9. Do not Predict “THE Future” Forecast “Alternative FutureS” Invent “Preferred Futures” Continuously

10. THREE “COMPONENTS” OF THE FUTURES

12. 3 “COMPONENTS” OF THE FUTURES 1. Continuations Things that have always existed Existed in pasts & present, so in futures

13. 3 “COMPONENTS” OF THE FUTURES 1. Continuations Things that have always existed Existed in pasts & present, so in futures 2. Cycles Not in present, but in past, so in futures OR big in present, not past, not futures

14. THREE “COMPONENTS” OF THE FUTURES 1. Continuations Things that have always existed Existed in pasts & present, so in futures 2. Cycles Not in present, but in past, so in futures OR big in present, not past, not futures 3. Novelties Never before experienced by humans Not in past or present, will in futures

15. THREE “COMPONENTS” OF THE FUTURES 1. Continuations ??% 2. Cycles ??% 3. Novelties ??% Total 100%

16. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT USED TO BE

17. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT USED TO BE 1. Continuations (80%)

18. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT USED TO BE 1. Continuations (80%) 2. Cycles (15%)

19. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT USED TO BE 1. Continuations (80%) 2. Cycles (15%) 3. Novelties (5%)

20. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT MAY BE

21. Three “Components” of the Futures (2) THE WAY IT MAY BE 1. Continuations (5%) 2. Cycles (15%) 3. Novelties (80%)

31. Theory TrendsImagesEvents Methods

33. Any statement about the futures must be based on a theory of social change

36. We live in a world today where new technologies are invented, developed, produced and diffused daily. Technology is the major agent of change in our world.

37. The diffusion of current technologies and the creation and diffusion of new technologies changes behaviors which changes beliefs.

38. Marshall McLuhan WE SHAPE OUR TOOLS AND THEREAFTER OUR TOOLS SHAPE US

39. One example of how technological change causes social change: (while any technology could be used, this is an example of change in communication technologies).

41. Stages of social evolution and changes in communication technologies 200,000Pre-speechHomo Sapiens 35, 000SpeechHunting & Gathering 5,000WritingAgricultural 400PrintingIndustrial 100ElectronicsInformation Now????

42. WHAT’S NEXT?? ?

43. Four Generic Alternative Futures Continued Growth Collapse Disciplined Society Transformational Society

44. WHAT’S NEXT? CONTINUED GROWTH?

45. WHAT’S NEXT? COLLAPSE?

46. WHAT’S NEXT? A DISCIPLINED SOCIETY?

47. WHAT’S NEXT? A TRANSFORMATIONAL SOCIETY?

48. Four Generic Alternative Futures Continued Growth Collapse Disciplined Society Transformational Society

49. So what’s next? They are many possible futures Here is one:

50. A Dream Society of Icons and Aesthetic experience

51. THE “ PLACE ” INDUSTRIES Construction, Architecture, Transportation

52. THE “ WORDS ” INDUSTRIES Government, Law, Business, Education

53. THE “ IMAGE ” INDUSTRIES Communications, Entertainment, Military, Space

54. WORDSPLACE IMAGE

55. Rolf Jensen, The Dream Society: The coming shift from information to imagination. Joseph Pine II and James H. Gilmore, The Experience Economy: Work is theatre and every business a stage. Daniel H. Pink, “The MFA is the new MBA,” Harvard Business Review. Daniel H. Pink, A whole new mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age. Virginia Postel, The substance of style: The rise of aesthetic value is remaking commerce, culture, and consciousness. Ernest Sternberg, The Economy of Icons: How business manufactures meaning.

57. In addition to communication technologies there are many other technologies transforming Earth and Humanity.

58. Robotics Artificial Intelligence and the emergence of Cultures of Autonomous Beings

59. Genetic engineering, clones, cyborgs and the emergence of post-homo sapiens

60. Space exploration, space settlements and the emergence of new intelligent life-forms and cultures

62. A Dream Society is not inevitable. There are many other possible futures.

63. Continuation of Industrial and Information Society

64. The Clash of Fundamentalisms (Political, Economic, Religious, Cultural)

65. Economic and/ or Environmental Collapse

66. End of oil global climate change sea level rise shortages of food and water new and renewed diseases continued global population growth and regional depopulation

67. Unsustainable debt-bound neoliberal capitalism with no viable alternative

70. Any Useful Idea About the Futures Should Appear to be Ridiculous