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Henry County E 2 : Economics & Education March 28, 2011 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline 4What Can We Do?
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Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
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Academic Achievement Milestones School Readiness Literacy by 3 rd Grade Numeracy by 8 th Grade High School Graduation Workforce and/or College Ready
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Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2009 Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center. Georgia 64% United States 60%
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NAEP 2009 4 th Grade Reading At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics Georgia 63% United States 65%
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NAEP 2009 8 th Grade Math At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics United States 71% Georgia 67%
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Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08. United States 74.9% Georgia 65.4% High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings
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Georgia High School Graduation Rates Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. Year High School Graduation Rate Number of High School Non-Grads 200772%28,883 200875%27,248 200979%23,567 201081%21,803 Total101,501
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Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates
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Education Pays Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT Unemployment RateDec 2010 Median Wkly Earnings (& approx. annual) 15% 10%5%0%02006001000 4.6 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher $1,139 ($59,228) 7.9 Some college/ Associate Degree $727 ($37,804) 9.8 HS Graduates, No College $633 ($32,916) 15.7 Less than a High School Diploma $438 ($22,776)
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Unemployment Rates by Education Level Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.
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Unemployment Rates by County, Dec. 2010 Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 10.2%
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State Service Delivery Regions
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Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone? Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding. Region 1$2.2 billion Region 2$1.2 billion Region 3$4.2 billion Region 4$1.1 billion Region 5$1.1 billion Region 6$1.0 billion Region 7$1.1 billion Region 8$0.9 billion Region 9$0.9 billion Region 10$2.0 billion Region 11$1.0 billion Region 12$1.1 billion TOTAL$18 billion*
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Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children. INDIVIDUALSTHE COMMUNITY Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity Higher health care & criminal justice costs Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood Higher public services costs Less voting; Less volunteering Low rate of community involvement
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Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
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KEY ISSUE #1 Early Life Experiences KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12 KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College
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Family Income Affects School Readiness Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99. Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten
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Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.” Professional Families 1,116 words Working Class Families 749 words Welfare Families 525 words
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Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
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Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
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Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12
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6 th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions. Flag in Sixth Grade Percent with this flag who… Attended ≤ 80% Failed Math Course Failed English Course Suspended Out of School Un- satisfactory Behavior Graduated on time 13 121624 Did not graduate 8381828071
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Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2010) 59,999X$8,760= More than $525 million Georgia students retained in 2009 Average annual cost of education per student Total cost of student retention in 2009 for Georgia Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation Example for Henry County School System: 1,206X$7,830=$9,442,980
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Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States Higher Standards Rigorous Curriculum Clear Accountability System Statewide Student Information System Leadership Training
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3 rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
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8 th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
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High School Graduation Rates in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education.
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Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College
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Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009. The Demands of America’s New Economy The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent. 12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.
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Are They College Ready? Source: ACT. “The Condition of College & Career Readiness: Class of 2010.” Percent of Georgia High School Graduates Prepared for College Courses
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Remediation Among College Freshmen Source: University System of Georgia Percent of 1 st -time Freshmen in Georgia’s Public Colleges & Universities Requiring Learning Support
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What Can We Do?
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Look at the Data for your Community Benchmark against similar communities (demographically alike; geographic proximity) Track data over time (e.g., 5-year trends) Consider multiple sources (KIDS COUNT, Department of Education, Georgia School Council Institute, etc.)
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2010 CRCT Comparisons: 3 rd Grade Reading Henry County Schools Source: Georgia School Council Institute
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2010 CRCT Comparisons: 8 th Grade Math Henry County Schools Source: Georgia School Council Institute
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2010 SAT Comparisons: Average Total Score Henry County Schools Source: Georgia School Council Institute
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Improving the Pipeline: Low Birth Weight in 2009 GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Henry County. Henry CountyGeorgia Total # of births 2,608141,332 # of low weight births 23513,412 low birth weight rate 9.0%9.5% RESULT: 23 healthier babies! Source: Georgia Department of Community Health. Georgia Partnership Calculation. 212 8.1%
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Improving the Pipeline: High School Graduation in 2010 GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Henry County. Henry CountyGeorgia Total # of Graduates 2,57391,561 Graduation Rate 82.3%80.8% RESULT: 257 more high school graduates! Source: Georgia Department of Education. Georgia Partnership Calculation. 2,830 90.6%
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Aligning Educational Strategies Aligned Acts of Improvement Random Acts of Improvement GOALS
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How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline? LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS Childcare Providers Afterschool Programs Academic Supports Job Training Civic Opportunities EarlyChildhood K – 12 System PostSecondary Work &Career ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES Transportation Health Housing Financial Source: The Forum for Youth Investment
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