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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Perspectives of Photovoltaic Technology Hubert Fechner, UAS Technikum Vienna
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Content New Electricity capacities in Europe Photovoltaic market and industry Photovoltaic Technology Status and Perspectives Photovoltaic Cost - today and tomorrow Policy as important driver The Austrian Photovoltaic Roadmap
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel New capacities of Electricity Generation in Europe What types of powerplants were 2009 mostly installed in Europe? –Coal –Natural Gas –Oil –Wind –Nuclear –Waste –Hydro –Photovoltaics
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Electricity Generation capacity installed 39%: WIND 25%: GAS 17%: PV Source: http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel PV Worldmarket - cumulative
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel H.Fechner, N.Glück, 2009 PV Market in Austria Installements per year in kW
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel PV Industrial profile AUSTRIA: –Worldmarket leader in Encapsulation (Isovolta) –Worldmarket leader in PV Tracking systems (Solon- Hilber) –World Second in PV-Inverters (Fronius) –One of the leaders in cell-wiring (Ulbrich of Austria) –8 PV-Modulproducers (from 2002 on) –2 (3) Cell Manufacturers –2800 employees in PV (as of 2009), [>300 Mio € (2008)] EUROPE –For 2009: >100.000 employees –For 2030: 950.000 …2,2 Million employees Source: Pvemployment.org
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Photovoltaic Technology Profile Many new developments in cells, modules and systems Efficiencies of 10-20%, slowly increasing Cost decreasing
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel PV Today and Tomorrow – the Potential of the technology
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Efficiency in Future
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel We pay for our kWh (household electricity)….? We can produce Electricity from PV on our roofs at…??? Is Photovoltaic still expensive?
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Photovoltaic Worldmarket 1992: 68 MW Photovoltaic Worldmarket 2010: 17.000 MW 1992: Cost of 1 kWh in Austria: ~ 1€ 2010: Cost of 1 kWh in Austria: ~ 35 €Cent Cost development from 1992 to 2010
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Grid Parity in Austria
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Expected Change of global energy-mix
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Europe or Asia?
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel German Parliament BERLIN
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel EREC – Szenario: Global Electricity Production 2040
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Sarasin Study (CH-Bank) Annual increase between 20 and 60% expected until 2020 grid parity in Europa between 2012 and 2020
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel An Austrian Scenario for an ambitious Photovoltaic Development
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Austrian PV Roadmap: 5 bzw. 8% Targets for Austria until 2020 PV Share in Austrian total Electricity consumption Comparison „Business as usual“ with 5% and 8% Scenario
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Annual Turnover 8. Assun López-Polo, TU Wien, EEG 2009
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Assun López-Polo, TU Wien, EEG 2009 Employment in the 5 and 8% scenario
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel Photovoltaic is about to become a significant source of electricity Efficiencies can rise from today‘s 10-20% to 35-60% in 2050 Industry can profit with millions of employment worldwide Political support is needed in the phase of introducing Photovoltaics Conclusion
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MSc Program - Renewable Energy in Central and Eastern Europe Dipl.-Ing. Hubert Fechner Modul 3 – Solar Energy Titel October 28 and 29 in Vienna > 350 Participants expected Austrian Economic Chamber, Wiedner Hauptstrasse 63 8th Austrian PV Congress
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