Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

OPTIMA Optimisation for Sustainable Water Management corridoio.zero Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Exchanges with the Balkans and the Mediterranean Region.

Published byMarybeth Gilbert Modified over 9 years ago

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "OPTIMA Optimisation for Sustainable Water Management corridoio.zero Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Exchanges with the Balkans and the Mediterranean Region."— Presentation transcript:

1 OPTIMA Optimisation for Sustainable Water Management corridoio.zero Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Exchanges with the Balkans and the Mediterranean Region 4th Management Board Meeting Milano, Italy December 19-20, 2006

2 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Tools overview Stream Scenarios WRM WRM Optimization DMC RRM LUC Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

3 Water Resources Model Generation of 1 or more hydrological scenarios S S C R D D D E S E d d d c c c S= start node D= demand node C= control node R= reservoir E= end node d = diversion node c = confluence node 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

4 Baseline Awareness campaign Technological WRM Optimization Scenarios 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

5 Baseline Awareness campaign Technological WRM Optimization Scenarios 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Instruments as levers to generate variations, evolutions Contraints as filters to cut off unacceptable solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

6 Baseline Awareness campaign Technological WRM Optimization Scenarios 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

7 Discrete MultiCriteria Awareness campaign Baseline Technological 1 efficient solution 1 efficient solution 1 efficient solution Criterion i Criterion j Criterion i Criterion j Criterion i Criterion j 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 A tool to navigate among alternatives Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

8 efficient Solution baseline 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Application of the same scenarios in different basin efficient Solution awareness efficient Solution baseline efficient Solution technol. efficient Solution baseline efficient Solution awareness efficient Solution baseline efficient Solution technol. efficient Solution baseline efficient Solution awareness efficient Solution baseline efficient Solution technol.... Case 1 Case 2 Case n... Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

9 Which is the effectiveness of an infrastrucutural intensive program in a small coastal basin or in a large inland agricultural one? Which is the effectiveness of a public awareness campaign in the same situations? Is it possible to elicit some general rule? Inter case studies analysis i.e. Best Practices? 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

10 ... In case it is possible to define general behaviours of basins, it would be possible to draw lessons and Best Practices to disseminate in the wider mediterranean area for all other cases with similar characteristics, i.e. WP14 results would be starting points for WP15 subjects. Inter case studies analysis 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

11 First check: How does choice of criteria and efficient solutions Criterion i Criterion j the efficient solution changes when different (or further) criteria are considered? 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

12 Criterion i Criterion j Starting with 2 criteria 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

13 Criterion i Criterion j Then adding furter ones... 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

14 Criterion i Criterion j The Pareto frontier changes, and the reference point also. 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

15 Moreover, a further check is necessary: At the present time many existing criteria are redundant: This appears from the strong correlation: 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

16 Supply/Demand ratio Reliability of Supply Reservoir performance Diversion performance Allocation efficiency Unallocated Water Shortfall Content Change Flooding days Flooding extent Economic efficiency Econ.efficiency, direct Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost, direct Total Benefit Total Cost Direct net benefits Direct benefit Total Cost, dir. Water Cost Water Cost, direct 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

17 Supply/Demand ratio Reliability of Supply Reservoir performance Diversion performance Allocation efficiency Unallocated Water Shortfall Content Change Flooding days Flooding extent Economic efficiency Econ.efficiency, direct Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost, direct Total Benefit Total Cost Direct net benefits Direct benefit Total Cost, dir. Water Cost Water Cost, direct 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

18 Supply/Demand ratio Reliability of Supply Reservoir performance Diversion performance Allocation efficiency Unallocated Water Shortfall Content Change Flooding days Flooding extent Economic efficiency Econ.efficiency, direct Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost, direct Total Benefit Total Cost Direct net benefits Direct benefit Total Cost, dir. Water Cost Water Cost, direct 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

19 Supply/Demand ratio Reliability of Supply Reservoir performance Diversion performance Allocation efficiency Unallocated Water Shortfall Content Change Flooding days Flooding extent Economic efficiency Econ.efficiency, direct Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost, direct Total Benefit Total Cost Direct net benefits Direct benefit Total Cost, dir. Water Cost Water Cost, direct 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

20 Supply/Demand ratio Reliability of Supply Reservoir performance Diversion performance Allocation efficiency Unallocated Water Shortfall Content Change Flooding days Flooding extent Economic efficiency Econ.efficiency, direct Cost/Benefit Benefit/Cost, direct Total Benefit Total Cost Direct net benefits Direct benefit Total Cost, dir. Water Cost Water Cost, direct 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

21 Criteria available so far are measures of overall behaviour We need to define criteria able to measure sectoral performances or even node specific ones This should be in principle realizable through the on-line Knowledge Base Editor. 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

22 At least as soon as we learn how to enter it! 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 choice of criteria and efficient solutions Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

23 Comparison and choice of alternatives in the participated activities: -How to compare alternatives: The use of a Pareto frontier is most likely to be not suitable for non-technical stakeholders Criterion i Criterion j 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

24 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier On the other side, a direct visualization of performances is much more comprehensible Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

25 Also using stakeholder-specific criteria, not just overall ones … … … Alternative i Criterion2CriterionN … Criterion1Criterion2CriterionN Alternative j … Criterion1 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

26 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier In collective workshops Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

27 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier In collective workshops Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

28 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier In one-to-one activities proposed by the case-study partner to stakeholders Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

29 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Esploration of the Pareto frontier Through interviews and questionnaires Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

30 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 In a following phase, shs can negotiate under the supervision of case study/methodol ogical partners until they reach an agreement on a "best compromise". Criterion i Criterion j Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

31 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 In a following phase, shs can negotiate under the supervision of case study/methodol ogical partners until they reach an agreement on a "best compromise". Criterion i Criterion j Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

32 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 In a following phase, shs can negotiate under the supervision of case study/methodol ogical partners until they reach an agreement on a "best compromise". Criterion i Criterion j Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

33 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Criterion i Criterion j The "optimal consensual solution“ can be compared with the one identified by technicians using only overall criteria. This may reveal hidden conflicts not shown by basin- scale performances. Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

34 Distribution patterns can be searched, to see if sectoral- specific preferred alternatives or negotiatied solution ones assume common shapes in the hyper-space of criteria. 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Criterion i Criterion j Esploration of the Pareto frontier Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

35 Baseline Awareness campaign Technological Possible extension of optimization approach 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

36 Possible extension of optimization approach 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

37 Possible extension of optimization approach 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

38 Awareness campaign Baseline Technological 1 efficient solution 1 efficient solution 1 efficient solution Criterion i Criterion j Criterion i Criterion j Criterion i Criterion j 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 No more separate optimizations... Possible extension of optimization approach Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

39 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 No more separate optimizations... Possible extension of optimization approach Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

40 ...but just different regions on the same Pareto frontier 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Criterion i Criterion j Possible extension of optimization approach Technological Baseline Awareness Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

41 WP 14 - Deliverables D14.1 – Decision Analysis Report (Draft Release by ESS) D14.2 – Stakeholder Involvement (Proposal of Table of Contents by CZERO) OPTIMA WP 14 Evaluation: Post Optimal Analysis 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

42 D14.2 Stakeholder Involvement 1.INTRODUCTION 1.1 Participation in Discrete Multi Criteria phase 1.2 Participation Tools 2.OPTIMISATION SCENARIOS 2.1 Selected Sets of Alternatives (for each CS) 2.2 CS Cross-analysis of Optimisation Scenarios 3.CRITERIA AND OPTIMISATION STRATEGIES 3.1 Selected Criteria (for each CS) 3.2 Constraints (for each CS) 3.3 From Criteria to Objectives 3.4 CS Cross-analysis of Criteria and Objectives 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

43 D14.2 Stakeholder Involvement 4.DECISION MULTI CRITERIA ANALYSIS 4.1 Choice of Solution Space (for each CS) 4.2 Methods for Exploration of Pareto Fronteer 4.3 Elicitation of Stakeholder Preference Structure(s) 4.4 CS Cross-analysis 5.SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (to be detailed) 5.1 Sensitivity & Robustness Analysis of solutions (for each CS) 5.2 CS Sensitivity Cross-analysis 5.3 CS Robustness Cross-analysis 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

44 D14.1-2: open questions 1.Sharing D14.2 approach: it is focused on methodology (participative process in WP14 activities) and not on tools (D16.2 – Guidelines for SH active involvement) 2.Integration and/or moving parts from D14.1 to D14.2 (and vice-versa?) 3.Integration, synergies and cross- references with D15 4.Contributions from CS Partners 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

45 End Thank you for the attention! 4th Management Board Meeting - Milano, Italy - December 19-20, 2006 Analysis intra-cases Exploration and negotiation Tools overview Practical tools D14 Index proposal Analysis inter-cases Possible developments

Download ppt "OPTIMA Optimisation for Sustainable Water Management corridoio.zero Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Exchanges with the Balkans and the Mediterranean Region."

Similar presentations

1 Evaluating Communication Plans Cvetina Yocheva Evaluation Unit DG REGIO 02/12/2009.

1 Evaluating Communication Plans Cvetina Yocheva Evaluation Unit DG REGIO 02/12/2009.
1 Alberto Montanari University of Bologna Basic Principles of Water Resources Management.

1 Alberto Montanari University of Bologna Basic Principles of Water Resources Management.
Mywish K. Maredia Michigan State University

Mywish K. Maredia Michigan State University
1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen.

1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/ Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen.
SUSTAINABLE OPERATION OF THE YAQUI RESERVOIR SYSTEM.

SUSTAINABLE OPERATION OF THE YAQUI RESERVOIR SYSTEM.
OPTIMA PROJECT Fourth Management Board Meeting December 19-20, 2006, Milano STAKEHOLDERS’ INVOLVEMENT.

OPTIMA PROJECT Fourth Management Board Meeting December 19-20, 2006, Milano STAKEHOLDERS’ INVOLVEMENT.
Defining the Status Quo. Definition of Status Quo The “Status Quo” describes existing or anticipated conditions of a water resources system if policies,

Defining the Status Quo. Definition of Status Quo The “Status Quo” describes existing or anticipated conditions of a water resources system if policies,
An Introductory Overview to Multi Criteria Evaluation GEOG 5161: Research Design Professor Kenneth E. Foote Petra Norlund 2010.

An Introductory Overview to Multi Criteria Evaluation GEOG 5161: Research Design Professor Kenneth E. Foote Petra Norlund 2010.
................................................. Selecting Preservation Strategies for Web Archives Stephan Strodl, Andreas Rauber Department of Software.

Selecting Preservation Strategies for Web Archives Stephan Strodl, Andreas Rauber Department of Software.
CENTRAL EUROPE PROGRAMME 2007-2013 SUCCESS FACTORS FOR PROJECT DEVELOPMENT: focus on activities and partnership JTS CENTRAL EUROPE PROGRAMME.

CENTRAL EUROPE PROGRAMME SUCCESS FACTORS FOR PROJECT DEVELOPMENT: focus on activities and partnership JTS CENTRAL EUROPE PROGRAMME.
Introduction to the ADAPT project - context Context and new elements General overview of the methodology Work plan and timing.

Introduction to the ADAPT project - context Context and new elements General overview of the methodology Work plan and timing.
On Fairness, Optimizing Replica Selection in Data Grids Husni Hamad E. AL-Mistarihi and Chan Huah Yong IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON PARALLEL AND DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS,

On Fairness, Optimizing Replica Selection in Data Grids Husni Hamad E. AL-Mistarihi and Chan Huah Yong IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON PARALLEL AND DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS,
1 Enviromatics 2008 - Decision support systems Decision support systems Вонр. проф. д-р Александар Маркоски Технички факултет – Битола 2008 год.

1 Enviromatics Decision support systems Decision support systems Вонр. проф. д-р Александар Маркоски Технички факултет – Битола 2008 год.
Preliminary Analysis of the SEE Future Infrastructure Development Plan and REM Benefits.

Preliminary Analysis of the SEE Future Infrastructure Development Plan and REM Benefits.
The Knowledge Resources Guide The SUVOT Project Sustainable and Vocational Tourism Rimini, 20 October 2005.

The Knowledge Resources Guide The SUVOT Project Sustainable and Vocational Tourism Rimini, 20 October 2005.
BUSINESS CASE Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event Ignacio Zozaya Boeing Research & Technology Europe CAATS II Brussels, 13 & 14 Oct 2009.

BUSINESS CASE Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event Ignacio Zozaya Boeing Research & Technology Europe CAATS II Brussels, 13 & 14 Oct 2009.
Network of Excellence in Internet Science Network of Excellence in Internet Science (EINS) 2 nd REVIEW Brussels, 4-5 February 2014 FP7-ICT-2011.1.6-288021.

Network of Excellence in Internet Science Network of Excellence in Internet Science (EINS) 2 nd REVIEW Brussels, 4-5 February 2014 FP7-ICT
When integrated models meet stakeholders and data (& vice-versa) WATER BASIN MODELS DATA STAKEHOLDERS POPULATION MODELLERS.

When integrated models meet stakeholders and data (& vice-versa) WATER BASIN MODELS DATA STAKEHOLDERS POPULATION MODELLERS.
The conflict for water in the Lerma- Chapala river basin and the water distribution agreement POLIOPTRO F. MARTÍNEZ-AUSTRIA MEXICAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER.

The conflict for water in the Lerma- Chapala river basin and the water distribution agreement POLIOPTRO F. MARTÍNEZ-AUSTRIA MEXICAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER.
Mali Work Packages. Crop Fields Gardens Livestock People Trees Farm 1 Farm 2 Farm 3 Fallow Pasture/forest Market Water sources Policy Landscape/Watershed.

Mali Work Packages. Crop Fields Gardens Livestock People Trees Farm 1 Farm 2 Farm 3 Fallow Pasture/forest Market Water sources Policy Landscape/Watershed.

Similar presentations

Ads by Google