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Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. April 21, 2009 Alan Lagunov, Pragnesh Podar, Gana Raman, Bilal Rathore
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Offshore Drilling Diamond Offshore’s job is to drill and complete wells at the direction of customers – Completion in industry terms means preparing the well for production Rigs come with a full crew and the equipment and supplies needed to carry out the assigned task – May range from a few days to multiple years – Crews live on rigs for 14 days, then get 14 days off
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Business Description Provides contract drilling services to the energy industry globally – Oil and gas Leading company in deepwater drilling One of the world’s largest fleets of offshore drilling rigs – 30 semisubmersibles – 14 jack-up units – 1 drill ship
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Company History Incorporated in Delaware in 1989 Diamond Offshore is a collection of three companies – Ocean Drilling and Exploration Co. (ODECO) – Zapata Petroleum Corp. Partnership which included George H.W. Bush Purchased by Artheusa Ltd. in early 1990s – Diamond M Drilling Co. After oil collapse of 1980s, Loews bought assets of Diamond M (1989)
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Company History In 1992, Diamond M bought out ODECO In 1993, changed name to Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. In 1995, Loews sold 30% of the company in an IPO – Wholly owned subsidiary of Loews prior to that In April 1996, acquired Artheusa Ltd. In February 2009, added to the S&P 500 index
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Types of Rigs Semisubmersibles (30) – Used in water depths of 1,100 to 10,000 feet – Consist of an upper working and living deck resting on vertical columns connected to lower hull members approximately 55 feet to 90 feet below the water line – Typically anchored in position and remain stable for drilling in the semi-submerged floating position due to wave transparency characteristics at the water line – Three rigs use computer-controlled thruster (dynamic- positioning) system to maintain the rig’s position over a drill site
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Types of Rigs Jack-up Units (14) – Mobile, self-elevating drilling platform equipped with legs that are lowered to the ocean floor until a foundation is established to support the drilling platform – Used in water depths of 20 to 350 feet Drill Ship (1) – Self-propelled – Positioned over a drill site through the use of either an anchoring system or a dynamic-positioning system – Used in water depths of up to 7,500 feet
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Worldwide Rig Locations Total 45 rigs Source: Company Website
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Source: Oil Market Report. March 2009
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Key Deep Water Areas Source: Howard Weil Energy Conference. March 2009
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Industry Overview Profitability depends on technical expertise and efficiency of operation. Labor Intensive Industry – Avg. Annual Rev. per Employee = $410,000 US oil and gas drilling support activities expected to grow at an annual compounded rate of 4% until 2013. Source: Hoovers Competitive Summary. April 2009
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DO & Top Competitors Diamond Offshore (DO) – Market Cap: $9.64 Billion – Close (4/20/2009): $69.64 Transocean (RIG) – Market Cap: $20.49 Billion – Close (4/20/2009): $64.09 Noble (NE) – Market Cap: $6.68 Billion – Close (4/20/2009): $25.56 ENSCO (ESV) – Market Cap: $41.90 Billion – Close (4/20/2009): $29.55 Competitors from Hoovers
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Comparables Source: Capital IQ
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DO & Competitor 5 yr Returns Source: Google Finance
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Floaters After Newbuild Deliveries Source: Howard Weil Energy Conference. March 2009
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Crude Oil vs. DO Stock Price Source: Howard Weil Energy Conference. March 2009
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DO Correlation with Crude Oil Spot Extremely High Correlation! R 2 = 0.9347 Source: Bloomberg. April 2009
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DO Correlation with Rig Count Extremely High Correlation! R 2 = 0.8244 Source: Bloomberg. April 2009
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Oil Cost Curve
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Competitive Correlation
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Competitor Dividends Source: Howard Weil Energy Conference. March 2009
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Return on Capital Employed (From Credit Suisse) Source: Howard Weil Energy Conference. March 2009
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Strengths & Weaknesses Strengths – Leading player in deepwater drilling – Recently finished upgrading three rigs in 2008 Increases efficiency and marketability – Conservative capital structure increases survivability in tough times Weaknesses – Cyclical industry with intense price competition – Heavily rely on a limited number of customers Top 5 customers accounted for 40% of revenues – Contracts do not adjust for increases in operating costs
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Opportunities & Threats Opportunities – Capitalize on foreseeable growth in emerging markets – Profit from the decline in mature onshore oil fields which require offshore exploration. Threats – Worldwide demand for oil – The ability of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to control production levels and pricing. – Public Health for employees
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Office Locations Headquarters in Houston, Texas Regional offices in Louisiana, Australia, Brazil, Indonesia, Scotland, Singapore and The Netherlands Source: Company Website
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Ownership 50.4% owned by Loews Corporation(NYSE:L), a diversified holding company – Three officers from Loews serve on Diamond Offshore’s Board of Directors 94.83% owned by institutions
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Key Management Executives James S. Tisch, Chairman of the Board and Director – Served as CEO until 2008 and a former CEO at Loews (parent company) Lawrence R. Dickerson, CEO, President and Director – Served in the United States Commission on Ocean Policy from 2001-2004 Gary T. Krenek, CFO and Senior VP – Served as CFO since 2006
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Valuation DCF : $63/share Triangulation: $60/share – 10% to Comp’s P/E ratio – 90% to DCF
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Recommendation Write 1 Sept. 2009 80 strike Call Contract Purchase 1 Sept. 2009 60 strike Put Contract Execute Flat, or with slight credit to account Why? – Protection from market volatility during the summer. – Capitalize on potentially sharp price moves during the summer. – Protect downside with a net cash inflow. – Allows exit at a good price.
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