1. September 6, 2011 Summerville Chamber Public Policy Committee

2. The BCDCOG? The Berkeley Charleston Dorchester Council of Governments is comprised of 57 members appointed by local governments within the region The mission of the BCDCOG is to support our member governments in their efforts to preserve and enhance the quality of life for the citizens of the BCD Region.

3. Why Plan? Map for future Regional Cohesiveness = Global Competitiveness OurRegion OurPlan looks to provide: o a vision for the region beyond the boundaries of each individual jurisdiction; o guidance of the region’s collective preferences where growth and conservation should occur more informed local decision making to further cooperation in implementation of plans o provide direction of resources, public investments

4. What Has Happened to Date First Regional Forum - Vision and Goals were developed Subregional Cluster Workshops in Oct 2010 o Affirmation of vision and goals o Foundation for the Citizens’ Scenario Second Regional Forum – August 2011 o Expanded discussion of scenario planning o Enhanced understanding of the four OROP scenarios o Discussed preferred features of final draft scenario o Discussed potential ideas for implementation

5. OurRegion OurPlan Vision and Goals

6. OurRegion OurPlan Vision Variety of transportation options (walking, biking and Transit) Vital economy with good jobs, excellent schools, healthcare and affordable housing Protected environment with clean air & water, sheltered wildlife, habitat and renewed local agriculture Diverse and unique Lowcountry communities o Preserve unique aspects of the region and individual communities: historical, cultural, architectural, and natural o Honor our tradition and encourage future growth, “tradition anchoring the future” Cooperative atmosphere where we care about each other’s way of life with more intergovernmental cooperation, leadership, and inclusive public engagement

7. Scenario Planning

8. Why Scenario Planning Planning for ONE FuturePlanning for Multiple Possible Futures Today’s Knowns Today’s Knowns & Unknowns Forecast PlanningScenario Planning

9. Scenario Planning Process Scenarios Measurements Scenario Input Preferred Future Scenarios

10. The Scenarios

11. Trends Scenario

12. Plans Scenario Plans Scenario Revised Map

13. Plans Scenario Plans Scenario Synthesis

14. Citizens’ Scenario Citizens’ Scenario Revised Map

15. Green Infrastructure Scenario

16. Scenario Evaluation

17. Scenario Development Steps Step #1: Digitize and Simplify the Data for Analysis Step #2: Identify Lands with Development Constraints Step #3: Assess the Maximum Growth Capacity for Each Scenario Step #4: Allocate Growth for Each Scenario Step #5: Assess the Impact of the Growth Allocation

18. 1.2008 numbers are used to be consistent with COG’s LRTP. 2.Centers = villages, small and large towns, and small and large cities. 3.Percent may not add up to 100 due to rounding errors and the use of the grid. 4.The Trends Scenario did not include enhanced transit services Measure of Effectiveness (MOE) Scenarios TrendsPlansCitizens’Green % of 2008 Population in Centers64% % of 2040 Population in Centers 62% 76%82% % of 2008 Employment in Centers81% % of 2040 Employment in Centers77%74%88%90% Scenario Evaluation CommunityViz® Measures of Effectiveness

19. Measure of Effectiveness (MOE) Scenarios TrendsPlansCitizens’Green % of 2040 Population within ½ Mile of Transit Stops 13% 15% % of 2040 Employment within ½ Mile of Transit Stops 30%21% Acres of Protected Land645,000672,000890,000876,000 1.2008 numbers are used to be consistent with COG’s LRTP. 2.Centers = villages, small and large towns, and small and large cities. 3.Percent may not add up to 100 due to rounding errors and the use of the grid. 4.The Trends Scenario did not include enhanced transit services Scenario Evaluation CommunityViz® Measures of Effectiveness

20. MOE Scenario TrendsPlansCitizens'Green Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT - system-wide)21,986,00021,669,00021,932,00021,822,000 % Change from Trends-1%0%-1% Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT - system-wide)566,000562,000555,000553,000 % Change from Trends-1%-2% BCDCOG’s TDM Measures of Effectiveness Scenario Evaluation Definitions: VMT - Is a system-wide measure of travel activity in the region and reflects the total daily distance by all vehicles in the region in miles. VHT – Measures system-wide travel activity in the region in terms of the daily time spent traveling by all vehicles in the region in hours.

21. MOE Scenario TrendsPlansCitizens'Green Delay in hours (system-wide)99,000100,00088,000 % Change from Trends1%-11% Delay per Driver (Minute) AM Peak4.404.443.86 % Change from Trends1%-12% PM Peak5.315.374.804.78 % Change from Trends1%-10% Scenario Evaluation BCDCOG’s TDM Measures of Effectiveness Definitions: Delay – Is a system-wide measure of the difference between the free-flow travel time at posted speed limits and the model-estimate travel time under congested conditions. Delay per Driver – Is the system-wide total divided by the number of vehicle trips.

22. MOE Scenario TrendsPlansCitizens'Green % of Congested Lane-Miles AM Peak19.4519.8515.5615.66 % Change from Trends2%-20%-19% PM Peak26.7726.0421.7721.91 % Change from Trends-3%-19%-18% Annual Congestion Cost (system-wide)$308,398,000$311,131,000$274,151,000$274,775,000 % Change from Trends1%-11% Scenario Evaluation BCDCOG’s TDM Measures of Effectiveness Definitions: Percent of Congested Lane-Miles – The portion of the region’s lane miles that are over their capacity during peak periods. Annual Congestion Cost – Is a system-wide measure of the fiscal impact of congestion on the region in terms of the wages lost due to the cumulative effect of daily delays in the travel network.

23. MOE Scenario TrendsPlansCitizens'Green Person Trips (All purpose) Drive Alone904,000903,000891,000896,000 Shared Ride (2 persons)1,359,0001,379,0001,364,0001,367,000 Shared Ride (3 persons)144,000146,000143,000144,000 Local Transit11,000 9,000 Premium Transit2,000 7,0006,000 % Change from Trends-5%191%141% Scenario Evaluation BCDCOG’s TDM Measures of Effectiveness

24. Input and Implementation

25. Preferred Features Implementation – Table Discussion Protects natural resources, especially water features, Includes compact and livable communities, Provides efficient transportation options, including transit, and Has a commitment to implementation by all three counties.

26. Implementation 1.Update local plans to reflect Preferred Future Scenario 2.Provide a range of transportation (multimodal) options – light rail, bike paths, water taxi, etc. 3.Improve and expand the highway and roadway network 4.Encourage sustainability in all aspects of growth for healthy and livable communities 5.Create new controls to protect the environment 6.Create new controls to focus growth on existing places, existing communities 7.New funds are needed for public improvements 8.Create Jobs - New stimuli needed for business development 9.Implement “value capture” tools - special districts, impact and user fees, etc. (pay as you go) 10.Work more cooperatively between local governments to implement local plans

27. Implementation Priorities Implementation – Table Discussion Create more jobs Connect housing to jobs Concentrate development around existing infrastructure Develop realistic about expectations for transit.

28. Where Are We Headed? Key Next Steps Regional Forum Expert Quilting Implementation Strategies August Implementation Strategies Regional Forum November Expert Quilting September/ October