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FireCAMMS Fire Consortia for Advanced Modeling of Meteorology and Smoke www.fs.fed.us/fcamms
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Smoke and Fire Weather Weather observations/forecasts, fire danger, and smoke dispersion for the Northwest. www.atmos.washington.edu/pnw_environ
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Ready Access to High Resolution Weather Predictions
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Smoke Predictions MM5 36-km MM5 12-km UW Server Personal PC SFSL “Beowulf” Cluster NFSpuff BlueSky
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Ready Access to High Resolution Weather Predictions
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www. BlueSky RAINS.org
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BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Wildfire Wildland Fire Use - Quartz Complex - Potential 500 ac/day
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BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Biscuit Fire
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www. BlueSky RAINS.org
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BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires
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BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires
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BlueSky What can it do? Smoke Modeling Framework Prescribed Fires
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BlueSky What is it? Smoke Modeling Framework Daily Emission tracking Automated, centralized processing Real-time Smoke predictions Quantitative Verification Community model development
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BlueSky Development Community Federal Land Managers - USDA Forest Service (PNW, R6, R1, RMRS) - Bureau of Land Management (WA, OR, MT) - National Park Service - Fish and Wildlife Service Federal Air Agencies - NOAA (NWS, ARL) - Environmental Protection Service (R10) Tribal Nations - Colville - Quinault - Nez Perce States - Oregon (ODF, DEQ) - Washington (DNR, DE) - Idaho (DEQ) - Montana (DEQ) Universities - U. of Washington - Washington State U. - U. of Montana Local Air Agencies - Missoula City-County Health Department - Puget Sound Clean Air Agency Private - CH2MHill - Air Sciences - 3-Tier
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FASTRACS MM5 CALPUFF BlueSky Linux System BlueSkyRAINS Windows System ArcIMS (SDE, SQLserver) CALPUFF/ArcIMS Linkage (netCDF2SHP (?)) PAVE Animations CALMET2netCDF Preliminary BlueSky web page CALMM5/CALMET HYSPLIT MM52ARL TRAJREAD Time Series Display Burn Report Display EPM2BAEM CALPUFF2netCDF EPM/CONSUME v1.02 Dispersion Emissions Weather Output Products Source CharacteristicsBlueSky How does it work? Smoke Modeling Framework
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BlueSky Source Characteristics Smoke Modeling Framework Wildfire MM5-FARSITE-BurnUp Diurnal-Consume-EPM Theoretical Scenario Prescribed Fire Planned for next day Planned for 2 nd day Accomplished today
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BlueSky Input Requirements Smoke Modeling Framework 1. 1.Date of burn 2. 2.Location 3. 3.Time of ignition 4. 4.Ignition duration 5. 5.Burn area 6. 6.Preburn fuel load 7. 7.Predicted fuel moisture
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BlueSky Input Requirements Smoke Modeling Framework 1. 1.Date of burn 2. 2.Location 3. 3.Time of ignition 4. 4.Ignition duration 5. 5.Burn area 6. 6.Preburn fuel load 7. 7.Predicted fuel moisture a. CRB FCC b. NFDRS-FM + Cond.Class c. LandSum FCC - MM5-NFDRS a. a.MT/ID Airshed Reports b. b.Wash. Ag. Reports c. c.PFIRS d. d.National Event Reports e. e.Remote Sensing
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BlueSky Accomplished Burns 24 April 2002 Mike Ziolko Oregon Dept. of Forestry MODIS Observed Burns 24 April 2002 Wei Min Hao Missoula Fire Lab
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BlueSky & Pretty pictures. So what! Mesoscale Weather
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RAINS BlueSky BlueSky RAINS
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Tethersonde measurements of particle and gas concentrations in a smoldering plume. Model output matched with observations Verification
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www. BlueSky RAINS.org www.atmos.washington.edu/pnw_environ www.fs.fed.us/FCAMMS www.fs.fed.us /BlueSky
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Wind Mixing Height x Ventilation Index (m 2 /s) Classification 0-1175 Poor 1175-2350 Marginal 2351-3525 Fair > 3525 Good Ventilation Climate Information System
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www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fera/vent
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Maps & Graphs
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BlueSky RAINS Ventilation Climate Information System www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fera/vent www. BlueSky RAINS.org A “go/no-go/go-slow” operations tool. A probabilistic planning tool. www.atmos.washington.edu/pnw_environ Mesoscale Weather A “go/no-go/go-slow” operations tool.
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