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NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER POPULATION SIZE ESTIMATES 10 December 2009 Heritage Hotel Manila NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER.

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Presentation on theme: "NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER POPULATION SIZE ESTIMATES 10 December 2009 Heritage Hotel Manila NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER."— Presentation transcript:

1 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER POPULATION SIZE ESTIMATES 10 December 2009 Heritage Hotel Manila NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER

2 MSM EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1*7% of total adult male population Estimate 2*6% of total adult male population Estimate 3*5% of total adult male population Estimate 4*4% of total adult male population Estimate 5*3% of total adult male population Estimate 6*2% of total adult male population Estimate 7*1% of total adult male population Estimate 8STIR UP Vulnerability Index *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country

3 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER Registered FSW EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1Actual reported number of RFSW at the SHC in 2009 Estimate 2STIR UP: Vulnerability Index Estimate 3*2007 Estimates: 0.3% of total adult female population Estimate 4a*Asian Models: High estimate 2.6% of total adult female population Estimate 4b*Asian Models: Low estimate 0.2% of total adult female population Estimate 5a*Using the proportion of RFSW (as reported by SHC) in total female population: Median Proportion – 1.07% Estimate 5b*Using the proportion of RFSW (as reported by SHC) in total female population: Low Proportion – 0.12% *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country

4 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER Freelance FSW EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1IHBSS Multiplier: Visited the SHC in the past year Estimate 2STIR UP: Low FSW Estimate Estimate 3STIR UP: Vulnerability Index Estimate 4a*2007 Estimates: High Estimate 0.5% of total adult female population Estimate 4b*2007 Estimates: Low Estimate 0.3% of total adult female population Estimate 5a*Asian Models: High estimate 2.6% of total adult female population Estimate 5b*Asian Models: Low estimate 0.2% of total adult female population Estimate 6a*Using the proportion of Freelance FSW in total female population: Median proportion – 0.5% Estimate 6b*Using the proportion of Freelance FSW in total female population: Low proportion – 0.023% *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country

5 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER Total FSW EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1Total Registered + Total Freelance Sex Workers Estimate 2STIR UP: High FSW Estimate Estimate 3STIR UP: Vulnerability Index Estimate 4a*2007 Estimates: High Estimate 0.9% of total adult female population Estimate 4b*2007 Estimates: Low Estimate 0.6% of total adult female population Estimate 5a*Asian Models: High estimate 2.6% of total adult female population Estimate 5b*Asian Models: Low estimate 0.2% of total adult female population *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country

6 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER Clients of FSW EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1IHBSS: Average # of clients per month of RFLW x estimated total # of RFSW + Average # of clients per month of FLSW x estimated total # of FLSW Estimate 2a*2007 Estimates: High Estimate 7% of total adult male population Estimate 2b*2007 Estimates: Average Estimate 4.5% of total adult male population Estimate 2c*2007 Estimates: Low Estimate 2% of total adult female population Estimate 3a*Total # of clients in IHBSS sites + 2007 High estimate (7%) Estimate 3b*Total # of clients in IHBSS sites + 2007 Average estimate (4.5%) Estimate 3c*Total # of clients in IHBSS sites + 2007 Low estimate (2%) *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country

7 NATIONAL EPIDEMIOLOGY CENTER Injecting Drug Users EstimatesSource of the Estimated Number Estimate 1IHBSS: % ever injected drugs among RegFSW x total estimated # of RFSW + % ever injected drugs among FreelanceFSW x total est # of FLSW + % ever injected drugs among MSM x total est # of MSM + Estimated number of IDU in Cebu, GenSan & Zamboanga Estimate 2STIR UP: Vulnerability Index Estimate 3a*2007 Estimates: High Estimate 0.05% of total adult population Estimate 3b*2007 Estimates: Low Estimate 0.02% of total adult population Estimate 4a*Using the proportion of Estimate 3a or 3b in IHBSS sites: Median proportion – 0.042% Estimate 4b*Using the proportion of Estimate 3a or 3b in IHBSS sites: Low proportion – 0.0178% *Estimate can be applied for the rest of the country


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