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Clean Energy Standards 101 Justin Barnes, Senior Analyst North Carolina Solar Center January 26, 2012
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State of the Union: RPS
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State of the Union: Solar
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SRECs In general, SRECs are a form of Renewable Energy Certificate or "Green tag" o SREC sale opportunities exist in states that have RPS legislation with specific requirements for solar energy, usually referred to as a "solar carve-out" States define SRECs differently State policy variations ultimately determine what an SREC is worth and how the generator is able to receive value from its sale
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Major State Policy Variations Regulated vs. Restructured Electricity Markets o Determines the obligated entity: Utilities vs. Energy Suppliers (may include IOUs) o Often determines the transaction type: standard offer incentive programs (CO) vs. open trading markets (PA) vs. open trading with regulation (NJ, MA) o Penalty/compliance provisions: administrative penalties vs. SACPs (vary by state) Resource eligibility o Geographic/electricity delivery restrictions (e.g., in-state, in-region) o Resource definitions (PV only, all DG, solar water heating) o Specific size limits or other effective limitations Targets and Timelines o Modest targets (e.g., NC 0.2% by 2018) vs. ambitious targets (e.g., DE 3.5% PV by 2026) o Target formulation: MW (MA), MWh (NJ), % (most others) o Increase schedule: annual forward (most states), plateau (NM, NV), variable (MA)
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Basic Market Demand Equation Basic Market Demand Equation SREC demand = (% standard) X (forecast retail sales) MW demand = (SREC Demand)/(Annual production (est.) per MW) Complicating Factors Establishing accurate long-term retail sales forecasts Estimating solar % for DG carve-outs (or solar thermal electric vs. PV) Accounting for multi-year SREC lifetimes/carryovers Accounting for multipliers if they exist now or in the past Relevance of cost containment provisions Prospects of policy change
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The Other Side: Supply SREC demand is state specific, but supply may not be Broader eligibility typically equals lower SREC values Map Source: FERC (eligibility arrows added)
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Ongoing Implementation Issues Reliance on market forces vs. more “bankable” mechanisms Role of different sectors (residential, commercial, utility-scale) Balancing cost and ratepayer impacts vs. ratepayer benefits
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Contact: Justin Barnes justin_barnes@ncsu.edu www.dsireusa.org www.ncsc.ncsu.edu justin_barnes@ncsu.edu www.dsireusa.org www.ncsc.ncsu.edu justin_barnes@ncsu.edu www.dsireusa.org www.ncsc.ncsu.edu
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