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Published byEsther Goodman Modified over 9 years ago
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Benson Economic Outlook 2012
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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate
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INFLATION (CPI) Compared to same month previous year
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NATIONAL OUTLOOK Continued slow economic growth Labor market generally improving Short- and long-run inflation threat remains
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GDP BY STATE
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THE LOCAL ECONOMY Cochise County & Benson
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COCHISE COUNTY RETAIL SALES GROWTH Inflation adjusted; compared to same month previous year
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BENSON RETAIL SALES TAX REVENUE GROWTH Compared to same month previous year; unadjusted
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Cochise County 2012: 1.3% * 2011: -1.2% 2010: -4.8% 2009: -4.2% 2008: -6.5% 2007: -1.3% Benson (Retail Sales Tax Revenue) 2012: -2.4% * 2011: -5.6% 2010: -0.4% 2009: -4.8% 2008: 0.6% 2007: 38.2% RETAIL SALES RECENT ACTIVITY * Jan-Apr only; comparison to same period the previous year
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RESTAURANT AND BAR SALES GROWTH Inflation adjusted; compared to same month previous year
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Cochise County 2012: -3.3% * 2011: -0.2% 2010: 0.0% 2009: 0.3% 2008: 0.2% 2007: 0.1% Benson 2012: -9.6% * 2011: -11.1% 2010: -3.7% 2009: 9.1% 2008: -0.6% 2007: -3.1% RESTAURANT & BAR SALES RECENT ACTIVITY * Jan-Apr only; comparison to same period the previous year
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ACCOMMODATION SALES GROWTH Inflation adjusted; compared to same month previous year
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Cochise County 2012: -11.0% * 2011: -13.1% 2010: 8.3% 2009: -9.0% 2008: 1.0% 2007: 19.7% Benson 2012: -25.6% * 2011: -6.1% 2010: 1.0% 2009: -5.5% 2008: -7.5% 2007: 17.6% ACCOMMODATION SALES RECENT ACTIVITY * Jan-Apr only; comparison to same period the previous year
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SALES OUTLOOK Modest retail sales growth (countywide); slight decline (city) Restaurant and bar and accommodation sales trending downward (city & countywide) I-10 construction, gas prices, and potential defense cuts
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EMPLOYMENT
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UNEMPLOYMENT RATES * Jan-May only; seasonally adjusted
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MONTHLY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES Seasonally adjusted
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COCHISE COUNTY NONFARM JOB GROWTH Compared to same month previous year
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COCHISE COUNTY JOB GAINS/LOSSES BY INDUSTRY 12 months ended May 2012 * Includes mining
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COCHISE COUNTY JOB GROWTH RATE BY INDUSTRY 12 months ended May 2012 * Includes mining
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EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK Local labor market generally improving Sustained improvement likely through 2012- 2013
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HOUSING AND REAL ESTATE
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NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION Single Family Residential Building Permits
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MLS HOME SALES
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MEDIAN HOME PRICE * 1 st Quarter only
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OUTLOOK New residential construction picking up countywide Benson new construction down, but above historical levels (pre-2006) Boost from foreclosures/lower prices/lower interest rates 2012 median price likely to increase from 1 st quarter
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CONCLUSION Moving in the right direction, but slowly Sales locally continue to struggle, especially hospitality Defense spending and I-10 construction Labor market improvement will give boost Construction and home sales picking up Long-term inflation threat
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