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Impact of recent weather events on Australian agriculture Jammie Penm Chief Commodity Analyst.

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Presentation on theme: "Impact of recent weather events on Australian agriculture Jammie Penm Chief Commodity Analyst."— Presentation transcript:

1 Impact of recent weather events on Australian agriculture Jammie Penm Chief Commodity Analyst

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3 Impact on Australian commodities Excessive rainfall in November to mid-December: wheat export forecast down by $480 million in 2010-11 sugar export forecast down by $470 million in 2010-11 The floods in eastern Australia in late December-January: loss of agricultural production of an additional $1 billion in 2010-11; including  $600-700 million in winter crops  $225 million in fruit and vegetables  $150 million in cotton  $30 million in sorghum Coal exports 15 million tonnes lower, or $2 to 2.5 billion between December 2010 and March 2011

4 Impact of Cyclone Yasi Banana production in Far North Queensland, valued at $384 million, accounts for around 90 per cent of Australian production Sugar production in the region, valued at $240 million in 2008-09, accounts for 20 per cent of Australian production No major damage to mining operation, infrastructure and ports

5 Banana consignments from north Queensland and banana price

6 Fruit and vegetable prices In the Melbourne market: prices for many vegetables and fruit have shown signs of easing, after increasing in late December and January prices for bananas have increased significantly

7 Weekly wholesale prices for selected vegetables - Melbourne Index 04Dec=100

8 Weekly wholesale prices for selected vegetables - Melbourne Index 04Dec=100

9 Weekly wholesale prices for selected fruit - Melbourne Index 04Dec=100

10 Total winter crop production

11 Murray–Darling Basin water storage

12 Total summer crop production

13 Conclusions Loss of agricultural production and exports of around $2.3 billion in 2010-11. Prices for many vegetables and fruit have shown signs of easing after floods. Markedly higher crop production nationally despite the impact.


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