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Equilibrium in the Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Supply Model
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What happens when there is a price level above the intersection of AD and SRAS? o There is a surplus of aggregate output in the economy. When there is a surplus of output, what will eventually happen?. o Prices begin to fall What happens when the price level is below the intersection of AD and SRAS? o There is a shortage of aggregate output in the economy. When there is a shortage of output, what will eventually happen? o Prices begin to rise The AD/AS model presumes that the economy is usually in a state of short-run equilibrium.
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Demand Shock: an event that shifts the aggregate demand curve AD shift to the left o Aggregate price level ↓ and real GDP ↓ o This causes a recession AD shift to the right o Aggregate price level ↑ and ↑ real GDP o This causes inflation
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Supply shock: an event that shifts the short-run aggregate supply curve SRAS shift to the left o Aggregate price level ↑ and real GDP ↓ o This causes stagflation o Stagflation: High unemployment and High inflation (stagnation and inflation put together) SRAS shift to the right o Aggregate price level ↓ and ↑ real GDP o Creates optimism and leads to long-run growth
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Long-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium: the point when short-run macroeconomic equilibrium is on the LRAS. The AD/AS Model predicts that in the long run, when all prices are flexible, that the AD<SRAS, and LRAS curves will all intersect at potential output Yp.
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Recessionary gap: when aggregate output is below potential output Draw a AD/AS Model in LR Macro Equilibrium Now draw an initial negative demand shock o What happens to agg price level, agg output and employment? o Reduces agg price level and agg output and leads to higher unemployment in the short-run… What self-correcting policy will eventually take place? o Fall in nominal wages in the long-run increases short-run aggregate supply and moves the economy back to potential output.
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Inflationary gap: when aggregate output is above potential output Draw a AD/AS Model in LR Macro Equilibrium Now draw an initial positive demand shock o What happens to agg price level, agg output and employment? o increases agg price level and agg output and reduces unemployment in the short-run… What self-correcting policy will eventually take place? o Rise in nominal wages in the long-run reduces short-run aggregate supply and moves the economy back to potential output. *Inflationary and recessionary gaps are closed by self- correcting adjustments that shift the SRAS curve.
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To summarize the analysis of how the economy responds to recessionary and inflationary gaps, we can focus on the output gap Output Gap: the percentage difference between actual output and potential output o Measured as the percentage Y 2 lies away from Y 1 o Always trends towards zero Output gap = actual aggregate output — potential output X 100 Potential output
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Recessionary Gap: o Output gap is negative, nominal wages eventually fall, moving the economy back to potential output and bringing the output gap back to zero. Inflationary Gap: o Output gap is positive, nominal wages eventually rise, also moving the economy back to potential output and again bringing the output gap back to zero. So in the long run the economy is self-correcting: shocks to aggregate demand affect aggregate output in the short-run, but not in the long run
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