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1 NPRR 484/554 – Revisions to Congestion Revenue Rights Credit Calculations and Payments Market Call ERCOT Public July 31, 2013
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2 NPRR 484/554 – Overview NPRR 484/554 substantially changes the exposure calculations and payment processes for CRRs. Highlights: CRR Auction Credit Requirement (ACR) for obligations valued at maximum of bid price, most recent auction price, or path-specific P99 adder FCE for PTP Obligations based on net portfolio obligation MWs at the minimum of P100 portfolio-weighted adders or most recent portfolio- weighted auction clearing price FCE for PTP Options and FGRs based on net portfolio options/FGRs at P99 path-specific adder Invoice exposures beyond current and prompt months will be collateralized rather than invoiced until operating month becomes prompt month Provision for “State Change Adder” adjustment for both auction and future exposures to reflect changes in path conditions ERCOT Public
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3 NPRR 484/554 – Calculations Summary ERCOT Public FCE o = FCEOBL o + FCEOPT o + FCEFGR o + DIEOBL o + DIEOPT o + DIEFGR o FCE = Future Credit Exposure based on Mark to Market valuation FCEOBL = Future Credit Exposure for PTP Obligations FCEOPT = Future Credit Exposure for PTP Options FCEFGR = Future Credit Exposure for Flowgate Rights DIE = Deferred Invoice Exposure to cover exposure due to deferred invoicing of purchased or sold CRR Awards DIEOBL = Deferred Invoice Exposure for PTP Obligations DIEOPT = Deferred Invoice Exposure for PTP Options DIEFGR = Deferred Invoice Exposure for Flowgate Rights
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4 NPRR 484/554 – Calculations Summary continued.. ERCOT Public FCEOBL Based on monthly portfolios of PTP Obligations (group of PTP Obligation awards owned for the operating month) Each PTP Obligation award is valued based on 30-day historical rolling average DAM Settlement Point prices. Portfolio value for a given operating day is the aggregated value of its PTP Obligation awards. Portfolio-Weighted Adder (PWA) Percentile of volume-weighted value of portfolio per MWh based on historical DAM prices Portfolio-Weighted Auction Clearing Price (PWACP) Volume-weighted value of portfolio per MWH based on most recent Auction Clearing Prices Portfolio exposure is highest risk (highest negative value) of PWA and PWACP.
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5 NPRR 484/554 – Calculations Summary continued… ERCOT Public FCEOPT / FCEFGR Based on monthly portfolios of PTP Options (group of PTP Option awards owned for the operating month) Exposure calculated only for remaining days of current and prompt operating months Path-Specific Adder (Aci99) Value per MWh is calculated based on 99 th percentile confidence interval of 30-day historical rolling average DAM Settlement Point prices Each PTP Option award value is Aci99 * MWH Portfolio value is aggregated value of its PTP Option awards Currently there are no active FGRs
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6 NPRR 484/554 – Credit Reports Report Templates Sample report templates for FCE Summary and FCE Detail reports posted as part of meeting materials for this call. Any queries regarding them can be sent to ercotcredit@ercot.com.ercotcredit@ercot.com ERCOT Public
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7 NPRR 484/554 – Implementation Plan Implementation is planned to occur in phases to bring potential benefits to the market as soon as feasible to avoid conflicts with other major initiatives (e.g. settlements system rewrite) PHASE 1A: Path-specific adders (Aci99) in CRR credit lock calculations (Protocol Sections 7.5.3, 7.5.5.3) FCEOBL calculations based on PWA and PWACP (Protocol Section, 16.11.4.5) FCEOPT / FCEFGR calculations based on Path Specific Adder (Aci99) (Protocol Section, 16.11.4.5, No FGRs active) FCEOBL Summary Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7) FCEOPT Summary Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7) FCEFGR Summary Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7, No FGRs active) Note: Any functionality that cannot be implemented due to system / timeline limitations will be deferred to later phases; ERCOT will provide updates on the progress of implementation. ERCOT Public
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8 NPRR 484/554 Implementation Plan continued.. PHASE 1B: FCE Detail Reports FCEOBL Detail Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7) FCEOPT Detail Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7) FCEFGR Detail Report (Protocol Sections 16.11.4.7, No FGRs active). Portion of PWA functionality; Specific historic DAM settled prices for source – sink pairings can be excluded from the calculation if deemed no longer relevant following TAC review and ERCOT Board approval Any functionality deferred from Phase 1A (excluding PHASE 2 functionality) due to system / timeline limitations. PHASE 2: Deferred Invoice Responsibility (Protocol Sections 7.8, 9.8, 9.9, 9.9.1, 9.9.2) Deferred Invoice Exposure Calculations (Protocol Section 16.11.4.5) ERCOT Public
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9 NPRR 484/554 – Transition / Go-Live Plan Participation ERCOT needs about 5 volunteer Market Participants who can fully shadow the calculations and have resources to verify ERCOT’s calculation results. Soft Go-Live and Market Testing Planned for week of September 30, 2013 or October 7, 2013. ERCOT runs existing and new NPRR 484/554 FCE calculations in parallel with the active CRR ownership as of the business date. NPRR 484/554 FCE Summary reports generated and provided to volunteer Market Participants offline by email (reports cannot be accessed using digital certificates during the transition period). Existing FCE Summary Reports will continue to be available on the MIS Certified area during transition period. Volunteer Market Participants perform these calculations and verify if they match with those of ERCOT. ERCOT Public
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10 NPRR 484/554 – Transition / Go-Live Plan continued.. Cut-Over and Hard Go-Live Cutover planned on Sunday, October 20, 2013. Existing FCE Calculations and FCE Summary Reports are effective until the business date of October 20, 2013. NPRR 484/554-based FCE Calculations and FCE Summary Reports are effective starting with the business date of Monday, October 21, 2013. Existing FCE Summary Reports will be turned off and NPRR 484/554 based FCE Summary reports are available on MIS Certified area starting from October 21, 2013. Market Participants should note that NPRR 484/554 calculations exposure may have an effect on the ACLs for CRR and DAM ERCOT Public
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11 NPRR 484/554 – Milestones and Timeline ERCOT Public MilestoneSchedule DateStatus CMM Development MilestoneThu 7/11/13√ Integration Development MilestoneThu 7/11/13√ CRR Development MilestoneWed 7/31/13 CMM Development MilestoneThu 8/15/13 CRR Development MilestoneFri 8/30/13 Business Interface testing CompleteFri 8/30/13 CRR Development MilestoneMon 9/16/13 CMM Business Testing CompleteMon 9/30/13 Credit Soft Launch Begins Mon 9/30/13 or Mon 10/7/13 CRR Business Testing CompleteFri 10/11/13 Go Live: Phase 1AMon 10/21/13
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12 NPRR 484/554 – Market Training ERCOT will be holding three market training sessions on NPRR484/554 as per the following schedule ERCOT Public Friday, September 13, 201310am – 1pm Wednesday, September 25, 2013 (CWG meeting in AM) 1pm – 4pm Tuesday, October 8, 201310am – 1pm Note: ERCOT requests all the Market Participants to attend this training.
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13 NPRR 484/554 Questions ? ERCOT Public
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