 11 March 2008

2. 2 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED OEF-Philippines 900 SOLDIERS Army Global Commitments 255,000 Soldiers deployed / “forward station” in nearly 80 countries overseas * Includes AC Stationed Overseas OIF-IRAQ 113,000 SOLDIERS OEF-PHILIPPINES 700 SOLDIERS Army Personnel Strength Component R/C Authorized for Mobilization / On Current Orders - Active (AC) 524,000 N/A - Reserve (RC) USAR 190,000 22,000 ARNG 353000 52,000 1,067,000 South Korea 18,000 SOLDIERS (Part of AC Station Overseas) OTHER OPERATIONS & EXERCISES 4,250 SOLDIERS HOMELAND SECURITY 4,000 SOLDIERS (RC Mobilized Stateside) JTF-BRAVO 700 SOLDIERS MFO 700 SOLDIERS OEF-AFGHANISTAN 22,000 SOLDIERS JTF-GTMO 600 SOLDIERS KFOR 1,000 SOLDIERS AS OF 04 Mar 08 MSG Rodriguez, J AC STATIONED OVERSEAS 104,000 AC STATIONED STATESIDE 420,000 OEF/OIF KUWAIT 8,000 BOSNIA 50 SOLDIERS ALASKA 12,000 SOLDIERS USAREUR 34,000 SOLDIERS

3. 3 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED FM 3-0 Revision “America is at war and should expect to remain fully engaged throughout the world for the next several decades in a Persistent Conflict against an enemy dedicated to U.S. defeat as a nation and eradication as a society.” FM 3-0, Introduction The Operational Concept Army forces combine offensive, defensive, and stability or civil support operations simultaneously as part of an interdependent Joint force to seize, retain, and exploit the initiative to achieve decisive results. They employ synchronized action – lethal and non-lethal – proportional to the mission, and informed by a thorough understanding of all dimensions of the operational environment

4. 4 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Emerging global trends Persistent Conflict – a condition of protracted confrontation among state, non-state and individual actors that use violence to achieve their political and ideological ends. Globalization Population Growth Resource Demand Climate Change & Natural Disasters Proliferation of WMD Failed or Failing States An Era of Persistent Conflict FROM FIGHTING AROUND THE PEOPLE TO FIGHTING AMONG THE PEOPLE

5. 5 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Changing Technology

6. 6 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Increased Concussions and head injuries

7. 7 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Sandbag delivery

8. 8 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED

9. 9 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Need video of guys putting truck up right….

10. 10 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Modeling and Simulation in an Era of Persistant Conflict Classification: FOUO/PRE-DECISIONAL

11. 11 Department of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division UNCLASSIFIED Back Ups