1. © Crown copyright Met Office Climate Change Adaptation Dr Matt Huddleston, Principal Consultant – Climate Change The Guardian Climate Change Summit 2008

2. © Crown copyright Met Office Current emissions Michael Raupach et al., June 2007

3. © Crown copyright Met Office CO 2 e Stern (based on Meinhausen) Met Office Hadley Centre 450 ppm 25 77%77% 550 ppm 65-99%99% 650 ppm 80-99%99% What are the chances of exceeding 2 and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels if we stabilise greenhouse gases? Can we avoid dangerous climate change? CO 2 e Stern (based on Meinhausen) Met Office Hadley Centre 450 ppm 1-30%3% 550 ppm 5 52%25% 650 ppm 15 66%60% 4ºC - 75% - 50% - 65% 2ºC

4. The record temperatures of summer 2003 could become a bi-annual event by 2040

5. © Crown copyright 2007 Climate resilience Informing on changing risks is essential What is known and knowable? Creating a climate of confidence

6. © Crown copyright Met Office

7. Risks in your language Transport & Network Rail Probability of heavy rain as defined by Network Rail Background of rail regions Chart designed specially to be received by field engineers on Blackberries

8. © Crown copyright Met Office

9. Reacting to the impacts: Finance Seasonal climate forecasts and historical data blended for view of near future. Risk assessment informed in multi-billion pound decision. Risk-based climate analysis – Protecting investments Tailored forecast of UK drought risk 2006/07

10. © Crown copyright Met Office

11. © Crown copyright 2007 © Crown copyright Met Office © Crown copyright 2005 EP2: The Impact of Climate Change on the UK Energy Industry Exploring risks – Reducing exposure Increasing resilience Met Office working with: EDF Energy, EON, C.E. Electric, Centrica, National Grid, Northern Ireland Electricity, npower, Scottish Power, Scottish and Southern Energy, United Utilities, Western Power Distribution

12. © Crown copyright Met Office Essential forecasts for everyone, every day Met Office