1. Taking Context as a Starting Point Phil Vernon, Oslo 16 th February 2011

2. Some obstacles to TCSP  Our institutions: mandate, purpose, sticks & carrots…  Politics  Partnerships  Capacity  Analytical frameworks

3. Principles for programme analysis Get your purpose right Don’t confuse your purpose with others’ Accuracy and clarity Take yourself out of the picture at first Broad-ranging analytical framework Vision- based, not problem- based Participatory, but not at the expense of clarity and accuracy

4. Access to justice, equality before the law Voice and legitimate leadership Economic opportunity Freedom from insecurity Well-being and aspiration THE VISION

5. Access to justice, equality before the law Voice and legitimate leadership Economic opportunity Freedom from insecurity Well-being and aspiration THE VISION Strengthened institutions & values which underpin peace and enable human progress, characterised by effective leadership, relationships and negotiation

6. Access to justice, equality before the law Voice and legitimate leadership Economic opportunity Freedom from insecurity Well-being and aspiration Opening access to political & economic opportunity; an increasingly dynamic civil society Adopting increasingly democratic, or representative & accountable forms of government The establishment of states with a strong sense of membership by & accountable to the people, and whose governments adopt “developmental” goals and policies Evolving from personal to impersonal forms of participation in the economy, politics and civil society Sustained, shared economic growth Developing a culture that encourages initiative and supports creativity Establishing, gradually extending & eventually universalising the rule of law THE VISION DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES The transfer of control of organised violence from powerful factions to the accountable state Strengthened institutions & values which underpin peace and enable human progress, characterised by effective leadership, relationships and negotiation

7. Dynamic processes taking place in a fragile context 1. The dynamics in play 3. The improvements in line with the vision 4. The actions necessary to achieve these 2. Their likely consequences in the future