1. CLICO (Climate Change, Hydro-Conflict and Human Security) Jakob Rhyner UNU Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn 12th WaterNet | WARFSA | GWP-SA Symposium 26 Oct 2011, Maputo, Mozambique

2. UNU Facts and Figures  Founded in 1973  At present 14 Institutes in 12 countries  20 Associated institutions (e.g. University of Bonn)  Staff: around 600

3. United Nations University The Campus

4. United Nations University The Twinning Concept UNU-FLORES Institute for Integrated Management of Material Fluxes and of Resources TU Dresden – Maputo 2nd Scoping Workshop Maputo, 24-25 Oct 2011

5. Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS)  EMSVA: Environmental Migration, Social Vulnerability & Adaptation Koko Warner  VARMAP: Vulnerability Assessment, Risk Management & Adaptive Planning Joern Birkmann  EVES: Environmental Vulnerability & Ecosystem Services Fabrice Renaud  EGECHS: Enhancing Graduate Educational Capacities for Human Security Jörg Szarzynski (since 1 Oct 2011) Organized in 4 Sections:

6. Water related EHS projects in Africa WASCAL – West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Gambia, Togo, Senegal). BMBF Germany CLICO – Climate Change Hydro-Conflict and Human Security (UNU-EHS: Case study Niger). European Commission FP7

7. Water related EHS projects in Africa WASCAL – West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Gambia, Togo, Senegal). BMBF Germany CLICO – Climate Change Hydro-Conflict and Human Security (UNU-EHS: Case study Niger). European Commission FP7

8.  A three year project (2010 - 2012) financed by the European Commission which mobilizes 14 research teams from Europe, North Africa, Sahel and the Middle East.  It aims to fill this gap in knowledge over the social dimensions of climate change.  It examines whether hydro-climatic hazards such as droughts and floods intensify social conflicts or whether they catalyse cooperation in the Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel,.  Eleven cases of hydro-conflicts will be studied ranging from Niger, Sudan, the Jordan and Nile basins to Cyprus, Italy and the Sinai desert. A large dataset of hydro-conflicts in the Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel will be regressed against climatic, hydrological and socio-economic variables The CLICO project

9.  Much of debate on climate change and hydrological impact focuses on national security and potential for armed conflict  In CLICO we complement this with attention to the regional and local scales and with a concern for the impacts of climate change on vulnerable livelihoods.  CLICO takes a critical look at the sources of vulnerabilities that undermine human security and the governance arrangements necessary to enhance adaptation. Focus of CLICO

10. CLICO Case Studies Mediterranean, Middle East and Sahel The island of Cyprus The Andalusia-Morocco biosphere Sarno basin, Italy Lower Ebro Basin, Spain Niger Alexandria, Egypt Sudan Seyhan Basin, Turkey Jordan Basin Sinai Desert, Egypt Nile Basin, Ethiopia

11. Niger Case Study  Analyzes the human security through the lens of ecosystem services  Divergent rural constituents: farmers and herders  Focus on the local and regional scale  Incorporate multi-level institutions

13. Q1: How have changes in ecosystem services, social vulnerability, and governance factors contributed to human insecurity amongst herders and farmers in Niger? Q2: How are conflicting adaptation mechanisms enhancing conflict or cooperation relative to the institutional, environmental and social dynamics? Main Research Questions

14. Methodology Phase III: Climate change scenario analysis Preparation of climate scenarios Focus group with stakeholders Phase II: Assessment of natural resource-based conflicts Quantitative survey of judicial recordsInterviews with traditional leaders Phase I: Qualitative vulnerability & institutional assessment Semi-structured interviewsFocus groups

15. UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) Hermann-Ehlers-Str. 10 53113 Bonn, Germany Tel.: + 49-228-815-0200 Fax: + 49-228-815-0299 e-mail: rhyner@ehs.unu.edu www.ehs.unu.edu www.ehs.unu.edu THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!