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Aim: How do we compute the coefficients of determination and the standard error of estimate?

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Presentation on theme: "Aim: How do we compute the coefficients of determination and the standard error of estimate?"— Presentation transcript:

1 Aim: How do we compute the coefficients of determination and the standard error of estimate?

2 Coefficient of Determination Coefficient of Determination: the ratio of the explained variation to the total variation –Denoted by r 2 r 2 = explained variation total variation - r 2 is usually expressed as a percentage

3 Coefficient of Nondetermination The coefficient of determination gives a measure of the variation of the dependent; usually expressed as a percentage –Therefore…the remaining of the percentage to equal a total of 100% is the value of the coefficient of nondetermination

4 Fastest way to find coefficient of determination Find the correlation coefficient (r) and square that answer Example: x12345 y 108121620 - r = 0.919 - therefore, r 2 = 0.845 -To find the coefficient of nondetermination 1 - r 2 = 1 -.845 = 0.155

5 Relationship between r and r 2 As the value of r approaches 0, r 2 decreases more rapidly Example: - If r = 0.6, then r 2 = 0.36, which means that only 36% of the variation in the dependent variable can be attributed to the variation in the independent variable.

6 Standard Error of the Estimate Standard Error of the Estimate: the standard deviation of the observed y values about the predicted y’ values –The prediction interval –The closer the observed values are to the predicted values, the smaller the standard error of the estimate

7 Computing the standard error y = observed value y’ = predicted value n = total number of data

8 Example: A researcher collects the following data and determines that there is a significant relationship between the age of a copy machine and its monthly maintenance cost. The regression equation is y’ = 55.57 + 8.13x. Find the standard error of estimate. MachineAge x (years)Monthly cost y A162 B278 C370 D490 E493 F6103

9 Example Continued A researcher collects the following data and determines that there is a significant relationship between the age of a copy machine and its monthly maintenance cost. The regression equation is y’ = 55.57 + 8.13x. Find the standard error of estimate. MachineAge, x (years) Monthly cost, y y’y – y’(y – y’) 2 A162 B278 C370 D490 E493 F6103

10 If preferred… The standard error of the estimate can be found by using the formula a and b are the coefficient of the regression line n = total number of data

11 Same example: Different formula A researcher collects the following data and determines that there is a significant relationship between the age of a copy machine and its monthly maintenance cost. The regression equation is y’ = 55.57 + 8.13x. Find the standard error of estimate. MachineAge, x (years) Monthly cost, y xyy2y2 A162 B278 C370 D490 E493 F6103


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