1. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Assessing Transition of Security Operations in Afghanistan Project Proposal 11 February 2010 1

2. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Agenda Background Problem Description Preliminary Requirements Technical Approach Expected Results Project Plan and Deliverables 2

3. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Background September 11 terrorist attacks 7 Oct 01: Coalition forces begin campaign in Afghanistan Goal of Current Coalition – Rebuild Afghanistan (self-gov’t, self-defense, care for citizens) Goal of International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) – Transfer lead for security operations to Afghan government Goal of Combined Security Transition Command-Afghanistan (CSTC-A) – Field effective Afghanistan National Security Forces (ANSF) 3

4. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Problem Description Deputy Director, Force Integration and Training (CJ7) / CSTC-A defined five lines of operation (LOOs) that support the goal of transferring security operations – Accelerate ANSF growth – Achieve security for the Afghan population – Marginalize malign actors – Achieve legitimate, responsive, and accountable governance – Facilitate community development Develop metrics and an accompanying decision support tool to measure progress against the five LOOs Stakeholders – Force Integration and Training cell of NTM-A/CSTC-A (sponsor) – NTM-A/CSTC-A – Coalition military leadership – U.S. government leadership 4

5. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Preliminary Requirements Majority of system must be compatible with software already owned and operated by the U.S. military Research focused on Afghanistan including but not limited to ANSF, civilian population, economy, and political organization Project group organization into two subgroups – Values and Metrics: development of value model – System Design: development of decision analysis tool 5

6. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Technical Approach – Value Model Qualitative Value Model: the identification of an objective hierarchy relating fundamental and means objectives Quantitative Value Model: the articulation of the decision maker’s preferences towards the attributes, and the means of measuring each attribute V(x) = ∑ w i v i (x i ) where w i = weight of attribute i v i = value of attribute i at score x i 6

7. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Technical Approach – System Design System Input: the quantitative portion of the value model in a standardized survey format, completed by military units System Processing and Storage: completed survey templates are configuration controlled and ingested into data storage. User querying capabilities allow the retrieval of data (by unit and/or AOR and/or date range) to research trends Analysis Output: Condensed and easily understood presentation for decision makers 7

8. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Expected Results The value model (both quantitative and qualitative portions) Survey template implementation of the quantitative portion of the value model Decision analysis environment consisting of: – Input function for survey template with completed unit observations – Data storage and analysis portion – Analysis presentation portion 8

9. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Project Plan and Deliverables 9 11 Feb: Project Proposal31 Mar: Initial System 18 Feb: Status Report, Model Requirements1 Apr: Formal IPR 25 Feb: Value and Metric Structure5 Apr: Finalized Model 4 Mar: Progress Report29 Apr: Written Report 18 Mar: Status Report7 May: Final Presentation/Website

10. UNCLASSIFIED – FOR INSTRUCTIONAL USE ONLY Questions? 10