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1 Industry Plenary and Round Table 16 th World Congress Stockholm 2009 Steve Heminger Executive Director Metropolitan Transportation Commission San Francisco Bay Area, USA
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3 Freight
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4 Growth in U.S. Container Trade Continues 2000-2028 Source: Global Insight
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5 1,437 6,165 (TEUs in thousands) 2020 2004 Houston 13,101 LA/LB 1,010 2,152 Miami 2,043 3,382 Oakland 4,478 15,835 NY/NJ 1,809 5,566 Virginia 1,860 6,639 Charleston 1,662 9,420 Savannah 1,798 4,396 Tacoma 1,776 2,557 Seattle 59,420 Forecast figures based on 10-year linear regression Dramatic Increase in Port Activity Volume of trade: 2004 and 2020 Source: U.S. DOT
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6 More trade means more domestic freight movements West region +65% South region +71% Central region +71% Northeast region +58% U.S. domestic freight tonnage growth forecast, 2000-2020 U.S. domestic freight tonnage forecasts by mode, 2000-2020 2020 2000 % change 2000-2020 62%44%39%181%57% 10,700 17,296 2,009 2,891 1,054 1,470 13,772 21,682 9 9 25 (tons in millions) Source: U.S. DOT
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7 Metro Mobility
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8 In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually Source: Texas Transportation Institute
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9 Metros Capture Huge Market Share 10 Megaregions Metro Areas >1 Million 1Share of U.S. Population 68%58% 2Share of GDP 78%61% 3Share of Traffic Congestion 92%97% 4Share of Transit Ridership 93%92% 5Share of Population Exposure to Criteria Pollutants 94%88% Sources: U.S. Census, Texas Transportation Institute, U.S. Conference of Mayors, EPA
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10 Fuel Efficiency/ Energy Security/ Climate Change
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11 Annual Petroleum Production, Imports and Consumption In the U.S., 1949–2006 Source: Energy Information Administration 11
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12 International Fuel Economy Comparison Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new- sale light-duty vehicles Source: UC Berkeley 12
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13 U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Use: 1985-2006 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2007
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14 Safety
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15 U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million VMT Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004
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16 Lessons from the San Francisco Bay Area
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17 Premise 1: Transportation is Critical Sources: USEIA, BAAQMD Transportation: 14% Transportation: 41% World Bay Area Green House Gases Compared
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18 Premise 2: Tighter Emission Standards Necessary But Not Sufficient
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19 Premise 3: Location Matters Growing Cooler: Compared to sprawl, compact development results in a 20 to 40 percent reduction in VMT and hence in CO 2
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20 Premise 4: Price Matters More Core Pricing: Driving is more expensive in the urban core with parking costs and bridge tolls
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21 A Local-Regional Partnership is Essential Land UseTransportation Sustainable Communities Strategy Local Authority Regional Authority
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22 Some Impacts Now…Many Much Later Short Term Long Term Parking Policy EV Infrastructure Carbon taxes/Road Pricing Compact & Complete Communities Transit-oriented Employment Centers SCS Mobility Management Tools
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23 U.S. Examples Federal Policy – Transportation for Tomorrow Focus on Metro Mobility Urban Partnership Program to conduct large scale demonstrations of strategies to improve urban mobility Multi-modal traveler information systems to influence travel decisions Transit-oriented development to encourage alternatives to private cars Car sharing High Occupancy Toll lanes Traffic management systems to use existing capacity Intellidrive program to design connectivity between vehicles and the roadway
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24 Working Together in the Future Focus on Urban Mobility Share developments in technology and policy that focus on solving metropolitan transportation problems Example: CIVITAS program – bring good ideas to scale Traveler information systems designed for the next generation In-vehicle and roadside communication in real time Improve intermodal freight movement to reduce impacts on urban centers Dynamic management of existing infrastructure Integrate pricing, fare payment, parking charges Link land use planning and transportation investment to improve urban mobility
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25 Cooperation between Modes Establish common targets for GHG emission reduction, urban congestion mitigation, safety and equity Optimize modal contributions to meeting these targets Achieve dynamic management of existing infrastructure to optimize existing capacity. Implement intermodal electronic payment systems to allow ease of movement while achieving pricing objectives Supply real-time information to help make informed decisions
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26 System Management & ITS System management approach relies on ITS projects to: Manage traffic, Improve freeway and arterial operations, Ensure rapid response to and clearance of freeway incidents, Inform travelers about options on-demand and in real- time, and Simplify access with electronic payment systems.
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27 ITS Solutions Freeway Performance Initiative & Related Efforts Ramp metering Traffic detection Information systems 511 Traveler Information Services Vehicle Infrastructure Integration / IntelliDrive SM Electronic Payment Systems
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