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Healthy Places: The Community of Tomorrow
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USA Population 2000 –275 million people –Median age: 35.8 yrs 2030 –351 million people –Median age: 39 yrs Source: US Census Bureau
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USA Population (in millions) Source: US Census Bureau
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USA Population Median Age Source: US Census Bureau
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USA Population 2000 by Age Groups Source: US Census Bureau
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USA Population 2030 by Age Groups Source: US Census Bureau
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USA Population 2000-2030 by Age Groups Source: US Census Bureau
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Changes with age Housing –Housing choices change as people age –“Empty Nester” housing –Assisted Living Transportation –Mobility is decreased –Driving a car eventually is not an option –Decrease of activity can lead to health decline
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Changing Housing Choices
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Senior Housing Choices
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Percent Preferring a Townhouse in the City Dowell Myers USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development National
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Percent Calling Factor Very Important if Buying a Home Today Dowell Myers USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development
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Problems with Zoning Plans tend to replicate existing trends Many favor large lot, expensive housing They are often barriers to higher density uses and rental units Market cannot respond to needs and changes
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Regional Housing Needs Assessment May 2004
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The Chicago Region
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Cities and Villages of the Region
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Population age 30-54 2000 Housing Patterns – Chicago Region Source: Census Bureau
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Population 65+ 2000 Housing Patterns - Chicago Source: Census Bureau
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Population 65+ 2030 Housing Patterns – Chicago Region A majority of residents in large apartment complexes will be 65 or older
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Chicago Region Housing Mismatch Trend (NIPC) Projected Need vs. Zoning Supply
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Apartment/Condominium $300 - $1500 rent urban and suburban redev, infill and greenfield
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Townhouse Trend = 71,000 units Matched Demand = 152,000 units $600 - $2000 urban and suburban redev, infill and greenfield
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Small Lot Single Family Trend = 24,000 units Matched Demand = 202,000 units $700 - $2500 urban and suburban infill and greenfield
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Below Market Rent Matched Demand = 73,000 units $0 - $500 urban and suburban redev, infill and greenfield
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Waukegan Strategies Capitalize on Lakefront setting in Corridor Development Station Area DevelopmentInfill in Urban Neighborhoods East-West Corridor Enhancement Downtown Revitalization
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Transportation Issues
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Transportation Problems
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Alternatives to Driving
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Pedestrians in the Conventional Suburban Development supporting alternative modes through urban design
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Pedestrians: 25th Anniversary of the Moonwalk
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Solution: Walkable Cities Housing Choice
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What makes people walk? –Walkable Distances
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What makes people walk? –Practical Destinations
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What makes people walk? –Pleasant and Interesting Environment, a Human Scale
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Pleasant Environment
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The 2040 Growth Concept
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The 2040 Growth Concept results in: Less Congestion Less Transportation investment More walk, bike, and transit trips What Makes 2040 Work What Makes 2040 Work –Mixed use design –Density in proximity to commerce and transit –Mixed age and income neighborhoods
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RIVER DISTRICT 1999
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Challenges for the Region
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Project Methodology Project Methodology Extensive Public Participation Hands-on Workshops Throughout the Region
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Transportation Economy Land Use Shared Values, Shared Future
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Strategic Land Use Changes In Relatively Few Areas Provide Great Benefits to the Region
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What can Governors do? Housing Develop state or regional housing needs analysis – identify how future housing needs change. Monitor local housing markets, look for problems caused by undersupply of needed housing Develop state or regional housing fair share programs. Incentives and models for more flexible zoning
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What can Governors do? Transportation Support well rounded transportation policies – multi modal Support connecting land use and transportation Encourage the development of walkable cities and regions Raise the issues of seniors and mobility
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For more Information, go to www.frego.com 333 S.W Fifth Avenue, Suite 300 Portland, OR 97204 503-228-3054 Fax 503-525-0478
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