1. NOAA PACS/GAPP Supported Projects for NAME 2004 Mike Patterson, NOAA OGP NAME SWG-5 Puerto Vallarta, Mexico November 6-7, 2003 North American Warm Season Precipitation 30 Projects $2.5M 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment Field Campaign 12 Projects $1.7M

2. FY04 PACS/GAPP Warm Season Precipitation Initiative Scope Initiative Goal: to determine the sources and limits of predictability of warm season precipitation over North America, with emphasis on time from intraseasonal-to-interannual. Principal Objectives: a better understanding of the key components of the North American monsoon system and its temporal and spatial variability a better understanding of the role of this system in the global water cycle and regional climate variability improved simulation and intraseasonal-to-interannual prediction of the monsoon and regional water resources.

3. PACS and GAPP Priorities PACS interest: –improving the empirical description and climate model simulations of the continental- scale monsoon and its interannual variability –stablishing the role of surface boundary processes (especially the role of the ocean) and transient atmospheric disturbances in determining the regional monsoon variability and improving the representation of key processes in coupled climate models –demonstrating that observed connections between leading patterns of climate variability (e.g. ENSO, PDO) and the continental-scale precipitation patterns are captured in climate models –and defining the climate observing system for monitoring and predicting summertime North American climate. GAPP interests: –the role of land surface processes in the predictability of warm season precipitation, including their role in the onset, maintenance and decay of the monsoon system, their influence on the low level jets, and orographic precipitation processes. –Applications on water resource management using the improved understanding and modeling of the monsoon system are also encouraged.

4. NAME 2004 Field Campaign NOAA OGP Priorities NOAA OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved dynamical model simulations of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved model simulations and predictions of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon.

5. NAME 2004 Field Campaign NOAA OGP Priorities NOAA OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved dynamical model simulations of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved model simulations and predictions of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS Emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region

6. NAME 2004 Field Campaign NOAA OGP Priorities NOAA OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved dynamical model simulations of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved model simulations and predictions of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS Emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP Emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales

7. Fostering International Collaboration NOAA-funded projects will support: meetings for scientific planning, field coordination, and post-field data set development, analyses, and modeling travel of international PIs and their students to participate in the field and to enable joint research among investigators forecaster exchanges training courses in observations, analysis and modeling graduate education opportunities at US institutions collaborative deployment and operation of observing systems cooperative development and provision of data sets observing system design and transition to operations

8. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas Gochis

9. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan X X Cuidad Obregon X Williams Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas A. Douglas King Rutledge/ Fairall Mulege Los Mochis....... Guasave Loreto Choix SMN Radar Lang/Carbone M. Douglas. NSF S-POL Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia ? ? NSF Sponsored NOAA Sponsored NSF ISS Higgins Gochis Jamison

10. raingauge s Daily Rainguage Network Higgins, Sanchez &Arzate

11. NAME Enhanced Raingauge Network Shuttleworth, Gochis, Watts & Garatuza-Payan PH 1 Event Raingage Isotope Collector PH 2 Event Raingage SMN Automatic Met Station Proposed Radar Site Raingauges-Mtn

12. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan Cuidad Obregon Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas Mulege Los Mochis Guasave Loreto Choix Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia Rainguages, Surface Met. & Fluxes NOAA Sponsored Higgins Gochis Jamison M. Douglas Rutledge/ Fairall A. Douglas HOBO Temp/RH

13. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas Los Mochis Guasave Loreto Choix Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia Enhanced Raingauge Network NOAA Sponsored Cuidad Obregon Higgins Gochis Jamison ALERT Wx Station M. Douglas Mulege

14. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan X Williams Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas Los Mochis Guasave Loreto Choix SMN Radar Lang/Carbone NSF S-POL Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia Enhanced Radar Network NSF Sponsored NOAA Sponsored Precip. Profiler X X Cuidad Obregon Mulege

15. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan Cuidad Obregon Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas Mulege Los Mochis Guasave Loreto Choix Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia Surface Met. & Fluxes NOAA Sponsored Jamison M. Douglas Rutledge/ Fairall A. Douglas HOBO Temp/RH Flux Tower ALERT Wx Station Auto Sfc Station Drifters, Heat Flux & Sfc Met Fluxes & Sfc Met King Soil Moisture

16. Upper-aire soundings

17. NAME RADIOSONDE / PIBAL NETWORK Douglas et al. (2002) M.Douglas’ pibal

18. M.Douglas’ flight patterns

19. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan Cuidad Obregon Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas A. Douglas King Rutledge/ Fairall Mulege Los Mochis....... Loreto Choix M. Douglas. Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia ? ? Atmospheric Profiles NSF Sponsored NOAA Sponsored NSF ISS GPS Sondes Wind Profiler GPS Sondes, Wind Profiler RS-80 Sondes, Pibols RS-80 Sondes Pibols Aerosonde GPS Sondes

20. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan Cuidad Obregon Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas Los Mochis Guasave Loreto Choix Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia Oceanographic NOAA Sponsored M. Douglas Rutledge/ Fairall CTD Casts, ADCP Surveys, SST & Salinity, Fluxes, Drifters CTD Moorings Air-Sea Fluxes, Surface Waves Mulege

21. Puerto Penasco San Rosalillita Nogalis Baja Tortugas La Paz Hermosillo Chihuahua Mazatlan X X Cuidad Obregon X Williams Guaymas Torreon Monterrey Zacatecas A. Douglas King Rutledge/ Fairall Mulege Los Mochis....... Guasave Loreto Choix SMN Radar Lang/Carbone M. Douglas. NSF S-POL Cuiliacan Tucson Santa Rosalia ? ? NSF Sponsored NOAA Sponsored NSF ISS Higgins Gochis Jamison

22. Outstanding Issues NOAA OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved dynamical model simulations of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales P-3 Aircraft Hours Mexican Vessel at Mouth of Gulf Bulk Purchase of Radiosondes Duty Waiver “Off-Campus” Overheads on Expendables Centralized Field Travel through JOSS Project Office Costs (Already $400K) -Meetings -FOC -AOC -Data Set Development and Management

23. Outstanding Issues NOAA OGP interest is guided by the need to better understand and model key ocean, atmosphere and land processes for improved dynamical model simulations of the intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of the North American monsoon. PACS emphasis: –marine data to determine the role of oceanic and coupled ocean-atmospheric processes in the dynamics of the monsoon, to provide over-ocean depiction of atmospheric conditions, and to enhance the interpretation of continental observations –atmospheric observations to describe, understand, and model the circulation, moisture transport, convection, and precipitation over the warm continent and complex terrain in the core monsoon region GAPP emphasis: –mountain hydrometeorological data to support studies of precipitation patterns and runoff generation in mountainous areas –in-situ soil moisture and vegetation data (soil type/texture info is needed) as validation datasets for models and remote sensing products –measurement of moisture fluxes to examine the extent to which current data assimilation approaches capture their spatial and temporal scales P-3 Aircraft Hours Mexican Vessel at Mouth of Gulf Bulk Purchase of Radiosondes Duty Waiver “Off-Campus” Overheads on Expendables Centralized Field Travel through JOSS Project Office Costs (Already $400K) -Meetings -FOC -AOC -Data Set Development and Management Please help program managers constrain project budgets!