1. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update Progress Report to COPUOS STSC Thomas D. Jones, PhD tj@space-explorers.org Vienna, Austria 15 Feb 2011

2. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update Comet Tempel 1

3. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 3 Overview Introduction ASE NEO Hazard Decision-Making Results: Mission Planning & Operations Group Workshop Opportunities for International NEO Cooperation

4. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update ASE Commends Progress on NEO Research Japan/JAXA Success with Hayabusa Sample Recovery U.S.A./NASA Encounters with NEOs & Small Bodies Deep Impact at Hartley 2 Stardust at Tempel 1 Dawn at Vesta and Ceres NASA Discovers NEOs with WISE Canada/CSA and Planned NEOSSat Russia/Roskosmos Mission to Phobos 4

5. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 2011 CQ11 Discovered 4 Feb Near-Miss 5480 km ~ 1 m diameter Billion small NEOs Dramatic Orbit Change

6. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update Fireballs ~ 30 multi-kiloton explosions annually

7. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 7 ASE NEO Decision-Making Process Authored by ASE Panel on Asteroid Threat Mitigation, 2007-2008 “Asteroid Threats: A Call for Global Response” http://space-explorers.org/committees/NEO/neo.html International Process for NEO Decision-Making Functional Diagram for NEO Response Process

8. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update

9. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 9 ASE NEO Decision-Making Process “Asteroid Threats: A Call for Global Response” http://space-explorers.org/committees/NEO/neo.html Submitted to COPUOS in 2009 COPUOS STSC Provides Template for Framework and Future Agreement Follow-up Workshops to Explore NEO Functional Framework

10. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update ASE Co-sponsored NEO Workshop Series, with: Secure World Foundation Foreign Ministry, Mexico Regional Centre for Space Science and Technology Education for Latin America and the Caribbean European Space Agency IAWN Workshop (Mexico City, January 2010) MPOG Workshop (Darmstadt, October 2010) 10

11. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update Mission Planning & Operations group Workshop Executive Summary MPOG Proposed Role: Information Requirements Enabling Planning & Operations Deflection Decision & Event Timing Evaluate Deflection Concepts Cost Models Help MAOG Identify Operations Process 11

12. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 12 MPOG Workshop Executive Summary Findings 1.MPOG-like group should be established by space agencies 2.Identify to space agencies the technical issues to be explored for planetary defense Create synergies among international programs and activities e.g. planetary defense, science, exploration

13. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update MPOG Workshop Executive Summary Findings 3.Propose NEO Research Objectives to Guide Space Agencies Addressing critical areas for effective NEO deflection strategies 4.Recognized value of finding hazardous NEOs early Identify threats Obtain precision tracking for decision making Averts costs of future deflection missions Strategy requires upgraded search capability 13

14. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update

15. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 15 MPOG Workshop Supplemental Findings MPOG should develop set of reference NEO deflection scenarios & mission plans MPOG to identify information needed from IAWN Require clear lines of responsibility from policy makers to the MPOG MPOG terms of reference to be developed by AT14

16. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update Forward Work on NEO Decision-Making AT14 and space agencies to further develop concepts of IAWN and MPOG Mission Authorization and Oversight Group High-level: Security Council? Multi-lateral discussions at COPUOS and among member states, agencies Member States & Agencies Cooperate on Technical Research and Programs to Inform Decision-Making 16

17. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 17 Opportunities for Further Progress Agencies can organize for Planetary Defense Recommendations of NASA ad hoc Task Force Organize, Search, Characterize, Respond, and Lead Highlights: Space-based Search Telescope Last-Minute Warning for Small NEO Impacts International Deflection Mission http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/490945main_10-10_TFPD.pdf

18. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update LSST ATLAS

19. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 2008 TC3

20. Association of Space Explorers NEO Hazard Update 20 Conclusions COPUOS STSC Has Come Far on NEO Hazard Global Nature of NEO Hazard Requires Cooperation STSC Members Must Build on Momentum of Discoveries ASE’s Network of Space Explorers Will Continue to Assist, Educate, Communicate, and Encourage

21. Association of Space Explorers Helping Turn the NEO Hazard into Opportunity http://www.space-explorers.org