1. Singularity University Wiki 2009 A Proposed Taxonomy for Info on the Grand Challenges and Potential Exponential Solutions SU Grad Studies Program 2009 Jul 2009  Mountain View, CA John M. Smart, FS&F Advisor, Singularity University President, Acceleration Studies Foundation

2. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org STEEPS – A Basic Foresight Taxonomy Science Technology Environment Economics Politics Social

3. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org STEEPS3 – A More Useful Foresight Taxonomy Science Technology Environment Economics Politics Social Big – Cultural Social Medium - Organizational Social Small - Individual

4. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org ST7EEPS3 – A Potential Taxonomy of 14 Categories for our 10 SU Tracks Science Technology 1 - Space and Physical Sciences Technology 2 - Energy Technology 3 - Nanotechnology Technology 4 - Biotechnology, Bioinformatics Technology 5 - Medicine, Neurosci & Human Enhancmnt Technology 6 - Networks and Computing Systems Technology 7 - AI and Robotics Environment Economics, Finance Politics, Policy, Security, Law Social Big - Culture, Rights, Ethics/Behavior Social Medium – Entrepreneurship Social Small – (Individual)

5. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org ST7EEPS3 – A Potential Taxonomy for the 10 Tracks, With Split SU Track Categories In Bold Science Technology 1 - Space and Physical Sciences Technology 2 - Energy Technology 3 - Nanotechnology Technology 4 - Biotechnology, Bioinformatics Technology 5 - Medicine, Neurosci & Human Enhancmnt Technology 6 - Networks and Computing Systems Technology 7 - AI and Robotics Environment Economics, Finance Politics, Policy, Security, Law Social Big - Culture, Rights, Ethics/Behavior Social Medium – Entrepreneurship Social Small – (Individual)

6. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org Full ST7EEPS3 – Important Omitted Subjects Added Science, Complexity, Evolution, and Development Technology 1 - Space and Physical Sciences Technology 2 - Energy, Resources, and Agriculture Technology 3 - Nanotechnology and Chemistry Technology 4 - Biotech, Bioinformatics and Public Health Technology 5 - Medicine, Neuroscience & Human Enhancement Technology 6 - Networks and Computing Systems Technology 7 - AI and Robotics Environment, Ecosystem Services, Population, & Sustainability Economics, Finance, and Global Capitalism Politics, Policy, Security, Law, Democracy, & Intnat’l Relations Social Big – Culture, Rights, Ethics/Behav., Media, Ed., & Religion Social Med - Entrepreneurship, Innovation, IP, Mgmt, & Org Dev Social Small - Leadership, Personal Development, and Careers

7. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org ST7EEPS3 – Mostly a 1-to-1 Map to SU Track Domains (Two unassigned Tracks are Underlined). Science, Complexity, Evolution, and Development Technology 1 - Space and Physical Sciences Technology 2 - Energy, Resources, and Agriculture Technology 3 - Nanotechnology and Chemistry Technology 4 - Biotechnology, Bioinformatics and Public Health Technology 5 - Medicine, Neuroscience & Human Enhancement Technology 6 - Networks and Computing Systems Technology 7 - AI and Robotics Environment, Ecosystem Services, Population, & Sustainability Economics, Finance, and Global Capitalism Politics, Policy, Security, Law, Democracy, and Intnat’l Relations Social Big – Culture, Rights, Ethics/Behavior, Media, Ed., Religion Social Medium - Entrepreneurship, Innovation, IP, Mgmt, and OD Social Small - Leadership, Personal Development, and Careers Proposal: Assign Science to Space & PS Assign Social Small to PLE and/or F&E Note: FS&F not assigned yet (to come)

8. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org Problems & Solutions (P&S) Wiki – Proposed Model (Needs a “Metamodel”) 1. Grand Human Problems/Crises/Challenges (4 Pages) 10^6 or less 10 Million 100 Million 10^9 or more 2. Potential Solutions (each written up in STEEPS format) (?? Pages) Science, Complexity, Evolution, and Development Technology 1 - Space and Physical Sciences Technology 2 - Energy, Resources, and Agriculture Technology 3 - Nanotechnology and Chemistry Technology 4 - Biotechnology, Bioinformatics and Public Health Technology 5 - Medicine, Neuroscience & Human Enhancement Technology 6 - Networks and Computing Systems Technology 7 - AI and Robotics Environment, Ecosystem Services, Population, & Sustainability Economics, Finance, and Global Capitalism Politics, Policy, Security, Law, Democracy, and Intnat’l Relations Social Big – Culture, Rights, Ethics/Behavior, Media, Ed., Religion Social Medium - Entrepreneurship, Innovation, IP, Mgmt, and OD Social Small - Leadership, Personal Development, and Careers Integrated with: Planning, Execution and Foresight Components (TBD)

9. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org To Add: Some Simple, Effective Processes to Achieve Interdisciplinarity Jessica Scorpio’s proposal: – Each Student Writes Up in Their Expertise Track and Works on Three Other Tracks to write up (in Small Teams) – Use this process to replace as many (or all) of the six assigned papers as possible (“Create an online resource of lasting value”

10. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org P&S Wiki and Knowledge Base (KB) Wiki – Proposed Model I. P&S Wiki: 1. Grand Human Problems/Crises/Challenges (4 Pages) 2. Potential Solutions (each written in STEEPS format) (?? Pages) (Some of these turn into Team Projects) II. KB Wiki: 3. STEEPS Knowledge Base (14 Pages) For Each Category: A. Current Knowledge (Wikipedia links, tutorials, etc.) B. Foresight (3 Pages ) C. Institutions (1 Page) D. Individuals (1 Page) E. Funding Sources (1 Page)

11. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org Foresight Pages – Toward a Futurepedia 3B. Foresight Pages (For each of 14 STEEPS Categories) (Methodologies in Rough Order of Importance) 1. Possible Futures Alternative Futures (Schools of Thought), Scenarios, and Backcasting Comparative Analysis, Competitive Intell., and Horizon Scanning Emerging Issues/Tech Analysis and Weak Signals Visions, Intuitions, Images, and Artifacts of the Future Wildcards (Low Probability, High +/- Impact Events) 2. Probable Futures Devel. & Accel. Studies (TINA Trends, Learning Curves, Trend Extrap.) Forecasting, Modeling, and Simulation Predictive Surveys, Delphi, Prediction Markets, Hist. & Anal. of Prediction Risk Assessment, Uncertainty Analysis, and Actuarial Science Evolution, Complexity, & Sys. Studies, Critical & Evidence-Based Thinking 3. Preferable Futures (in addition to Solutions Pages) Strat. Planning, Roadmapping, Decision Analysis/Support, Ops Research Scenario Planning and Strategic Foresight Market Research, Polls, PR, and Consumer Behavior Demographics, Sociology, and Ethnographic Futures Collaboration and Peace/Conflict Studies Critical (Hidden Motivations) Futures and Causal Layered Analysis

12. Los Angeles New York Palo Alto Acceleration Studies Foundation A 501 (c)(3) Nonprofit © 2008 Accelerating.org KB Subcategory Pages – Format TBD STEEPS Knowledge Base (KB) Category: Environment Environment Subcategory Pages: Climate Change, etc. What should the subcategory pages look like? Perhaps, Current Knowledge Possible Futures Probable Futures Preferable Futures Foresight detail info can be entered on specific Subcategory pages (Climate Change, Computational neurobiology, etc.) with links to this info located on the more general, summary-based Category Foresight pages. Suggest we make the wiki as simple as possible to capture all the important info, but not so simple that fundamental issues and processes are entirely missing. Still open are any issues of the metamodel (how the wiki fits into any kind of database/knowledge mgmt/visualization system, now or in the future). Anyone want to address that?

13. Discussion