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About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity & Race (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Gary Segura, a professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and a co-principal investigator on this survey with Dr. Matt Barreto, also a professor of political science. The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers. The survey was in the field from October 25 – 31, 2006. A total of 700 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding in a 3.7% margin of error. Final data are weighted by party identification based on the average of similar political polls from 2004 – 2006, and are based on a spread of 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent. Additional results and cross-tabulations will be released each day, so please check back for updates. Questions/Comments: info@washingtonpoll.orginfo@washingtonpoll.org
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U.S. Senate Election In the election for U.S. Senate, will you vote for Mike McGavick, the Republican or Maria Cantwell, the Democrat? Mike McGavick – certain 37 % Mike McGavick – could change 2 41% Undecided – lean McGavick 2 Maria Cantwell – certain48 Maria Cantwell – could change 3 53% Undecided – lean Cantwell2 Other2 Undecided/Don’t know5 The Washington Poll sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Washington State Supreme Court In the election for state Supreme Court, will you vote for Susan Owens or Stephen Johnson? Stephen Johnson – certain 25 % Stephen Johnson – could change 3 30% Undecided – lean Johnson 2 Susan Owens – certain28 Susan Owens – could change 6 37% Undecided – lean Owens3 Other2 Undecided/Don’t know31 The Washington Poll sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Initiative 920 Statewide ballot initiative 920, which would repeal the estate tax, currently dedicated for the education legacy trust fund. Will you vote yes or no on I-920? Yes on I-920 – certain 26 % Yes on I-920 – could change 4 32% Undecided – lean Yes 2 No on I-920 – certain44 No on I-920 – could change 6 53% Undecided – lean No3 Undecided/Don’t know14 The Washington Poll sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Initiative 933 Statewide ballot initiative 933, which would require the government to compensate property owners if their property is devalued. Will you vote yes or no on I-933? Yes on I-933 – certain 32 % Yes on I-933 – could change 6 39% Undecided – lean Yes 1 No on I-933 – certain43 No on I-933 – could change 6 51% Undecided – lean No2 Undecided/Don’t know10 The Washington Poll sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Initiative 937 Statewide ballot initiative 937, would require large electric utilities to meet energy conservation targets and to use renewable resources. Will you vote yes or no on I-937? Yes on I-937 – certain 40 % Yes on I-937 – could change 10 52% Undecided – lean Yes 2 No on I-937 – certain 28 No on I-937 – could change 3 33% Undecided – lean No2 Undecided/Don’t know12 The Washington Poll sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Approval Ratings - statewide Bush Gregoire State Leg Congress Strongly Approve22%28%7%7% Somewhat Approve16%38%53%27% Somewhat Disapprove9%12%14%23% Strongly Disapprove49%17%7%33% Don’t know1%3%13%5% sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%
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Approval Ratings – by region Bush Gregoire State Leg Congress Bush Gregoire State Leg Congress StronglyOthOthOthOth Approve22%25%7%5% Somewhat Approve21%35%51%27% Somewhat Disapprove8%12%13%23% Strongly Disapprove45%20%5%33% Don’t know1%4%16%6% PSPSPSPS 22%30%8%8% 11%40%55%27% 10%12%16%22% 54%14%9%33% 1%1%9%4% PS = Puget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish Oth = All other counties in the state
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Additional Results For cross-tabulations of these results, broken down by region of the state, party identification, ideology, and gender please download Part 2 of the preliminary results, posted online for 11/01/06 If you have additional questions, and would like to see any additional, or more specific results, please send us an email and we will try to accommodate your request
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