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Europe in the Future! Sovereign Community or Multiple Nations
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Europe in 21st Century by: Jeff Beck John Lepore Pisit Khumon David Wright
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Introduction What will become of Europe in the next Century? The United States of Europe? Can Europe become a sovereign state? Will Europe be the only Superpower in the world?
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Organizational Future? European Community (EC) North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) European Free Trade Association (EFTA) Potential Organizations
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Integrated Europe World Trade High Tech Industries Europe’s Resources An Uncommon Europe
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Common Market Vested Interests Mergers and Acquisitions Income and Social Welfare
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Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) Growing gap between industry and agricultural standard of living
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Common European Currency Benefits Political Control
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Power of European Institutions European Commission Council of Ministers European Parliament
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Foreign and Defense Policy Common European Defense Collapse of the Soviet Union
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The German Question How to achieve a harmonious relationship between the most populous, economically productive, technologically advanced, and military efficient nations in Europe and its smaller, less powerful neighbors?
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Demographics Trends The Graying of Europe –High age of population Migration –Effected by the border countries
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The Graying of Europe Declining of populations France –10 M people aged over 60 out of 55 M rise to 15 M by 2020 West Germany –Committing suicide 61 M to 45 M by 2030 (forecasting)
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The Graying of Europe Ireland –natural replacement level Overall Europe –peak in 2000 (320 M) fall by 2100 (300 M) by forecasting
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Migration Germany, Austria, and Hungary –Immigrants from the former USSR and Eastern Europe France, Spain, and Italy –Immigrants from North Africa and Middle Eastern
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Immigration Concerns Not melting-pot society Not for forestalling future labor shortage
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Environmental Issues Degree of pollution –Northwestern Europe and Scandinavia –Mediterranean –Overall “clean energy” taxes
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Types of Pollution The effects of global warming Rising sea level in low-lying areas Heavy-handed industrialization by Eastern Europe The massive growth populations surrounding the Mediterranean
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Other Concerns Overseas aid –Europe countries contribute overseas aid for the developing world by average more than any other developed countries (Chart)
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Technologically-Driven Global Changes Biotech revolution in agriculture and food processing May lead to dependence on giant agrochemical conglomerates
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A Robotics Revolution Exists but Probably Won’t Become as Important as Advances in Biotechnology Decentralized Rare in European industry Rate of installation may be leveraged by Japanese factories
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Financial and Communications Revolution Multinational corporations Bankers Giant companies Consultants, engineers and merchant bankers Media conglomerates Airlines
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Problems with European Globalization Creation of a “social gulf” Contradiction of EC’s aim to deepening economic and political unity
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Conclusion: Europe 21st Century Pros for Unification Ease of currency exchange Migration and travel Improve technology transfer and communications Stimulate world trade and economy Stronger support for financial support to developing nations
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