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U.S. Office Jobs Going Offshore Millions of Jobs (140 million sq. ft.) (193 million sq. ft.) (595 million sq. ft.) 0.1 0.8 1.2 3.4 Source: U.S. Department.

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Presentation on theme: "U.S. Office Jobs Going Offshore Millions of Jobs (140 million sq. ft.) (193 million sq. ft.) (595 million sq. ft.) 0.1 0.8 1.2 3.4 Source: U.S. Department."— Presentation transcript:

1 U.S. Office Jobs Going Offshore Millions of Jobs (140 million sq. ft.) (193 million sq. ft.) (595 million sq. ft.) 0.1 0.8 1.2 3.4 Source: U.S. Department of Labor and Forrester Research, Inc., 2004 (53 million sq. ft.) 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.7 (298 million sq. ft.)

2 U.S. Office Inventory Impacts Multi-tenant inventory3,650,000,000 Today’s vacancy- 620,500,000 Occupied inventory3,029,500,000 Further demand loss to 2015 508,000,000 Sq. Ft.

3 U.S. Employment at Risk to Outsourcing - 2001 Total U.S. Employment127,980,410 Office Support8,637,900 Business and Financial Support2,153,480 Computer and Math Professionals2,825,870 Paralegals and Legal Assistants183,550 Diagnostic Support Services168,240 Medical Transcriptionists94,090 Total at Risk Employment14,063,130 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Compilation by Ashok D. Bardhan and Cynthia Kroll, Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics, University of California, Berkeley

4 Occupations at Risk to Outsourcing as Share of Total Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Compilation by Ashok D. Bardhan and Cynthia Kroll, Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics, University of California, Berkeley 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%

5 13 million financial services employees in mature industrial economies 15% migrating offshore (2 million) — 850,000 from U.S. — 730,000 from Europe — 400,000 from Japan Financial Services Outsourcing Source: Deloitte Research

6 U.S. Office Market Implications Reduced short- to medium-term demand Protracted vacancy = no rent increases Development not justified Call center and data processing hubs hurt most Financial centers strong -- but watch the back office functions Government centers least affected Class A- and B buildings will suffer Class A by no means immune


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