1. Begin End ShowTable of Contents Lecture (6.1.2) Copyright © 2013 N.S.

2. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Table of Contents What Do You Know About…? “The Business Cycle” Targets “The Business Cycle” Targets What Is the Business Cycle? Business Cycle Fluctuations United States Business Cycles During Recessions During Expansions Other Indicators Stabilizing the Business Cycle Access Prior Knowledge Set Goals New Information Activity Conclusion

3. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Do You Know About…? Write down words that come to mind when you think of each of the following. There are no right or wrong answers!

4. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Do You Know About…? 3) Unemployment 4) InflationDeflation 1) Cycle Need help thinking of ideas? Write down words that come to mind when you think of each of the following. There are no right or wrong answers! 2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 5) Economic Growth

5. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Do You Know About…? 3) Unemployment 4) InflationDeflation 1) Cycle Write down words that come to mind when you think of each of the following. There are no right or wrong answers! 2) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 5) Economic Growth Ask yourself these questions: 1) What do I remember about these concepts from my previous classes? 2) How have I heard these words used in the news? 3) How do these affect me?

6. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. “The Business Cycle” Targets Knowledge 1Understand the different components of the business cycle. Knowledge 2Understand the causes and effects of a recession. Reasoning 5Explain how the three major indicators of an economy’s performance are related (GDP, unemployment, and inflation) Skill 1Create an illustration of the business cycle.

7. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion.

8. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time.

9. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time. 2) Downturns in the cycle are known as recessions. Severe downturns are depressions. R e c e s s i o n R e c e s s i o n

10. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time. 2) Downturns in the cycle are known as recessions. Severe downturns are depressions. Recession 3) Upturns in the cycle are known as expansions, or recoveries. E x p a n s i o n E x p a n s i o n

11. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time. 2) Downturns in the cycle are known as recessions. Severe downturns are depressions. Recession 3) Upturns in the cycle are known as expansions, or recoveries. Expansion 4) Maximum economic output is called a peak. P e a k

12. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time. 2) Downturns in the cycle are known as recessions. Severe downturns are depressions. Recession 3) Upturns in the cycle are known as expansions, or recoveries. Expansion 4) Maximum economic output is called a peak. Peak 5) Minimum economic output is called a trough. T r o u g h T r o u g h

13. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. What Is the Business Cycle? The business cycle describes the short-run fluctuation between economic recession and expansion. 1) The business cycle diagram compares the level of output (GDP) over time. 2) Downturns in the cycle are known as recessions. Severe downturns are depressions. Recession 3) Upturns in the cycle are known as expansions, or recoveries. Expansion 4) Maximum economic output is called a peak. Peak 5) Minimum economic output is called a trough. Trough 6) There is steady growth in the long run.

14. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. United States Business Cycles The graph below illustrates the business cycles that have occurred in the United States over the last 62 years. Note that this graph shows the change in the real GDP growth RATE.

15. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. United States Business Cycles The graph below illustrates the business cycles that have occurred in the United States over the last 62 years. Note that this graph shows the change in the real GDP growth RATE. 1) U.S. recessions began in each of the following years: 1953195819601969 197319801990 20012007 1981 Troughs

16. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. United States Business Cycles The graph below illustrates the business cycles that have occurred in the United States over the last 62 years. Note that this graph shows the change in the real GDP growth RATE. 1) U.S. recessions began in each of the following years: 1953195819601969 197319801990 20012007 1981 Troughs 2) Recessions have lasted on average about one year.

17. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. United States Business Cycles The graph below illustrates the business cycles that have occurred in the United States over the last 62 years. Note that this graph shows the change in the real GDP growth RATE. 1) U.S. recessions began in each of the following years: 1953195819601969 197319801990 20012007 1981 Troughs 2) Recessions have lasted on average about one year. 3) Periods of expansion between recessions last about 5 years. Peaks

18. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. United States Business Cycles The graph below illustrates the business cycles that have occurred in the United States over the last 62 years. 1) U.S. recessions began in each of the following years: 1953195819601969 197319801990 20012007 1981 2) Recessions have lasted on average about one year. 3) Periods of expansion between recessions last about 5 years. 4) In the long run, the U.S. economy has steadily grown.

19. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Recessions As a general rule, the following events occur during recessions.

20. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Recessions As a general rule, the following events occur during recessions. 1) GDP Decreases Aggregate output (total final goods and services produced) decreases during economic downturns.

21. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Recessions As a general rule, the following events occur during recessions. 1) GDP Decreases Aggregate output (total final goods and services produced) decreases during economic downturns. 2) Unemployment Increases Because the amount of goods and services produced decreases, fewer workers are needed.

22. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Recessions As a general rule, the following events occur during recessions. 1) GDP Decreases Aggregate output (total final goods and services produced) decreases during economic downturns. 2) Unemployment Increases Because the amount of goods and services produced decreases, fewer workers are needed. 3) Inflation Decreases Because fewer goods and services are purchased, the price level in the economy decreases.

23. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Expansions As a general rule, the following events occur during expansions.

24. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Expansions As a general rule, the following events occur during expansions. 1) GDP Increases Aggregate output increases as people begin to demand more goods and services.

25. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Expansions As a general rule, the following events occur during expansions. 1) GDP Increases Aggregate output increases as people begin to demand more goods and services. 2) Unemployment Decreases In order to supply consumers with increased demand, producers must hire more workers.

26. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. During Expansions As a general rule, the following events occur during expansions. 1) GDP Increases Aggregate output increases as people begin to demand more goods and services. 2) Unemployment Decreases In order to supply consumers with increased demand, producers must hire more workers. 3) Inflation Increases Because more money is being spent, the overall price level for the economy increases.

27. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Other Indicators GDP, Unemployment, and Inflation are the three main tools for measuring an economy’s performance. There are, however, dozens of other indicators.

28. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Other Indicators GDP, Unemployment, and Inflation are the three main tools for measuring an economy’s performance. There are, however, dozens of other indicators. 1) Leading Indicators Leading indicators become weak right before a recession and strong right before an expansion. Some examples include building permits for new housing units, the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index, and the M2 money supply.

29. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Other Indicators GDP, Unemployment, and Inflation are the three main tools for measuring an economy’s performance. There are, however, dozens of other indicators. 1) Leading Indicators Leading indicators become weak right before a recession and strong right before an expansion. Some examples include number of employees on payrolls, industrial production, and manufacturing. 2) Coincident Indicators These change at roughly the same time as the economy.

30. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Other Indicators GDP, Unemployment, and Inflation are the three main tools for measuring an economy’s performance. There are, however, dozens of other indicators. 1) Leading Indicators Leading indicators become weak right before a recession and strong right before an expansion. 2) Coincident Indicators These change at roughly the same time as the economy. 3) Lagging Indicators These do not change until after the economy has already begun to enter a recession or an expansion. Some examples include outstanding consumer credit, the CPI (inflation), and the prime rate charged by banks.

31. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Stabilizing the Business Cycle One of the key goals of macroeconomics is to smooth out the ups and downs of the business cycle.

32. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Stabilizing the Business Cycle One of the key goals of macroeconomics is to smooth out the ups and downs of the business cycle. 1) Controlling the severity of recessions means people have jobs and money for spending.

33. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Stabilizing the Business Cycle One of the key goals of macroeconomics is to smooth out the ups and downs of the business cycle. 1) Controlling the severity of recessions means people have jobs and money for spending. 2) Controlling excessively strong expansions means prices will not rise out of control.

34. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Stabilizing the Business Cycle One of the key goals of macroeconomics is to smooth out the ups and downs of the business cycle. 1) Controlling the severity of recessions means people have jobs and money for spending. 2) Controlling excessively strong expansions means prices will not rise out of control. 3) Government uses fiscal policy, which uses taxes and spending to control the economy.

35. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Stabilizing the Business Cycle One of the key goals of macroeconomics is to smooth out the ups and downs of the business cycle. 1) Controlling the severity of recessions means people have jobs and money for spending. 2) Controlling excessively strong expansions means prices will not rise out of control. 3) Government uses fiscal policy, which uses taxes and spending to control the economy. 4) The Federal Reserve uses monetary policy, which alters the money supply and interest rate.

36. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations A)CREATE AN ILLUSTRATION OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE Draw an illustration of the business cycle. Be sure to label your diagram using all of the words from the box. B)IDENTIFY ECONOMIC INDICATORS Using the Business Cycle Fluctuations Cards, identify whether each event indicates an expansion or a recession. Turn one card over at a time and discuss as a group. Then, write the name of the event under the proper heading.

37. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. “The Business Cycle” Targets Knowledge 1Understand the different components of the business cycle. Knowledge 2Understand the causes and effects of a recession. Reasoning 5Explain how the three major indicators of an economy’s performance are related (GDP, unemployment, and inflation) Skill 1Create an illustration of the business cycle.

38. Last Slide Viewed ForwardBack End ShowResourcesTitle PageTable of Contents Copyright © 2013 N.S. Resources http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp: Data regarding Real GDP growth rates and Real GDP