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Published byCarmel Barnett Modified over 9 years ago
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Missouri Economic Update What to Expect in 2014 Dr. David Mitchell, Director Bureau of Economic Research
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Economic Headwinds ACA Government Shutdown/Debt Slow growth in Europe Declining Labor Force (Demographics/Govt. Policies) Result—anemic economic growth and little to no employment growth
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Real GDP (Millions of 2009$)
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Quarter to Quarter Change in Real GDP
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4.2 3.8 2.7 2.2
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US Employment (Household Survey)
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US Employment (Establishment Survey)
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US Unemployment Rate
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US Labor Force
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1.33% 0.14%
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Labor Force Participation Rate
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Employment-Population Ratio
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Index of Housing Prices (1980-2013)
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Index of Real Housing Prices (1980-2013)
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US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2009 to 2011)
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US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2010 to 2011)
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Missouri Business Loans Thds of 2012:2 SA dollars
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Missouri Real Estate Loans Thds of 2012:2 SA dollars
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Missouri Real Personal Income (2012:2 Constant $ SAAR)
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Missouri Real Personal Income (2012:2 Constant $ SAAR and CAGR Trends) 2.9% 1.7% 2%
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Growth in Real Personal Income (Year over Year) 1.4%
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Missouri Real Median Household Income
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Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2011 to 2013)
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Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2007Q4 to 2013)
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City Level Housing Prices (1995:1 =100; 1995 constant $)
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Missouri Unemployment Rate
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Missouri-US Unemployment Rate Difference
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Major City Unemployment Rates
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Other Unemployment Rates
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Current County Unemployment Rate July 2013
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Labor Force in Missouri
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1.6% 0.6% -0.9%
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Year to Year Change in Missouri Labor Force
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Missouri Employment Peak of 2,914,418 Dec. 2006 Trough of 2,755,850 Dec. 2009 2012 Avg 2,669,443 2013 Avg 2,695,072 Current 2,701,760 2013 = March 1998
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Index of Missouri and US Employment (Jan 2000 = 100)
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Missouri Employment (Percent Change Year over Year)
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Percent Change in County Employment September 2011 to July 2013
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Thank you! Questions?
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