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LONG RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY
the amount of real output the economy is able to supply at different price levels if the economy is at Natural Real GDP
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the economy could produce if it operated at full employment
NATURAL REAL GDP the amount of output the economy could produce if it operated at full employment called Qn or Qf
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LONG RUN AGGREAGATE SUPPLY LRAS
vertical line at full employment Real GDP Qn = Qf
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THREE POSSIBLE STATES OF THE ECONOMY
Full employment equilibrium Recessionary gap Inflationary gap
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FULL EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM
The intersection of SRAS and AD is equal to the Natural Real GDP
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FULL EMPLOYMENT OUTPUT (other terms)
Potential GDP the Natural Rate of Employment the Natural Rate of Unemployment QF or QN
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FULL EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM
LRAS PRICE LEVEL SRAS AD Qn REAL GDP
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Short run equilibrium output is less than full employment
RECESSIONARY GAP Short run equilibrium output is less than full employment People are not spending enough to purchase all that has been produced (inventories increase) unemployment is a concern
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RECESSIONARY GAP LRAS PRICE LEVEL SRAS AD Qn Q1 REAL GDP
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POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF A SELF REGULATING ECONOMY
Recessionary gaps are eliminated by decreases in wages and other input prices Graphically this is an increase in SRAS
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Self-Regulating Economy Exhibit 2 (1 of 2)
P r i c e L e v e l P a r t ( a ) S R A S 1 T h e e c o n o m y i s i n a 1 P r e c e s s i o n a r y g a p a t 1 p o i n t 1 . A D 1 5 , 2 6 , R e a l G D P ( b i l l i o n s o f U n e m p l o y m e n t r a t e S u p p o s e b a s e - y e a r d o l l a r s ) i s h i g h e r a t $ 5 , 2 t h i s i s b i l l i o n t h a n a t $ 6 , N a t u r a l b i l l i o n R e a l G D P
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Self-Regulating Economy Exhibit 2 (2 of 2)
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Equilibrium output is greater than full employment output
INFLATIONARY GAP Equilibrium output is greater than full employment output People are spending more than businesses anticipated and inventories are being drawn down Inflation is a major concern
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INFLATIONARY GAP P r i c e L e v e l L R A S S R A S S h o r t - r u n
q u i l i b r i u m e q u i l i b r i u m A D Q N N a t u r a l R e a l G D P
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POLICY IMPLICATIONS OF A SELF REGULATING ECONOMY
Inflationary gaps are eliminated by increases in wages and input prices Graphically, this is a decrease in SRAS
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Self-Regulating Economy: Removing an Inflationary Gap Exhibit 3 (1 of 2)
. A D 1 R e a l G D P ( b i l l i o n s o f b a s e - y e a r 6 , 6 , 5 d o l l a r s ) U n e m p l o y m e n t r a t e i s S u p p o s e t h i s i s l o w e r a t $ 6 , 5 b i l l i o n N a t u r a l R e a l G D P t h a n a t $ 6 , b i l l i o n
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Self-Regulating Economy: Removing an Inflationary Gap Exhibit 3 (2 of 2)
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CLASSICAL ECONOMIC REASONING
Inflationary and Recessionary gaps will be automatically eliminated due to flexible prices flexible wages flexible interest rates
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CLASSICAL VIEW OF THE PRODUCT MARKET
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SUPPLY CREATES ITS OWN DEMAND
SAY’S LAW SUPPLY CREATES ITS OWN DEMAND
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REASONING BEHIND SAY’S LAW
People don’t work just to earn money. They work for the things that money can buy. People don’t save just to hold the money. They save in order to invest. All that is earned will be spent.
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