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Economic Analysis MGM626-0801A-02 2.P1P Mark Carlson
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Introduction Economic indicators Application of indicators Current and new markets analyzed
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U.S. - Trend Analysis Why are these factors important for the expansion? Economic Indicators –Recent past –Current values –Projected Outlook Analysis
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Political Risks Terrorist activity Economic policy
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Brazil - Trend Analysis Why are these factors important for the expansion? Economic Indicators –Recent past –Current values –Projected Outlook Analysis
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Political Risks The Brazil cost Violence Corruption
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Germany - Trend Analysis Why are these factors important for the expansion? Economic Indicators –Recent past –Current values –Projected Outlook Analysis
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Political Risks Organized crime Import policies
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Japan - Trend Analysis Why are these factors important for the expansion? Economic Indicators –Recent past –Current values –Projected Outlook Analysis
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Political Risks U.S. view of exporting businesses
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Comparison GDP real growth rate GDP per capita Unemployment Inflation rate Central bank interest rate (not pictured)
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Final Analysis Japan –Little risk, but also little economy momentum U.S. –Stability and accessibility Germany –Potential political issues, but stable economy Brazil –Political issues, but high economic momentum
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References Brasileiro, A. (2008). Brazil won’t reduce interest rates this year, Goldman says. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=ahvYVWx3RqnI http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=ahvYVWx3RqnI Cenimar. (2008). World trends, projections and predictions. January 16, 2008 from http://www.cenimar.com/factbook/trend_list.jsp http://www.cenimar.com/factbook/trend_list.jsp Dailyfx. (2007). Central Bank Watch. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/page/central_bank_interest_rate.html http://www.dailyfx.com/page/central_bank_interest_rate.html Dailyfx. (2007). EUR/USD 2008 outlook. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/story/currency/eur_fundamentals/EUR_USD_2008_Outlook_1199118568338.html http://www.dailyfx.com/story/currency/eur_fundamentals/EUR_USD_2008_Outlook_1199118568338.html DW-World.DE. (2007). Expert says mafia murders pose new risks in Germany. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2741538,00.html http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2741538,00.html Ernest & Young. (2006). Industry leaders discussed emerging markets. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.ey.com/global/content.nsf/WebPrint/AFAC984FA3ED039B8525729F0057E9E6?openDocument& http://www.ey.com/global/content.nsf/WebPrint/AFAC984FA3ED039B8525729F0057E9E6?openDocument&
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References Continued Global Issues. (2006). WTO Doha “Development” Trade Round Collapse, 2006. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.globalissues.org/TradeRelated/FreeTrade/dohacollapse.asp http://www.globalissues.org/TradeRelated/FreeTrade/dohacollapse.asp Peterson Institute. (2007). Global economic prospects 2007/2008: Moderately slower growth and greater uncertainty. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/print.cfm?doc=pub&ResearchID=815http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/print.cfm?doc=pub&ResearchID=815 Towers Perrin. (2007) Global high tech compensatin planning report. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.towersperrin.com/tp/getwebcachedoc?webc=HRS/USA/2007/200711/2007_Global_High_Tech_Compe nsation_Planning_Report_nl.pdf http://www.towersperrin.com/tp/getwebcachedoc?webc=HRS/USA/2007/200711/2007_Global_High_Tech_Compe nsation_Planning_Report_nl.pdf U.S. Departmetn of State. (2007). Background note: Brazil. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35640.htm http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35640.htm
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