1. IMGW – Poland Presentation U.S. Approach to Integrated Water Resources and Flood Emergency Management March,2003 U.S. Approach to Integrated Water Resources and Flood Emergency Management March,2003

2. Integrated Water Management/ Flood Mitigation Process Water Management is a Critical Chain of Events GIS Tools Data Sense Water Supply CommunicationForecast Decision Support NotifyCoordinateActions Get Data Where Needed Future Water Availability Decisions Appropriate Individuals Water Mgmt. & Flood Control Decisions

3. Produce Weather, Water and Climate Forecasts and Warnings –For All Americans –To Protect Life and Property –To Enhance the National Economy Data and Products: –Government Agencies –Private Sector –The Public –Global Communities Weather and data are becoming more important to economy and business decisions –“The annual cost of electricity could decrease by at least $1 billion if the accuracy of weather forecasts improved 1 degree Fahrenheit.” USA Today, 6/19/01 Produce Weather, Water and Climate Forecasts and Warnings –For All Americans –To Protect Life and Property –To Enhance the National Economy Data and Products: –Government Agencies –Private Sector –The Public –Global Communities Weather and data are becoming more important to economy and business decisions –“The annual cost of electricity could decrease by at least $1 billion if the accuracy of weather forecasts improved 1 degree Fahrenheit.” USA Today, 6/19/01 What We Do

4. Who We Are Citizen Centric –92% of Operations Budget is Field (Labor, Telecomms, Power, Rent, etc.) –88% of all Labor is in Field We Are Scientific –2/3 Scientists Citizen Centric –92% of Operations Budget is Field (Labor, Telecomms, Power, Rent, etc.) –88% of all Labor is in Field We Are Scientific –2/3 Scientists

5. Who We Are HQs Field NationalReconditioningCenterNationalReconditioningCenter Field Systems OperationsCenter OperationsCenter RadarOperationsCenterRadarOperationsCenter TelecommunicationsOperationsCenterTelecommunicationsOperationsCenter Office of the Chief Information Officer Office of Climate, Water, & Weather Services Office of Climate, Water, & Weather Services Office of Operational Systems Systems Office of Science & Technology Technology Office of Hydrologic Development Development NWSTrainingCenterNWSTrainingCenterMeteorologicalDevelopmentLaboratoryMeteorologicalDevelopmentLaboratory SystemsEngineeringCenterSystemsEngineeringCenter HydrologyLaboratoryHydrologyLaboratory Office of the Chief Financial Officer Officer National Data Buoy CenterNational Center Storm Prediction Center Climate Prediction Center Marine Prediction Center Space Environment Center Environmental Modeling Center Hydro- meteorological Prediction CenterHydro- Center Tropical Prediction Center (National Hurricane Center) Aviation Weather Center Central Operations EasternRegionEasternRegionCentralRegionCentralRegionSouthernRegionSouthernRegionWesternRegionWesternRegionAlaskaRegionAlaskaRegionPacificRegionPacificRegion 23 WFO’s 3 RFC’s 38 WFO’s 2 RFC’s 31 WFO’s 4 RFC’s 24 WFO’s 3 RFC’s 3 WFO’s 1 RFC’s 2 WFO’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction Office of the Assistant Administrator For Weather Services Office of the Assistant Administrator For Weather Services

6. NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs)

7. NWS River Forecast Centers (RFCs)

8. Weather Warning Partnership

9. Flow of Hydrologic Products and Guidance River Forecast Center Hydrologic Forecasters Integrated, observed, and forecast data for RFC basins Data assimilation, integration, and Analysis Weather Forecast Office Service Hydrologists Precipitation Analysis Local QPF and QTF, general precipitation forecasts Flash flood watches, river flood warnings National Center for Environmental Prediction Quantitative guidance forecasts – QPF, QTF Large scale computer weather forecasts County and Subcounty Level Info. River and weather forecasts and warnings, flash flood warnings, FFG Hydrologic UsersFeedback Radar, Stream Gages, Rain Gages To/from NCEPTo/from RFC

10. International Activities Technology Transfer Provide technical assistance to International lending Institutions Distribute NWS technology to national/ international users Establish projects to implement Meteorological and Hydrological Forecast Systems with countries Provide technical assistance to International lending Institutions Distribute NWS technology to national/ international users Establish projects to implement Meteorological and Hydrological Forecast Systems with countries

11. International Experience Past China1994-1995 Panama1996-1998 Nile River Basin1992-2000 Central A. (MITCH) 1999-2001 Asia-Aral Sea 1999-2002 Past China1994-1995 Panama1996-1998 Nile River Basin1992-2000 Central A. (MITCH) 1999-2001 Asia-Aral Sea 1999-2002 Current Mexico1996-2003 Central America (CAMI)2000-2003 South Africa1997-Present Czech Republic1998-Present Poland2002-2004 Romania2003 ? Mekong/Hindu Kush2003-2005 India 2003 ? Russia 2003 ? Iraq ?

12. Who We Are Issues all Local Forecasts & Warnings Builds and Maintains Relationships With Local and State Governments Provides Expert Advice to Emergency Operations Centers Solicits Customer Feedback on Products and Services Conducts Community Awareness and Education Programs Trains Volunteer Observers and Storm Spotters Issues all Local Forecasts & Warnings Builds and Maintains Relationships With Local and State Governments Provides Expert Advice to Emergency Operations Centers Solicits Customer Feedback on Products and Services Conducts Community Awareness and Education Programs Trains Volunteer Observers and Storm Spotters Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Team: Community Weather Experts

13. Respond & Feedback How We Do It IBM SP at Bowie Computer Center in Bowie, MD Feedback Distribute Local Offices Local Offices Central Guidance Central Guidance Process Observe Products & Services

14. Cooperators

15. FLOOD RESPONSE USERS FEMA State Emergency Management County Emergency Management City Emergency Management MEDIA Transportation Red Cross NWS FLOOD FORECASTS FLOOD MITIGATION ACTIONS U.S. Flood Forecast And Response Structure

16. How We Do It Users –Public –Emergency Management –Private Sector –Government Agencies –Academia Users –Public –Emergency Management –Private Sector –Government Agencies –Academia Methods –NOAA Weather Radio –NOAAPORT –Weather Wire –Internet –Emergency Managers Weather Information Network (EMWIN)

17. National Weather Service Hydrometeorological Data Sources Cooperative observers via ROSA Data Collection Platforms via GOES GOES images Cooperative federal water agencies Synoptic surface observation network (ASOS) Automated flood warning systems Limited area remote collector (precipitation, stage) Satellite rainfall estimates NEXRAD radar derived rainfall estimates SNOTEL - high elevation snow measurement Airborne Gamma Radiation Snow Survey Cooperative observers via ROSA Data Collection Platforms via GOES GOES images Cooperative federal water agencies Synoptic surface observation network (ASOS) Automated flood warning systems Limited area remote collector (precipitation, stage) Satellite rainfall estimates NEXRAD radar derived rainfall estimates SNOTEL - high elevation snow measurement Airborne Gamma Radiation Snow Survey

18. Data Collection Platform (DCP)

19. Radar and Satellite Precipitation Estimation

20. 2000 m AGL Coverage Of The WSR-88D Network Over The US Source: Maddox, et. al. Weather and Forecasting, 2002. 1000 m AGL 3000 m AGL

21. Rainfall Estimates - Multi-sources of Data NASA TRMM TMI PR VIRS GOES IR VIS SOUNDING NASA EOS MODIS IR+VIS ASTER CERES Precipitable Water Wind Speed + Direction Radar Gauge Surface Temperature Soil Moisture Vegetation Topography (Elevation + Slope)

22. Watch/Warning Decision Assistance Surface Obs, NCEP Guidance Local data WSR-88D Radar Satellite data Flash Flood Guidance Data Data from New Observing Systems LDAD Database SCAN/FFMP AWIPS D2D Flash Flood and Severe Local Storm Warnings 1,3,6 Hours DPA,DHR Data Environment

23. Predicting Flash Floods Using Radar and Satellite Use GIS Data To Define Models & Streams Merge Satellite and Radar Precipitation Estimates Use Distributed Hydrologic models Link QPF To Small Scale Models Use GIS Data To Define Models & Streams Merge Satellite and Radar Precipitation Estimates Use Distributed Hydrologic models Link QPF To Small Scale Models

24. End-to-End Forecast Process Integrated Water Management and Flood Mitigation Data Communication Forecast Decision Support Notify Coordinate Actions

25. Establishing an Integrated Water Management and Flood Mitigation Program Establish Meteorological And Hydrological Observing Network Real Time Data Acquisition, Communication, DBMS Remote Sensing Necessary Because Of Real Time Data Limitations Develop Meteorological Forecast Capability-qpf Develop forecasting using existing technical resources Implement mesoscale NWP model Establish Meteorological And Hydrological Observing Network Real Time Data Acquisition, Communication, DBMS Remote Sensing Necessary Because Of Real Time Data Limitations Develop Meteorological Forecast Capability-qpf Develop forecasting using existing technical resources Implement mesoscale NWP model

26. Implement Hydrologic Modeling System Acquire historical hydrometeorological data Acquire GIS/Link to modeling system for calibration Multi-hydrologic model capability is requirement (snowmelt,rainfall-runoff,channel routing,hydrodynamic routing) Modeling system must be flexible to data availability Implement Hydrologic Modeling System Acquire historical hydrometeorological data Acquire GIS/Link to modeling system for calibration Multi-hydrologic model capability is requirement (snowmelt,rainfall-runoff,channel routing,hydrodynamic routing) Modeling system must be flexible to data availability Establishing an Integrated Water Management and Flood Mitigation Program

27. Couple Meteorological Model To Hydrologic Modeling System Link Hydrologic Forecast System To Decision Support System Forecasts linked with Response System Forecasts linked to water resources users Couple Meteorological Model To Hydrologic Modeling System Link Hydrologic Forecast System To Decision Support System Forecasts linked with Response System Forecasts linked to water resources users Establishing an Integrated Water Management and Flood Mitigation Program

28. Forecasts Tailored to Users Use visualization products to communicate impact Disseminate Forecasts & Data to Users Use mass media RANET Apply Operations Concept Develop Capacity and Sustainability Forecasts Tailored to Users Use visualization products to communicate impact Disseminate Forecasts & Data to Users Use mass media RANET Apply Operations Concept Develop Capacity and Sustainability Establishing an Integrated Water Management and Flood Mitigation Program

29. Thank you!