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U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook May 2011 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council
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Macroeconomic Environment
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U.S. Real GDP Growth
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U.S. Crude Oil Spot Price
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U.S. #2 Diesel, Gulf Coast
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Civilian Unemployment Rate
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U.S. Federal Budget Surplus (CBO Projection)
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CBO Ag Baseline Spending
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Real GDP Growth in Selected Countries
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Euro (Currency per U.S. Dollar)
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Real Exchange Rate Index (Other Important Trade Partners, Source – Federal Reserve )
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Ag Prices Received Index
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U.S. Net Farm Income
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
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December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
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November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
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Southeast2,597 3,095 19.2 Mid-South 1,920 2,280 18.8 Southwest5,886 6,488 10.2 West366 450 23.0 ALL UPLAND 10,769 12,313 14.3 ALL ELS204 253 23.7 ALL COTTON10,973 12,566 14.5 Southeast2,597 3,095 19.2 Mid-South 1,920 2,280 18.8 Southwest5,886 6,488 10.2 West366 450 23.0 ALL UPLAND 10,769 12,313 14.3 ALL ELS204 253 23.7 ALL COTTON10,973 12,566 14.5 2011 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20102011% Actual Intended* Change Actual Intended* Change 20102011% Actual Intended* Change Actual Intended* Change Thousand Acres *2011 USDA Prospective Plantings *2011 USDA Prospective Plantings
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Southeast1,051 1,253 19.2 Mid-South 777 923 18.8 Southwest2,382 2,626 10.2 West148 182 23.0 ALL UPLAND 4,358 4,983 14.3 ALL ELS83 102 23.7 ALL COTTON4,441 5,085 14.5 Southeast1,051 1,253 19.2 Mid-South 777 923 18.8 Southwest2,382 2,626 10.2 West148 182 23.0 ALL UPLAND 4,358 4,983 14.3 ALL ELS83 102 23.7 ALL COTTON4,441 5,085 14.5 2011 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20102011% Actual Intended* Change Actual Intended* Change 20102011% Actual Intended* Change Actual Intended* Change Thousand Hectares *2011 USDA Prospective Plantings
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U.S. Cotton Production
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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U.S. Cotton Demand
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Net Domestic Fiber Consumption
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Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption
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Components of Retail Cotton Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Textile Imports
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U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports
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U.S. Trade With Mexico
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U.S. Trade with CBI
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U.S. Imports from China
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Calendar Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Crop Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Production & Use
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The World Market & U.S. Cotton Exports
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China Cotton Supply & Use
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World Cotton Production
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World Fiber Mill Use *PCI
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Fiber Prices
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World Cotton Mill Use
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Foreign Cotton Production & Use
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U.S. Cotton Exports
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World Cotton Ending Stocks
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Cotton Stocks/Use (World less China)
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Bales Beginning Stocks2.951.75 Production18.1018.00 Imports0.010.01 Total Supply20.0619.76 Mill Use3.803.80 Exports15.5013.50 Total Offtake19.3017.30 Ending Stocks1.752.50 Stocks-to-Use Ratio9.1%14.5% 2010/11e2011/12p
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons Beginning Stocks0.640.38 Production3.943.92 Imports0.000.00 Total Supply4.594.31 Mill Use0.830.83 Exports3.382.94 Total Offtake4.203.77 Ending Stocks0.380.54 Stocks-to-Use Ratio9.1%14.5% 2010/11e2011/12p
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Beginning Stocks44.2842.52 Production114.60124.72 Imports37.0039.86 Mill Use116.51119.50 Exports37.0039.87 Ending Stocks42.5247.93 Stocks-to-Use Ratio36.5%40.1% Beginning Stocks44.2842.52 Production114.60124.72 Imports37.0039.86 Mill Use116.51119.50 Exports37.0039.87 Ending Stocks42.5247.93 Stocks-to-Use Ratio36.5%40.1% World Supply and Demand Million Bales 2010/11e2011/12p
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Beginning Stocks9.659.26 Production24.9727.17 Imports8.068.68 Mill Use25.3826.03 Exports8.068.69 Ending Stocks9.2610.44 Stocks-to-Use Ratio36.5%40.1% Beginning Stocks9.659.26 Production24.9727.17 Imports8.068.68 Mill Use25.3826.03 Exports8.068.69 Ending Stocks9.2610.44 Stocks-to-Use Ratio36.5%40.1% World Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons 2010/11e2011/12p
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Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers
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