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Technical Analysis By Alan Sutton. Background History Shift / Change in Markets Strive for perfection Into the future.

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Presentation on theme: "Technical Analysis By Alan Sutton. Background History Shift / Change in Markets Strive for perfection Into the future."— Presentation transcript:

1 Technical Analysis By Alan Sutton

2 Background History Shift / Change in Markets Strive for perfection Into the future

3 Variable Considerations Cultivar Soil types Height / Age of tree Pruning technique Weather conditions

4 Important points to note Method of application Chemical – active ingredient (resistance) DOSAGE Equipment calibration Scouting Record keeping

5 Farm comparisons Spray programs and results

6 Example 1: Beaumonts – Kiepersol/Hazyview Spray Program DateProductDetails 6 & 7/08/2014Acephate (2kg/ha)Farm perimeter and bush spray 13/10/2014Ampligo (400ml/ha)Entire farm 22/11/2014Ampligo (400ml/ha)Entire farm 05/01/2015 Delegate & Ampligo (300ml/ha & 400ml/ha)Entire farm 18/02/2015Karate Zeon (400ml/ha)Entire farm (picked up that the product was failing to kill the bugs) 20/02/2015Acephate (2kg/ha) Entire farm (effectively killing the bugs which were previously not being killed) 01/03/2015Acephate (2kg/ha)50% of the farm in identified hotspot areas 27/03/2015Acephate (2kg/ha)Entire farm 14/04/2015Acephate (2kg/ha)5 hectacres In identified hotspot areas 06/06/2015Acephate (2kg/ha)50% of the farm in identified hotspot areas

7 Example 1: Beaumont Results MonthTons DeliveredAverage USKAverage SKR April68 718kg3.03%34.43% May98 295kg2.79%35.04% June29 319kg2.99%34.74% Year to date196 332kg2.88%34.84% Reason for USK:1.63% Late Stinkbug 0.38% Onion ring0.33% Early stinkbug 0.28% Immature 0.10% Mould

8 Example 2: All Varieties Spray Program DateProductDetailsDateProductDetails July AgriBoost (20L/2000L) x 1ApplicationJanuary Ampligo (400ml/2000L) x 1 application AgriFulbor (2,5L/2000L)AgriZinc (5L/2000L) Surebuff (140ml/2000L)AgriIron (5L/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L)AgriFulbor (5L/2000L) August Chess (2kg/2000L) x 1 Application January Ampligo (400ml/2000L) 1 application Amistar Top (500ml/2000L)Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L) February Acephate (2kg/2000L) x 2 application September Acephate (2kg/2000L) x 1 Application Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L) March Methamex (1kg/2000L - Ha) 1 application October Acephate (2kg/2000L) x 1 Application Surebuff (5L/2000L - Ha) Surebuff (1400ml/2000L)Aquawett (5L/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L) October Immodar (36L/2000L) Soil drench : 1L per tree Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) November Ampligo (400ml/2000L) x 2 applications Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L) December Acephate (2kg/2000L) x 1 Application Surebuff (1400ml/2000L) Aquawett (500ml/2000L)

9 Example 2.1: Hazyview/Sabie Road VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 2465 864.2kg0.75%37.25% 3442 190kg1.13%36.17% 7413 640.6kg1.86%33.05% 78813 698.2kg2.69%33.79% 79128 796.8kg2.74%32.36% 81622 108.4kg0.87%43.72% Beaumont57 250.2kg1.03%38.16% Year to date139 698.4kg1,58%36.32% Reason for USK:0.7% Late Stinkbug 0.12% Nut Borer 0.21% Onion ring 0.35% Mould 0.24% Early stinkbug 0.45% Immature

10 Example 2.2: Sabaan Valley VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 8162 243.2kg1.04%43.57% Beaumont60 475kg2.04%34.82% Year to date62 718.8kg1.54%35.74% Reason for USK:0.58% Late Stinkbug0.08% Onion ring 0.69% Mould 0.34% Early stinkbug 0.60% Immature

11 Example 2.3: Sabaan Valley VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 3443 735.4kg1.54%30.01% Beaumont44 654.2kg1.03%35.19% Year to date48 389.6kg1.28%33.46% Reason for USK:0.8% Late Stinkbug 0.02% Nut Borer 0.11% Onion ring 2,50% Mould 0.24% Early stinkbug 0,28% Immature

12 Example 2.4: Sabaan Valley VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR Beaumont25 804kg1.27%33.36% Nelmac1 000kg2.66%31.87% Year to date26 804kg1.41%33.21% Reason for USK:0.17% Late Stinkbug 0,42% Immature 0.24% Onion ring0.49% Early stinkbug

13 Example 2.5: Hazyview/Kiepersol VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 81610 732.6kg1.07%40.42% Beaumont28 5674kg1.87%35.14% Year to date39 296.7kg1.43%38.04% Reason for USK:0.49% Late Stinkbug 0.16% Nut Borer 0.73% Mould0.28% Immature

14 Example 2.6: Kiepersol VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 7881 313kg1.33%37.51% 81619 125.4kg1.47%41.05% Beaumont21 744.4kg1.80%36.97% Year to date42 182.8kg1,53%40.92% Reason for USK:0.95% Late Stinkbug 0.04% Nut Borer 0.13% Early stinkbug 0.33% Mould 0.93% Immature

15 Example 2.7: White River VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 79130 848kg2.51%30.73% 81612 804kg1.05%39.78% Beaumont56 140.6kg2.28%34.77% Year to date99 793.5kg1.95%34.53% Reason for USK:0.33% Late Stinkbug 0.38% Early stinkbug 0.42% Onion ring 0.59% Mould 0.33% Immature

16 Example 2.8: Levubu VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR 34419 655.5kg5.41%28.07% 78822 148.5kg5.03%31.67% BMT89 966.5kg6.91%36.88% KAU18 132.5kg9.35%24.90% MIX922kg4.10%31.41% N261 3852kg3.51%36.10% Nelmac 222 308kg4.21%33.09% Year to date186 985kg6.09%32.29% Reason for USK:1.85% Late Stinkbug 0.54% Early stinkbug 0.4% Onion ring 0.08% Mould 0.39% Immature

17 Example 3: Nelmac 26 & Beaumont - Alkmaar Spray Program DateProductDetailsDateProductDetails August Klartan 30ml/100L November Akito 25ml/100L Defender 30ml/100L Metalosaat Sink 625ml/ha Demeter 50gr/100L Metalosaat Yster 625ml/ha Metalosaat Kalsium 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L Citrifio 2L/ha December Orthene 100gr/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L September Allice 50gr/100L January Akito 25ml/100L Metalosaat Kalsium 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L Metalosaat Sink 625ml/ha February Orthene 100gr/100L Metalosaat Yster 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L Citrifio 2L/ha March Akito 25ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L October Orthene 100gr/100L April Orthene 100gr/100L Metalosaat Sink 625ml/ha In-Cap 50ml/100L Metalosaat Yster 625ml/ha May Akito 25ml/100L Citrifio 50ml/100L In-Cap 50ml/100L In-Cap 2L/ha

18 Example 3.1: Beaumont Results VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKRVariety April4831kg0.48%36.06% May33 794kg1.36%34.87% June23 808kg1.66%33.69% Year to date67 563kg1.48%34.87% Reason for USK:0.61% Late Stinkbug 0.56% Early Stinkbug 0.25% Immature

19 Example 3.2:Nelmac 26 Results VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR April12 315kg1.06%34.37% Reason for USK:0.27% Late Stinkbug 0.12% Mould 0.40% Immature 0.09% Nut Borer 0.19 % Onion ring

20 Example 4: 791 & Beaumont - Hazyview VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USK October 2014Asephate 2kg/ha1 Application November 2014Avalance 500ml/ha1 Application Ampligo 350ml/ha1 Application December 2014Avalance 500ml/ha1 Application January 2015Cypervos 1.6L/ha1 Application February 2015Bulldog 500ml/ha1 Application Asephate 2kg/ha1 Application March 2015Avalance 1L/ha2 Applications Asephate 2kg/ha1 Application April 2015Asephate 2kg/ha1 Application Avalance 500ml/ha1 Application

21 Example 4.1: 791 VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR January6 536kg6.20%23.26% February3 286kg5.92%23.97% April8 563kg11.37%19.22% May22 496kg10.44%20.88% Year to date40 881kg9.30%20.63% Reason for USK:0.65% Early Stinkbug4.25% Late Stinkbug0.55% Immature 1.25% Mould/Rotten1.52% 791 Spot

22 Example 4.2: Beaumont VarietyYear to date Tons Delivered Average USKAverage SKR June22 496kg2.46%34.40% Reason for USK:1.76% late stink bug0.70% Immature nuts

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