1. M&M Experiment Which color are you most likely to get?
Take out a sheet of paper and pen or pencil.

2. Amount of colored candies
Step 1
Count the number of total candies.
Count the number of candies for each color.
CHART 1
Amount of colored candies
Total Candies
Yellow
Red
Green
Blue
Orange
Brown

3. Amount of colored candies
Step 2
Extend chart to convert the number of candies for each color into a fraction, decimal, & percent!
My M&M’s Data
CHART 1
Amount of colored candies
Total Candies
Fraction
Decimal
Percent
Yellow
Red
Green
Blue
Orange
Brown

4. Analyze your results by responding to the following questions.
Step 3
Analyze your results by responding to the following questions.
According to your results, which color is most likely? Which color is least likely?
What is the sample space for picking an M&M in your package?
Is picking a blue or orange candy more likely? Why?
Do you have any colors that have equally likely outcomes? Explain!
A) What is the probability of picking an orange M&M? B) What is the probability of picking an orange or a yellow M&M? C) What is the probability of not picking an orange M&M? D) What is the probability of not picking an orange or a yellow M&M?
Did we calculate and examine theoretical or experimental probability? How do you know? Elaborate!!!

5. Step 4
According to the M&M website, each package of milk chocolate M&M contains…
24% Blue
14% Brown
16% Green
20% Orange
13% Red
14% Yellow
Create a chart to show the amount of each color of candy that should be in your package!

6. Total Candies in Package Amount of Colored Candies
Theoretical Data
CHART 2
Percent
Decimal
Total Candies in Package
Amount of Colored Candies
Yellow
14%
Red
13%
Green
16%
Blue
24%
Orange
20%
Brown

7. Step 5
Since your sample size is small, combine class data to examine a larger sample size.
Combined Class Data
CHART 3
Yellow
Red
Green
Blue
Orange
Brown
Color Totals
Total
Color %

8. Step 6- Small Group Practice (QUIZ GRADE)
A) How do you find the theoretical probability of picking a yellow candy? B) How do you find the experimental probability of picking a yellow candy? C) Will these probabilities always be the same? Different? Neither?
A) How do you find the theoretical probability of not picking a yellow candy? B) How do you find the experimental probability of not picking a yellow candy?
Create a Venn Diagram to compare and contrast the similarities and differences between theoretical and experimental probability. You must have at least one item in every section of your Venn Diagram.
A) Compare the whole class color percentages as they relate to the theoretical probability given by the M&M company B) Are the whole class color percentages closer to the theoretical probability than your individual color percentages?