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Balloon Safety Seminar Balloon Safety Seminar FAA Aviation Safety Center Lakeland, FL Daniel Noah Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service – Ruskin, FL
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http://weather.gov National Weather Service #1 Mission: Issue warnings for hazardous weather for the protection of life and property
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http://weather.gov NWS in Ruskin, FL 26 Employees 24 hours a day/365 days a year One of 122 local offices
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http://weather.gov Area of Responsibility
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http://weather.gov America’s Weather Service
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http://weather.gov Warn for Hazardous Weather Tornadoes Waterspouts Damaging Wind Flash Floods Large Hail River Floods Fire Weather Marine Winter Storms and more
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http://weather.gov Partners in the Warning Process Emergency Management Manage resources to lessen affects of storm Television & Radio #1 source of weather info Newspapers Document storms and provide preparedness material Our warnings mean nothing if people don’t hear it or know how to respond!
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http://weather.gov When is a Warning Issued? 1.Radar detects the severe weather 2.Trained SKYWARN severe weather spotter reports severe weather
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http://weather.gov NOAA Weather Radio Warns of natural and man made hazards Alerts you even when you’re sleeping New radios can be programmed just for your county
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http://weather.gov Aviation Forecasting
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http://weather.gov http://aviationweather.gov
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http://weather.gov http://aviationweather.gov Terminal Forecasts METARS Pilot Reports Significant Weather Progs AIRMETS and SIGMETS Icing Turbulence IFR Convective
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http://weather.gov TAF Forecasts KTPA 161120Z 161212 20012KT P6SM BKN100 FM1500 28012g18KT P6SM VCTS BKN050CB FM1800 32015g22KT 5SM –SHRA BR BKN030 TEMPO 1822 1SM TSRA BKN015CB FM0000 33012KT P6SM BKN040 FM0400 36008KT P6SM SCT040= - Tampa International Airport - St Pete/Clearwater Airport - Sarasota/Bradenton Airport - Fort Myers Airport - Regional Southwest Airport
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http://weather.gov Click on Area of Interest
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http://weather.gov NWS Tampa Homepage
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http://weather.gov NWS Tampa Homepage
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http://weather.gov NWS Tampa Homepage Click on version you want to look at
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http://weather.gov Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 454 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-171552- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 454 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA..DAY ONE...TODAY: PATCHY FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREAS UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE LOCALLY DENSE FOG. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND MAINTAIN A SAFE FOLLOWING DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES WHEN ENCOUNTER FOGGY AREAS. A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL PROVIDE INCREASING WINDS THAT WILL BE NORTH AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT ON THE WATERS 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. A SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE WATERS TONIGHT..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
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http://weather.gov Forecast Discussion WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 303 AM EST THU FEB 17 2005.SHORT TERM (TODAY - SAT)...WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE GULF WITH NEARLY ZONAL ALOFT OVER THE AREA. AN UPPER TROUGH FROM HUDSON BAY TO THE GREAT LAKES WILL SWING EAST TO NORTHERN QUEBEC AND NEW ENGLAND BY THE END OF TODAY...PUSHING A COLD FRONT/ LOCATED OVER THE SE ATLANTIC COAST TO THE GULF COAST/ SOUTH OVER THE CWFA TODAY. LIMITED MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL KEEP THE EFFECTS OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE CONFINED TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND WINDS SHIFTING AND PICKING UP SOME AS THE FRONT WORKS IT'S WAY DOWN THE CWFA. HIGH PRESSURE DROPS FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE GULF COAST TODAY AND THEN SLIDES INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. BY SAT. TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE CLOSE TO CLIMO AND THEN DIP DOWN BELOW CLIMO UNTIL THEY WARM BACK UP TO NEAR NORMAL FOR SAT AFTERNOON. A FEW LOCATIONS ARE REPORTING SOME LOW CLOUDS OR DENSE FOG BUT EXPECT COVERAGE TO BE LIMITED AND WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE 400 AM ZONES. SHOULD COVERAGE INCREASE WILL HANDLE WITH A NOWCAST OR STATEMENT..LONG TERM (SAT NIGHT-WED)...HIGH PRES OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND SE STATES WILL MOVE OFFSHORE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE HIGH WILL THEN EXTEND FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WESTWARD ACROSS FL AND INTO THE GULF MON INTO TUE.
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http://weather.gov Time to Switch Gears
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http://weather.gov Launch Weather Balloons Where Forecasting Begins
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http://weather.gov Balloon Parachute Instrument Package Upper Air Sounding
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http://weather.gov Launched at 73 U.S. Cities
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http://weather.gov Radiosonde ▪ Launched at the same time across the world (11Z & 23Z) ▪ Rises 1000 feet per minute ▪ Reaches 90,000 ft in 90 minutes ▪ Balloon expands to 35 feet before exploding
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http://weather.gov 850 MB Upper Level Plot L L L L L L H http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html
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http://weather.gov Radiosonde Plotted Data http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html
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http://weather.gov Temperature Inversion As you go aloft, temperature normally decreases at a rate of 5.5° F per 1000 feet Temperature inversion occurs when the temperature increases with height instead of decreasing.
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http://weather.gov Radiosonde Text Data
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http://weather.gov Temperature Inversion Inversion
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http://weather.gov What Can Smoke Tell Us Stability in the lower layers Stability in the lower layers Presence of Inversion layers Presence of Inversion layers Direction of winds aloft Direction of winds aloft Speed of winds aloft Speed of winds aloft
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http://weather.gov When Inversions Breaks Winds may increase suddenly Winds may increase suddenly Temperatures increase Temperatures increase Relative humidity decreases Relative humidity decreases
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http://weather.gov Boundary Layer & Turbulence
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http://weather.gov Surface Heat and Updrafts
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http://weather.gov Boundary Layer Friction
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http://weather.gov Local Winds & Friction
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http://weather.gov Sea Breeze Front on Satellite
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http://weather.gov Visible Satellite Loop
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http://weather.gov Sea Breeze
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http://weather.gov Sea Breeze
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http://weather.gov Day - Sea Breeze
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http://weather.gov Land Breeze
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http://weather.gov Night – Land Breeze
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http://weather.gov Sea and Bay Breezes 10 AM
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http://weather.gov Sea and Bay Breezes 1 PM
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http://weather.gov Sea Breeze Fronts Moist, stable, 80-85 Moist Unstable Hot near 90 Moist stable 80-85
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http://weather.gov Position of High Pressure and Effect on Sea Breeze Calm Flow High Pressure Ridge to the North High Pressure Ridge to the South
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http://weather.gov Weak High Pressure Ridge Calm Flow
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http://weather.gov Weak High Pressure Ridge 7 AM
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http://weather.gov Weak High Pressure Ridge 3 PM
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http://weather.gov Calm Flow Lightning Activity
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to North
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to North Low Level Flow 8 AM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to North Low Level Flow 11 AM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to North Low Level Flow 1 PM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to North Low Level Flow 4 PM
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http://weather.gov Lightning Activity
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to South
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to South Low Level Flow 8 AM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to South Low Level Flow 11 AM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to South Low Level Flow 1 PM
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http://weather.gov High Pressure Axis to South Low Level Flow 4 PM
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http://weather.gov Lightning Activity
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http://weather.gov Thunderstorm Gust Front
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http://weather.gov Sea Breeze and Outflow Boundaries
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http://weather.gov NWS Aviation Newsletter The mission of The Front is to enhance aviation safety by increasing the pilot's knowledge of weather systems and processes, and NWS products and services. http://aviationweather.gov
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http://weather.gov Pilot Reporting & Tracking The SkySpotter® program is sponsored by the AOPA, FAA, and the National Weather Service Aviation Weather Center. http://aviationweather.gov
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http://weather.gov Questions?
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http://weather.gov
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