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Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2005
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2 Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results Any statements made herein about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in the Appendix herein and in our SEC filings.
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3 Overview - Third Quarter Florida Power & Light Company –above normal weather impact –continued strong customer growth –base rate settlement finalized FPL Energy –excellent performance overall –extraordinary strength in natural gas and power prices –accelerated hedging for 2006 and 2007 –continued successful wind development Corporate Outlook 1, 2 –2005: $2.50 to $2.60 per share prior to Wilma impact –2006: $2.80 to $2.90 per share –2007: $3.15 to $3.35 per share 1 Assumes normal weather and excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time 2 Excludes any impact from Hurricane Wilma, which can not be estimated at this time
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4 05 04 $0.87 EPS See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts $0.88 $339 $320 GAAP Adjusted 05 04 $0.90 $326 05 04 05 04 Net Income ($ millions) EPS Net Income ($ millions) FPL Group Results Third Quarter $1.01 $395
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5 FPL Overview Third Quarter Favorable weather comparisons –unusually warm weather 2005 –hurricane impacts in 2004 Underlying results down, as expected –Martin and Manatee expansions in service as planned Continued strong customer growth Rate settlement approved
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6 Net Income Contribution ($ millions) EPS 05 04 $275 $311 05 04 $0.80 $0.76 Florida Power & Light Earnings Third Quarter
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7 FPL Historical Growth in Customer Accounts Third Quarter Comparisons (thousands)
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8 Weather Index Degree days shown are cooling degree days (CDDs). CDDs are based on average temperature of 72 o F; negative values set to zero. Normal weather based on 56 year average. Production figures shown above are based on net energy for load. Energy sales statistics shown in the November 4, 2005 earnings press release are net of line losses and company usage.
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9 Retail Sales at FPL Third Quarter 2.3% customer growth 7.5% usage growth due to weather 1.0% underlying usage growth, mix, and other 10.8% kWh sales growth
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10 FPL O&M and Depreciation Third Quarter ($ millions) $323 $334 0504 Figures include amounts that are recovered through cost recovery clauses which have no impact on net income O&MDepreciation $227 $246 0504
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11 FPL Earnings Contribution Drivers Third Quarter
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12 Rate Case Resolution Settlement agreement reached August 22 –approved by PSC September 14 Four-year agreement with possible extension –1/1/06 through 12/31/09 Builds on framework of the 1999 and 2002 agreements –revenue sharing –productivity incentive Provides general framework for key issues –Generation Base Rate Adjustment (GBRA) –storm cost recovery –potential RTO costs
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13 Storm Cost Recovery As of 9/30/05, $323 million plus interest remains to be recovered of $442 million from 2004 season –currently being recovered via base rate surcharge Including impacts of Dennis, Katrina and Rita, 2005 storm season restoration costs estimated to be $180 - $200 million Rate settlement provides for securitization and/or base rate surcharge Anticipate filing recovery proposal by 12/05 --- EXCLUDES IMPACT OF HURRICANE WILMA ---
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14 Very strong performance overall –existing portfolio –new projects Large increases in power prices and spark spreads –increases especially strong in New England and ERCOT –continued additions to 2006 and 2007 merchant portfolio hedges Excellent progress with new wind development –2005 program of 521 mw –expect 625 - 750 mw per year for 2006 and 2007 FPL Energy Overview Third Quarter
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15 05 04 $0.11 EPS $0.17 $44 $61 GAAP Adjusted 05 04 $0.19 $67 05 04 05 04 Net Income ($ millions) EPS Net Income ($ millions) FPL Energy Results Third Quarter $100 $0.25 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts
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16 Wind Resource Fundamentals Third Quarter Wind Speed Index 1 1 Average wind speed for the period from those reference towers chosen to represent FPL Energy’s portfolio - weighted index based on FPL Energy’s portfolio as of 9/30/05 100 = long-term historic third quarter weighted average mean
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17 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts FPL Energy Earnings Contribution Drivers Third Quarter
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18 Significantly Improved Market Conditions Market Update Change in Cal 06 Cal 06 Forward 9/30/051/3/05 – 6/30/056/30/05 – 9/30/05 Natural Gas ($/MMBTU) 1 11.71$ 1.91$ 3.72$ NEPOOL 7x24 Power 2 106.96$ 14.52$ 35.72$ NEPOOL Spark Spreads 3 30.90$ 2.28$ 11.49$ ERCOT Spark Spreads 4 25.98$ 7.26$ 6.41$ WECC Spark Spreads 5 25.57$ 2.87$ 0.81 $ Forward 1 NYMEX 2 Mass Hub 3 Mass Hub, Tetco M3 and 7,000 heat rate 4 ERCOT N, Houston Ship Channel and 7,000 heat rate 5 SP15, NGI SoCal and 7,000 heat rate
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19 1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates, planned maintenance, Seabrook’s refueling and power uprate in 2006, Duane Arnold’s refueling outage in 2007 and expected production from renewable resource assets. Includes the pending acquisition of a 70% interest in the Duane Arnold Energy Center. 2 Reflects round-the-clock mw under contract. 3 Includes all projects with mid- to long-term purchase power contracts for substantially all of their output. 4 Includes only those facilities that require active hedging. 5 Reflects on-peak mw under contract. 6 Totals may not add due to rounding. FPL Energy Contract Coverage 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
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20 Earnings Per Share Contributions Third Quarter 2004 earnings per share figures have been adjusted to reflect the stock split effective on 03/15/05. See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts
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21 Adjusted Earnings per Share expectations 2004 1 2005E 2 2006E 2 2007E 2 FPL$2.07$1.98 - 2.05$2.05 - 2.10$2.15 - 2.25 FPL Energy0.490.65 - 0.730.90 - 1.001.15 - 1.35 Other(0.10)(0.15) - (0.18)(0.15) - (0.20) Consolidated$2.46$2.50 - 2.60$2.80 - 2.90$3.15 - 3.35 Note: the 2005, 2006 and 2007 adjusted earnings expectations are valid as of today (November 4, 2005) and should be viewed in conjunction with the “Assumptions” page (slide 22) and with the Company’s Cautionary Statements contained in the Appendix to this presentation. 1 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts 2 Assumes normal weather and excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time --- EXCLUDES IMPACT OF HURRICANE WILMA ---
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22 FPL Group: Key Assumptions 1 2% customer growth No usage per customer growth in 2006; 1% in 2007 Continued cost control Turkey Point expansion remains on schedule (mid-2007) Normal weather Wind development: 625 - 750 mw each year, 2006 and 2007 Market forwards as of early September (excludes recent forward market peaks) Timely close of Duane Arnold acquisition Operational performance consistent with historical levels Yield curves as of late September Balanced financing plan maintains current credit position Incremental non-recourse debt where net credit impact is favorable FPL: FPL Energy: Corporate and Other: 1 Excludes impact of Hurricane Wilma
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23 Expected 2005 EPS Range$0.65 – $0.73 New investments0.24 – 0.28 Existing portfolio0.08 – 0.12 Asset restructuring, marketing and trading(0.02) – 0.02 Interest(0.07) – (0.05) All other, including share dilution(0.04) – (0.02) Expected 2006 EPS Range$0.90 – $1.00 1 Assumes normal weather and excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time Drivers of FPL Energy Earnings Growth: 2005-2006 1
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24 Expected 2006 EPS Range$0.90 – $1.00 New investments0.12 – 0.24 Existing portfolio0.10 – 0.20 Asset restructuring, marketing and trading(0.01) – 0.01 Interest(0.05) – (0.03) All other, including share dilution(0.02) – 0.02 Expected 2007 EPS Range$1.15 – $1.35 Drivers of FPL Energy Earnings Growth: 2006-2007 1 1 Assumes normal weather and excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges neither of which can be determined at this time
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25 FPL: Potential Drivers of 2006 Earnings Variability See Company’s Cautionary Statements contained in the Appendix and the Company’s filings for full discussion of risks
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26 1 From historic mean FPL Energy: Potential Drivers of 2006 Earnings Variability
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Q&A Session
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Appendix
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29 Non-Qualifying Hedges 1 Summary of Activity ($ millions, after-tax) Asset/(Liability) Balance as of 6/30/05 $(61.3) Amounts Realized During 3rd Quarter 27.2 Change in Forward Prices (all positions) (83.6) Subtotal (56.4) Asset/(Liability) Balance as of 9/30/05 $ (117.7) 1 Includes contracts of FPL Energy’s consolidated projects plus its share of the contracts of equity method investees Primary Drivers: Revenue Hedges $(44.4) NEPOOL Oil/Gas Spark Spreads (42.6) Retail Supply Contracts 29.0 ERCOT Spark Spreads (28.4) All Other - Net 2.8 $(83.6)
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30 Non-Qualifying Hedges 1 Summary of Activity ($ thousands, after-tax) 1 Includes contracts of FPL Energy’s consolidated projects plus its share of the contracts of equity method investees 2 12/31/04 balance has been decreased $201 for the impact of changing tax rate from 39.23% to FPL Energy Project specific tax rates 3 Amount represents the change in value of deals executed during the quarter from the execution date through quarter end
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31 Non-Qualifying Hedges 1 Summary of Activity ($ thousands, after-tax) 1 Includes contracts of FPL Energy’s consolidated projects plus its share of the contracts of equity method investees 2 Amount represents the change in value of deals executed during the quarter from the execution date through quarter end
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32 Non-Qualifying Hedges 1,2 Summary of Forward Maturity ($ thousands, after-tax) 1 Includes contracts of FPL Energy’s consolidated projects plus its share of the contracts of equity method investees 2 Gain/(loss) based on existing contracts and forward prices as of 9/30/05.
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33 FPL Energy Wind Index Rolling 10 year, current portfolio 1 1 Average wind speed for the period from those reference towers chosen to represent FPL Energy’s portfolio - weighted index based on FPL Energy’s portfolio as of 12/31/04 100 = long-term historic annual weighted mean
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34 Bridging Reference Tower Wind Speed to Earnings Impact ¹ Correlation factor effect (tower to site) Wind shear derivation (convert lower level measured wind to predicted) Air density assumption Turbine specific performance (power curve) Availability Reliability Curtailments Price paid by buyer Reference Tower Wind Speed Wind Turbine Hub Height Wind Speed Theoretical Wind Turbine Output Actual Wind Turbine Output Earnings Per Share Contribution 1 Sets aside uncertainties that can cause actual performance to deviate from that predicted solely by using the wind data from the selected reference towers. This reflects the impact on projects that were in operation as of 1/1/05. The earnings per share impact is based on a normal distribution around annual wind index values. This relationship should not be applied to quarterly or monthly wind index values due to seasonality of the wind resource and the increased variability associated with shorter observation periods. ±1 in the annual portfolio wind index for 2005 equates to ± $0.02 to $0.03/share 1
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35 FPL Energy MWs and Regional Reference Towers Reference towers were selected for their proximity to FPL Energy’s wind assets. FPL Energy wind portfolio as of 09/30/05 Weights defined based on expected annual NCF
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36 Regional Long Term Wind Reference Location FPL Energy plant operations Evanston Walla Livermore Lancaster Midland Clovis Gage Garden City Mason City Pipestone Lone Rock Jamestown Pierre Johnstown Scranton Palm Springs Bakersfield Concord Clinton Abilene Note: Red Oak, IA was removed as a reference and replaced with Mason City, IA Winkler
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37 Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted Earnings and EPS Three Months Ended September 30, 2004
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38 Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted Amounts Three Months Ended September 30, 2005
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39 In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (Reform Act), FPL Group, Inc. (FPL Group) and Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) are hereby filing cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Reform Act) made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL in this presentation, on their respective websites, in response to questions or otherwise. Any statements that express, or involve discussions as to, expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as will likely result, are expected to, will continue, is anticipated, believe, could, estimated, may, plan, potential, projection, target, outlook) are not statements of historical facts and may be forward- looking. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties. Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors (in addition to any assumptions and other factors referred to specifically in connection with such forward-looking statements) that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and FPL Group and FPL undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances, including unanticipated events, after the date on which such statement is made. New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors, nor can it assess the impact of each such factor on the business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. The following are some important factors that could have a significant impact on FPL Group's and FPL's operations and financial results, and could cause FPL Group's and FPL's actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements: FPL Group and FPL are subject to changes in laws or regulations, including the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, as amended (PURPA), the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, as amended (Holding Company Act), the Federal Power Act, the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended, the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and certain sections of the Florida statutes relating to public utilities, changing governmental policies and regulatory actions, including those of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) and the utility commissions of other states in which FPL Group has operations, and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), with respect to, among other things, allowed rates of return, industry and rate structure, operation of nuclear power facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, operation and construction of transmission facilities, acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortization of assets and facilities, recovery of fuel and purchased power costs, decommissioning costs, return on common equity (ROE) and equity ratio limits, and present or prospective wholesale and retail competition (including but not limited to retail wheeling and transmission costs). The FPSC has the authority to disallow recovery by FPL of any and all costs that it considers excessive or imprudently incurred. The regulatory process generally restricts FPL's ability to grow earnings and does not provide any assurance as to achievement of earnings levels. FPL Group and FPL are subject to extensive federal, state and local environmental statutes, rules and regulations relating to air quality, water quality, waste management, wildlife mortality, natural resources and health and safety that could, among other things, restrict or limit the output of certain facilities or the use of certain fuels required for the production of electricity and/or require additional pollution control equipment and otherwise increase costs. There are significant capital, operating and other costs associated with compliance with these environmental statutes, rules and regulations, and those costs could be even more significant in the future. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results
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40 FPL Group and FPL operate in a changing market environment influenced by various legislative and regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation, regulation or restructuring of the energy industry, including deregulation of the production and sale of electricity. FPL Group and its subsidiaries will need to adapt to these changes and may face increasing competitive pressure. FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations could be affected by FPL's ability to renegotiate franchise agreements with municipalities and counties in Florida. The operation of power generation facilities involves many risks, including start up risks, breakdown or failure of equipment, transmission lines or pipelines, use of new technology, the dependence on a specific fuel source, including the supply and transportation of fuel, or the impact of unusual or adverse weather conditions (including natural disasters such as hurricanes), as well as the risk of performance below expected or contracted levels of output or efficiency. This could result in lost revenues and/or increased expenses. Insurance, warranties or performance guarantees may not cover any or all of the lost revenues or increased expenses, including the cost of replacement power. In addition to these risks, FPL Group's and FPL's nuclear units face certain risks that are unique to the nuclear industry including the ability to store and/or dispose of spent nuclear fuel, as well as additional regulatory actions up to and including shutdown of the units stemming from public safety concerns, whether at FPL Group's and FPL's plants, or at the plants of other nuclear operators. Breakdown or failure of an FPL Energy, LLC (FPL Energy) operating facility may prevent the facility from performing under applicable power sales agreements which, in certain situations, could result in termination of the agreement or incurring a liability for liquidated damages. FPL Group's and FPL's ability to successfully and timely complete their power generation facilities currently under construction, those projects yet to begin construction or capital improvements to existing facilities within established budgets is contingent upon many variables and subject to substantial risks. Should any such efforts be unsuccessful, FPL Group and FPL could be subject to additional costs, termination payments under committed contracts, and/or the write-off of their investment in the project or improvement. FPL Group and FPL use derivative instruments, such as swaps, options, futures and forwards, to manage their commodity and financial market risks, and, to a lesser extent, engage in limited trading activities. FPL Group could recognize financial losses as a result of volatility in the market values of these contracts, or if a counterparty fails to perform. In the absence of actively quoted market prices and pricing information from external sources, the valuation of these derivative instruments involves management's judgment or use of estimates. As a result, changes in the underlying assumptions or use of alternative valuation methods could affect the reported fair value of these contracts. In addition, FPL's use of such instruments could be subject to prudency challenges and if found imprudent, cost recovery could be disallowed by the FPSC. There are other risks associated with FPL Energy. In addition to risks discussed elsewhere, risk factors specifically affecting FPL Energy's success in competitive wholesale markets include the ability to efficiently develop and operate generating assets, the successful and timely completion of project restructuring activities, maintenance of the qualifying facility status of certain projects, the price and supply of fuel (including transportation), transmission constraints, competition from new sources of generation, excess generation capacity and demand for power. There can be significant volatility in market prices for fuel and electricity, and there are other financial, counterparty and market risks that are beyond the control of FPL Energy. FPL Energy's inability or failure to effectively hedge its assets or positions against changes in commodity prices, interest rates, counterparty credit risk or other risk measures could significantly impair FPL Group's future financial results. In keeping with industry trends, a portion of FPL Energy's power generation facilities operate wholly or partially without long-term power purchase agreements. As a result, power from these facilities is sold on the spot market or on a short-term contractual basis, which may affect the volatility of FPL Group's financial results. In addition, FPL Energy's business depends upon transmission facilities owned and operated by others; if transmission is disrupted or capacity is inadequate or unavailable, FPL Energy's ability to sell and deliver its wholesale power may be limited.
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41 FPL Group is likely to encounter significant competition for acquisition opportunities that may become available as a result of the consolidation of the power industry, in general, as well as the passage of the Energy Policy Act of 2005. In addition, FPL Group may be unable to identify attractive acquisition opportunities at favorable prices and to successfully and timely complete and integrate them. FPL Group and FPL rely on access to capital markets as a significant source of liquidity for capital requirements not satisfied by operating cash flows. The inability of FPL Group, FPL Group Capital Inc (FPL Group Capital) and FPL to maintain their current credit ratings could affect their ability to raise capital on favorable terms, particularly during times of uncertainty in the capital markets, which, in turn, could impact FPL Group's and FPL's ability to grow their businesses and would likely increase interest costs. FPL Group’s and FPL’s results of operations are affected by the growth in customer accounts in FPL’s service area. Customer growth can be affected by population growth as well as economic factors in Florida, including job and income growth, housing starts and new home prices. Customer growth directly influences the demand for electricity and the need for additional power generation and power delivery facilities at FPL. FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations are affected by changes in the weather. Weather conditions directly influence the demand for electricity and natural gas and affect the price of energy commodities, and can affect the production of electricity at wind and hydro-powered facilities. FPL Group’s and FPL’s results of operations can be affected by the impact of severe weather which can be destructive, causing outages and property damage, may affect fuel supply and could require additional costs to be incurred. At FPL, recovery of these costs is subject to FPSC approval. FPL Group and FPL are subject to costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims, as well as the effect of new, or changes in, tax laws, rates or policies, rates of inflation, accounting standards, securities laws or corporate governance requirements. FPL Group and FPL are subject to direct and indirect effects of terrorist threats and activities. Generation and transmission facilities, in general, have been identified as potential targets. The effects of terrorist threats and activities include, among other things, terrorist actions or responses to such actions or threats, the inability to generate, purchase or transmit power, the risk of a significant slowdown in growth or a decline in the U.S. economy, delay in economic recovery in the United States, and the increased cost and adequacy of security and insurance. FPL Group's and FPL's ability to obtain insurance, and the cost of and coverage provided by such insurance, could be affected by national, state or local events as well as company-specific events. FPL Group and FPL are subject to employee workforce factors, including loss or retirement of key executives, availability of qualified personnel, collective bargaining agreements with union employees and work stoppage. The issues and associated risks and uncertainties described above are not the only ones FPL Group and FPL may face. Additional issues may arise or become material as the energy industry evolves. The risks and uncertainties associated with these additional issues could impair FPL Group's and FPL's businesses and financial results in the future.
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