1. Warm-up 5.4 Notes Conditional Probability 1.a. b.c.d. e. 2. a. table on the board. Answer b to f in %s since the numbers are really small. b.c. d.e. f. g.

2. Student of the day! Block 4

3. Student of the day! Block 2

4. Answers to H.W. 5.2 E #20 Assumptions: We are assuming that all 4 toy cars are equally represented in all cereal boxes. Also we are assuming that all the cereal boxes have a toy car. Model: 1,2 Toy car 1; 3,4 Toy car 2; 5, 6 Toy car 3; 7,8 Toy car 4 Repetition:

5. Conclusion According to the simulation, it is most likely to find the 4 different toys in 6 boxes. Between 5 to 8 boxes, it is most likely to find the 4 different it toys. It made up of 0.53 of the simulations ran.

6. 5.3 E # 27, 28 and 30 a.

7. 5.4 Conditional Probability Independent EventsDependent Events When the outcome of one does notWhen the outcome of the first event affect the other.AFFECTS the second event. Ex. 1: Rolling a die that is at most Ex. 1: The probability of drawing 2 hearts. a 4, AND selecting a diamond out of a deck of cards. Ex. 2: What is the probability of Ex. 2: In a shipment of 20 computers, 3 drawing two aces IF the card is replaced are defective. What is the probability that after the first draw. all three chosen and tested are defective? The probability of A given that B has already happened.

8. Conditional Probability for DEPENDENT Events “Women and children first” is something you might have heard before. Here are the numbers of those who survived and didn’t from the Titanic. 1) What is the probability that if you picked a survivor at random, that the survivor was female? 2) If you were a male, what were your chances of survival? 3) If you were female what were your chances of survival? 4) Does it appear to be true that women were given priority to board lifeboats?

9. Multiplication Rule

10. Type O Blood and Rh Factor Write what the problems is asking in words and then solve it. 1) 2) 3)

11. Quiz on 5.1 to 5.3 Read directions carefully. Answer every question and all parts. When you finish start the homework. Homework: 5.4 P#34, 35 and E #42; Read 5.4