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Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development Regional Livability Footprint Project
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Project Leadership Association of Bay Area Governments Bay Area Air Quality Management District Metropolitan Transportation Commission Bay Conservation and Development Commission Regional Water Quality Control Board Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development
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Project Leadership ABAG Solano County Supervisor Bill Carroll Danville Town Mayor Millie Greenberg Cupertino City Councilmember Don Burnett Santa Rosa City Councilmember Steve Rabinowitsh BAAQMD Alameda County Supervisor Scott Haggerty Contra Costa County Supervisor Mark DeSaulnier Los Gatos City Councilmember Randy Attaway MTC Santa Clara County Supervisor Jim Beall Suisun City Mayor Jim Spering Marin County Supervisor Steve Kinsey BCDC Contra Costa County Supervisor John Gioia San Mateo County Supervisor Richard Gordon RWQCB John Muller, Half Moon Bay BAY AREA ALLIANCE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Carl Anthony, Executive Director Urban Habitat Program Bill Carroll, President Association of Bay Area Governments Robert Harris, Vice President Pacific Gas and Electric Sunne Wright McPeak, President & CEO Bay Area Council Michele Perrault, International Vice President Sierra Club
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What We Face in Next 20 Years Between now and 2020, ABAG projects that the Bay Area will likely add: 1 million new jobs 1 million more people 250,000 daily in-commuters to the region 250% increase in aggregate traffic congestion
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Choices About Future Growth Expand housing Constrain future job growth Expand infrastructure to accommodate in-commuters
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Facing Our Regional Growth Challenges Housing Availability and Affordability Mobility and Traffic Congestion Environmental Quality Social and Economic Equity Livability and Community Vitality
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Housing Affordability Housing costs are highest in the most job-rich communities (CA Assoc. of Realtors, February 2000)
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Traffic Mobility and Congestion 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Hours Lost in Congestion Growing Significantly, 2000-2020 2020 +249% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% VMT Increasing Faster Than Population, 2000-2020 VMTPopulation 14% 28 % 1990 Thousands of Hrs. per Day
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Traffic Mobility and Congestion 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 19902020 Commute Mode Split (millions of trips/day) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 19902020 In-commutersto Bay Area (thousands of persons/year) Cars Transit Walk, bike
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Social and Economic Equity Very low-income neighborhoods need reinvestment while minimizing displacement The Bay Area’s 46 Most Impoverished Neighborhoods (NCCC 1997) These neighborhood residents need access to quality jobs
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Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development Regional Livability Footprint Project Work Plan and Schedule
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Philosophy Bottom-up Broad participation Build on local efforts
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Goals Land use changes supported by local governments An incentive package and implementation strategies A set of smart growth projections
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Timeline Kick-Off Preview Workshop Sept. 29, 2000 Reconnaissance Meetings Nov. ‘00 - Feb. ‘01 Public Workshops: Round One Sept. - Oct. 2001 Synopsis/Distillation/Analysis Nov ‘01 - Jan ‘02 Public Workshops: Round Two Feb. - Mar. 2002 Analysis of Alternative Growth Scenario Spring - Summer ‘02 Continued Public Outreach and Education ABAG Adoption of Projections November 2002
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Reconnaissance Meetings November 2000 - February 2001 One per county 20-25 locally elected officials, staff and stakeholder group reps Focus on local issues and current initiatives Customize workshops for each county
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Public Workshops - Round One September - October 2001 Local sponsors Regional and county- specific smart growth issues Presentation of different building types Build on local initiatives
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Table Mapping Exercise Round One Workshops Group discussion to achieve consensus on smart growth principles Assign development to planning areas PLACE 3 S model tracks impacts and gives immediate feedback Discuss incentives needed for implementation Generate a wide range of ideas
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Synopsis, Distillation & Preliminary Analysis: Nov. 2001 - Jan. 2002 Technical staff and local advisors Distillation into three thematic regional smart growth alternatives Preliminary analysis of these alternative(s)
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Public Workshops - Round Two February - March 2002 Additional media outreach Review results of first workshop Sub-regional issues Preferred land use alternative(s) and incentives Recommend preferred alternative
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Analysis of Alternative Growth Scenario(s): Spring - Summer 2002 ABAG staff will analyze the base case and a single preferred alternative Bay Area Alliance will develop analysis for additional scenarios, as needed Bay Area Alliance will conduct widespread public education and feedback program on alternative scenarios
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Next Steps ABAG Board considers adoption of Projections forecast MTC’s Regional Transportation Plan Other Regional Plans Incentive program Local implementation Regional Livability Footprint
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Project Website www.abag.ca.gov/planning/smartgrowth
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