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Steve Heminger Executive Director, MTC American Public Transportation Association Washington DC March 12, 2007
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System Maintenance
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89% 91% 39% 48% 50% 52% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1997200020022004 Acceptable Good Pavement Ride Quality National Highway System for 2004 Source: U.S. DOT
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Transit System Conditions Source: U.S. DOT 3.48 3.38 3.473.50 2.882.94 3.053.073.08 3.42
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Traffic Congestion
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In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually Source: Texas Transportation Institute
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Nearly half of the growth in total Transit Passenger Miles from 1995 to 2004 has come from the Heavy Rail mode. Motorbus Heavy Rail Commuter Rail Light Rail Demand Response VanpoolFerryboat 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Source: U.S. DOT Growth in Transit Ridership 23% Growth in Total Ridership from 1995 to 2004
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Safety
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U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million VMT Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004
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Freight
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1,437 6,165 (TEUs in thousands) 2020 2004 Houston 13,101 LA/LB 1,010 2,152 Miami 2,043 3,382 Oakland 4,478 15,835 NY/NJ 1,809 5,566 Virginia 1,860 6,639 Charleston 1,662 9,420 Savannah 1,798 4,396 Tacoma 1,776 2,557 Seattle 59,420 Forecast figures based on 10-year linear regression Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade Volume of trade: 2004 and 2020 Source: U.S. DOTv
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0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 1830185018701890191019301950197019902010 Class I Railroads Track-Miles Owned Sources: L. Thompson/World Bank and American Association of Railroads Rail Network Today Today’s rail network has been rationalized and downsized to a core network that is descended directly from the 19th Century design
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Fuel Efficiency (“Energy Independence”)
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U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles 1975–2004 Model Years Sales-Weighted Horsepower and MPG
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International Fuel Economy Comparison Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new-sale light-duty vehicles Source: UC Berkeley
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What’s Broken?
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Environmental Impact Statement Processing Time (FY 1998 – 2006) Source: FHWA
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Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process Source: Holland & Knight
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Finance
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Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and HTF Account Balances* -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015 Dollars (in Billions) Highway Program Highway Balance Transit Program Transit Balance * Based on President’s 2006 Budget and 2006 Budget Mid Session Review revenue estimates Assuming Level Funding After 2009
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Year 600 Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015) 100 200 300 400 500 200620092012201520182021202420272030 Year-of-Expenditure Dollars (in Billions) Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015) Revenue Cost to Maintain Cost to Improve National Funding Gap Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce
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Contact the commission at: info@surfacecommission.gov
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